Based on the chart of Bitcoin, from year 2013 to year 2024, the months with the lowest negative returns are the months of February and October. It only have 2 negative returns with that range of years. If we based it on the third halving of Bitcoin, we can see that after that year which is 2021, in the month of February, the price increases +36.78%. I don't really remember if that time was the altcoin season, but probably there are good news that can trigger the price of Bitcoin to go up that high. In my opinion, there is a high possibility that the month of February will be the alt season since it's not happening yet.