Pure BTC.D reversed, altseason will soon begin!

[MrSpasybo]

I have previously shared my perspective on BTC.D and proposed Pure BTC.D with the exclusion of stablecoins from the scope. Currently, I only monitor Pure BTC.D instead of following the basic BTC.D on TradingView, and I have just noticed an interesting signal regarding its trend change.

If we use the traditional BTC.D, we will encounter difficulties in drawing trendlines.

However, when using Pure BTC.D, we can easily identify trendlines and immediately use them for market analysis.

The Pure BTC.D chart shows BTC's dominance has decreased from 65% to 58%, then technically recovered to 64% to retest the trendline and is now continuing to decline to 60%. I truly believe that we will soon see capital flow into ALTs and trigger an altseason in 2025.

We will need a few more months to reconfirm this assumption, but I have already started taking action because I believe that altseason is necessary for the long-term existence and development of the entire crypto market. I am using BTC to DCA ETH with the expectation that ETH will rise more strongly in the future.

I have no intention of giving financial advice, so please do not copy my trading strategy. Please refer to my perspective and analyze it yourself to make the most informed decision for your account.

• Proposal for Pure BTC.D: exclude stablecoins

[KryptoBull]

The Pure BTC.D chart shows BTC's dominance has decreased from 65% to 58%, then technically recovered to 64% to retest the trendline and is now continuing to decline to 60%. I truly believe that we will soon see capital flow into ALTs and trigger an altseason in 2025.

Thank you for this interesting information, it helps solidify altcoin investors belief in altseason in 2025. I don't quite understand technical analysis or new indicators like Pure BTC.D, I just find it quite stable and worth referring to, especially when it suggests a scenario I'm waiting for.

Everything will be confirmed in the next few months, if the price of ETH and many top coins increase sharply, BTC.D will definitely decrease and investor FOMO will shift to altcoins as in 2021.

[MrSpasybo]

Thank you for this interesting information, it helps solidify altcoin investors belief in altseason in 2025. I don't quite understand technical analysis or new indicators like Pure BTC.D, I just find it quite stable and worth referring to, especially when it suggests a scenario I'm waiting for.

Everything will be confirmed in the next few months, if the price of ETH and many top coins increase sharply, BTC.D will definitely decrease and investor FOMO will shift to altcoins as in 2021.

This is just my personal opinion about the upcoming market trend, derived from Pure BTC.D data and not from any internal information. I hope you can refer to it to have a multi-dimensional view, not being constrained by lagging indicators from previous cycles.

I am seeing many positive signs for the price increase of both BTC and ALTs in the near future, in which ALTs may increase more strongly with many large trends that have been carefully prepared over the past time. My expectation is that Pure BTC.D will continue to decline sharply, and FOMO will increase in this Q1.

[BitMaxz]

How exactly can you get this pure BTC.D I can't seems to find it anywhere in tradingview or is it a unique one?

For me, when I draw something on the chart if the trends are not clear just like the BTC.d on tradingview I use the trend regression, but still it is not as clear as what you see from pure BTC.D.
Which one should I search to find this pure BTC.D?

Well, about the altcoin season, this might happen but not yet for this month because BTC is currently still bullish base on what I see. I don't know which one is much more accurate, BTC.D or this pure BTC.D but still, we can maybe use it as a signal for trend dominance changes.

[Azharul]

Thank you for this interesting information, it helps solidify altcoin investors belief in altseason in 2025. I don't quite understand technical analysis or new indicators like Pure BTC.D, I just find it quite stable and worth referring to, especially when it suggests a scenario I'm waiting for.

Everything will be confirmed in the next few months, if the price of ETH and many top coins increase sharply, BTC.D will definitely decrease and investor FOMO will shift to altcoins as in 2021.

This is just my personal opinion about the upcoming market trend, derived from Pure BTC.D data and not from any internal information. I hope you can refer to it to have a multi-dimensional view, not being constrained by lagging indicators from previous cycles.

I am seeing many positive signs for the price increase of both BTC and ALTs in the near future, in which ALTs may increase more strongly with many large trends that have been carefully prepared over the past time. My expectation is that Pure BTC.D will continue to decline sharply, and FOMO will increase in this Q1.

Yes, I think that you could express correct opinion on your comment. So i am also agree with you. We also know that bitcoin is one of the best profitable crypto in cryptocurrency world.  So I think that pure BTC.D will decline rapidly in cryptocurrency world. Because if we follow in cryptocurrency market, we can see that bitcoin price is increasing gradually, in this time we expect that others altcoin price will increase in crypto currency market. So I believe that if we wait until one year, I think that all crypto currency market must be increase.

[omori]

Interested in how you got the pure btc d. metric too, however, I do agree with you - after BTC dom would fall off after the news and actions regarding BTC reserves and other stuff like that, we may see the biggest rally for alts in this season.

[MrSpasybo]

How exactly can you get this pure BTC.D I can't seems to find it anywhere in tradingview or is it a unique one?

For me, when I draw something on the chart if the trends are not clear just like the BTC.d on tradingview I use the trend regression, but still it is not as clear as what you see from pure BTC.D.
Which one should I search to find this pure BTC.D?

Well, about the altcoin season, this might happen but not yet for this month because BTC is currently still bullish base on what I see. I don't know which one is much more accurate, BTC.D or this pure BTC.D but still, we can maybe use it as a signal for trend dominance changes.

You can use this code to add Pure BTC.D to your watchlist on TradingView. It simply calculates BTC Dominance without considering the existence of top stablecoins. I hope it will give you a new perspective on market fluctuations.

Code: [Select]

CRYPTOCAP:BTC/(TOTAL-(CRYPTOCAP:USDC+CRYPTOCAP:USDT+CRYPTOCAP:DAI+GLASSNODE:BUSD_MARKETCAP+DEFILLAMA:FXS_TVL))*100
I also use linear regression on TradingView but the traditional BTC.D cannot provide a reliable or user-friendly view for investors. Pure BTC.D is logically advantageous when we want to know the priority of cash flow in the crypto market, excluding stablecoins.

I hope that we have seen a real trend reversal of Pure BTC.D and not just a false signal to deceive investors ^^

[yhiaali3]

Thank you for this useful information about Pure BTC.D and how to use it and its usefulness to read the market trend.

Honestly I don't use this tool but I always monitor Bitcoin dominance through the information I get from Coin Market or other to monitor whether Altcoin will start or not, I know this is not accurate but it gives approximate indications.

Generally when Bitcoin dominance decreases some Altcoin starts to move strongly, because the liquidity is moving from Bitcoin to Altcoin, so this is a good indicator for those who monitor Altcoin movement.

[bayu7adi]

The main requirement for an altseason is that the overall cryptocurrency market sentiment is bullish... and the BTC.D trend is showing a decline... after seeing BTC's bullish period from $70k to $100k quite quickly, we see Bitcoin prices starting to stabilize at $96k - $100k, yes this has reached a local peak and is starting to stabilize...

Some strategies that can be applied are
If BTC.D goes down: I am more interested in monitoring layer 1 altcoins and some trash coins for small purchase portions...

If BTC.D goes up: we will see altcoins underperforming, so our focus is on BTC
If BTC.D is stable: diversification into BTC and Altcoins is the best choice...

Seeing the current conditions, which tend to be stable, I am still waiting for the moment when BTC.D will decline until I can decide to welcome Altseason.

[omori]

Thank you for this useful information about Pure BTC.D and how to use it and its usefulness to read the market trend.

Honestly I don't use this tool but I always monitor Bitcoin dominance through the information I get from Coin Market or other to monitor whether Altcoin will start or not, I know this is not accurate but it gives approximate indications.

Generally when Bitcoin dominance decreases some Altcoin starts to move strongly, because the liquidity is moving from Bitcoin to Altcoin, so this is a good indicator for those who monitor Altcoin movement.

Big alts follow Bitcoin's trace - it's always like that, even now, with the current dip in 5%, some took it harder and went down a bit.
I do hope that in the end, we will be able to see great results this year.

[MrSpasybo]

Thank you for this useful information about Pure BTC.D and how to use it and its usefulness to read the market trend.

Honestly I don't use this tool but I always monitor Bitcoin dominance through the information I get from Coin Market or other to monitor whether Altcoin will start or not, I know this is not accurate but it gives approximate indications.

Generally when Bitcoin dominance decreases some Altcoin starts to move strongly, because the liquidity is moving from Bitcoin to Altcoin, so this is a good indicator for those who monitor Altcoin movement.

Yeah, we have many tools and individual ways to use them for investment strategies. Pure BTC.D is just one of them, many people using traditional BTC.D can still assess the trend of cash flow in the market and invest effectively.

Currently, BTC has touched $100K, the cash flow is gradually shifting to ALTs so we are seeing a decline in BTC.D. I hope that we will soon witness the price increase of ETH and many top ALTs when investors start to get bored with the sideways movement of BTC price in this Q1. Predictions would be meaningless if they are not used to generate profits, luckily I am holding several potential ALTs ^^

[ZAINmalik75]

Interested in how you got the pure btc d. metric too, however, I do agree with you - after BTC dom would fall off after the news and actions regarding BTC reserves and other stuff like that, we may see the biggest rally for alts in this season.

He created another topic where he calculated the pure BTC.d You can read that article although I have not gone through it yet but I get the idea.

I also agree that when BTC dominance decreases the money will be outflowing from BTC and inflowing into the alts because right now the most profitable entries can be entering in alts because they are more volatile and have the potential to make traders more than 2x.

[MrSpasybo]

He created another topic where he calculated the pure BTC.d You can read that article although I have not gone through it yet but I get the idea.

I also agree that when BTC dominance decreases the money will be outflowing from BTC and inflowing into the alts because right now the most profitable entries can be entering in alts because they are more volatile and have the potential to make traders more than 2x.

Thank you for your interest in my Pure BTC.D. My suggestion may not be widely accepted yet, but I hope it will prove its value in the future. I am still testing and monitoring this new indicator.

Today BTC price has dropped to $92K and created fear among many investors in the market. As a result, ALTs price havs declined more sharply and Pure BTC.D has increased. I hope this will only be temporary and ALTs price will soon rise more strongly than BTC price in this Q1 and we will see a decline in Pure BTC.D.

[Findingnemo]

Usually the alt season begins when the BTC is at the mid way, considering the last season ATH of BTC the observation seems to fit perfectly so yeah it's the time of they want to increase their ALT portfolio. But the problem is the market is filled with so much of new coins so we will have hard time picking them but one who does certainly bags more money than BTC investor.

[MrSpasybo]

Usually the alt season begins when the BTC is at the mid way, considering the last season ATH of BTC the observation seems to fit perfectly so yeah it's the time of they want to increase their ALT portfolio. But the problem is the market is filled with so much of new coins so we will have hard time picking them but one who does certainly bags more money than BTC investor.

ALTs have a smaller market cap than BTC, so when large amounts of capital flow from BTC into ALTs, significant growth will appear on ALTs price charts. I also believe that now is the right time for capital to start flowing into ALTs after helping BTC surpass $100K in December 2024.

The continuous rotation of capital is what creates growth and maturity in the crypto market, not stagnation in BTC. If BTC price increases too quickly, a reversal will also come soon, and whales will not be able to maximize profits from market manipulation plans. Altseason should come to cool down BTC price rise while the total market cap can continue to increase thanks to the breakout of ALTs.