Pure BTC.D reversed, altseason will soon begin!

[bounceback]

I have a slightly more optimistic view: Pure BTC.D has signaled a reversal, so altseason may have officially begun. We will be able to confirm this in Q1.

Similar to the event of Trump inauguration, I expect BTC price to rise to the $140K zone and ALTs will increase even more strongly, bringing profits to investors. If altseason is delayed until the second half of 2025, investor FOMO may not be as intense and ALTs will not have much time to increase in price before the crypto winter arrives.

Can't surely yet for altcoin season begin at quarter 1 after bitcoin price not stable yet and last correction make altcoin have significant downtrend. Seems take longer time for bitcoin returning back to stable price under $100k or reach new ATH price again and make opportunity for altcoin going to higher price, difficult if bitcoin not stable yet and market dominance by bitcoin loss chance for altcoin season begin.
Possibility if bitcoin have reach higher price and keep stable will make market dominance for altcoin than bitcoin make easily for altcoin season raise up.

[jeraldskie11]

I have a slightly more optimistic view: Pure BTC.D has signaled a reversal, so altseason may have officially begun. We will be able to confirm this in Q1.

Similar to the event of Trump inauguration, I expect BTC price to rise to the $140K zone and ALTs will increase even more strongly, bringing profits to investors. If altseason is delayed until the second half of 2025, investor FOMO may not be as intense and ALTs will not have much time to increase in price before the crypto winter arrives.

Can't surely yet for altcoin season begin at quarter 1 after bitcoin price not stable yet and last correction make altcoin have significant downtrend. Seems take longer time for bitcoin returning back to stable price under $100k or reach new ATH price again and make opportunity for altcoin going to higher price, difficult if bitcoin not stable yet and market dominance by bitcoin loss chance for altcoin season begin.
Possibility if bitcoin have reach higher price and keep stable will make market dominance for altcoin than bitcoin make easily for altcoin season raise up.

We can't exactly tell when will the altseason begin but we are quite sure that it will happen this year. As what I have noticed, it doesn't matter if the price of Bitcoin will go up or down when it's altcoin season because alts that time will explode without the help of Bitcoin. And that time their price chart is different from Bitcoin which is normally synced in. We are already experienced price hike of alts since the start of bull run and we can still make more when altseason begin.

[Faisal2202]

We will need a few more months to reconfirm this assumption, but I have already started taking action because I believe that alt season is necessary for the long-term existence and development of the entire crypto market. I am using BTC to DCA ETH with the expectation that ETH will rise more strongly in the future.

I also believe alt season is necessary, not because most of my portfolio is in alts (although that's one of the many reason I also want to earn haha) but because if there will be no alt season the trend (old trend, pattern) will break, which will cause panic. Therefore, if not big then small altseason is necessary for the trust of investors and traders like me on the market.

I am not doing DCA into any alt big mistakes I always bought in Lump Sums or kept some money separate to invest when another dip came and this way I took entry in at least 2 to 3 dips and the recent dip a few days ago, I did not buy any token because I was not active and secondly, I had no stable currency sad. But still, with this indicator we can get more into our hands as more information is always good, a person in a trading discussion also showed that we must not do an analysis on the X/USDT pair but we must do an analysis on the X/BTC pair as well for long term analysis and how they follow the trend with BTC, I liked that idea too, I usually just compare to get an idea where the X token is going with BTC, and every time I see some tokens I have in my list follows BTC even the candles they make either dragonfly doji, reverse hammer, etc. they made the same.

[taufik123]

We can't exactly tell when will the altseason begin but we are quite sure that it will happen this year. As what I have noticed, it doesn't matter if the price of Bitcoin will go up or down when it's altcoin season because alts that time will explode without the help of Bitcoin. And that time their price chart is different from Bitcoin which is normally synced in. We are already experienced price hike of alts since the start of bull run and we can still make more when altseason begin.

But we can't ignore Bitcoin, when Bitcoin goes down then the effect of Altcoins will also go down, if Bitcoin goes up with Bitcoin Dominance high, then there is no chance for altcoins. What altcoins need is when Bitcoin goes up and then, Bitcoin dominance goes down while Bitcoin price remains sideways it is a good opportunity for the altseason to start, it will be a massive price recovery and of course this year will be a different Altseason than before.

[jeraldskie11]

We can't exactly tell when will the altseason begin but we are quite sure that it will happen this year. As what I have noticed, it doesn't matter if the price of Bitcoin will go up or down when it's altcoin season because alts that time will explode without the help of Bitcoin. And that time their price chart is different from Bitcoin which is normally synced in. We are already experienced price hike of alts since the start of bull run and we can still make more when altseason begin.

But we can't ignore Bitcoin, when Bitcoin goes down then the effect of Altcoins will also go down, if Bitcoin goes up with Bitcoin Dominance high, then there is no chance for altcoins. What altcoins need is when Bitcoin goes up and then, Bitcoin dominance goes down while Bitcoin price remains sideways it is a good opportunity for the altseason to start, it will be a massive price recovery and of course this year will be a different Altseason than before.

Altcoins will only not follow Bitcoin when it's altseason. That is the only time that altcoins will make their own move without depending on others. But when altseason ended, the market will go back to normal that all other cryptocurrency will follow the price of movement of Bitcoin. No matter what the Bitcoin dominance is, if it's altseason Bitcoin is nothing to them. However, it will just happen for a short time and then Bitcoin again will lead them all. If altseason occured this year, it would be different from the last cycle, we should be aware of it.

[taufik123]

Altcoins will only not follow Bitcoin when it's altseason. That is the only time that altcoins will make their own move without depending on others. But when altseason ended, the market will go back to normal that all other cryptocurrency will follow the price of movement of Bitcoin. No matter what the Bitcoin dominance is, if it's altseason Bitcoin is nothing to them. However, it will just happen for a short time and then Bitcoin again will lead them all. If altseason occured this year, it would be different from the last cycle, we should be aware of it.

Altcoins are really moving on their own when Bitcoin is sideways and Bitcoin's dominance is down,
that's the key and now it just needs Bitcoin to reach a higher ATH because it will give a big boost to altcoins.

Remember that the altseason hasn't fully happened yet, it's still the beginning and when the altseason does happen it's going to be crazier than the previous cycle.

Now 2025 is a good cycle for the AI Agent narrative and a lot of Ai memecoins are popping up and some of them are going to have a big boom.

[MrSpasybo]

I also believe alt season is necessary, not because most of my portfolio is in alts (although that's one of the many reason I also want to earn haha) but because if there will be no alt season the trend (old trend, pattern) will break, which will cause panic. Therefore, if not big then small altseason is necessary for the trust of investors and traders like me on the market.

I am not doing DCA into any alt big mistakes I always bought in Lump Sums or kept some money separate to invest when another dip came and this way I took entry in at least 2 to 3 dips and the recent dip a few days ago, I did not buy any token because I was not active and secondly, I had no stable currency sad. But still, with this indicator we can get more into our hands as more information is always good, a person in a trading discussion also showed that we must not do an analysis on the X/USDT pair but we must do an analysis on the X/BTC pair as well for long term analysis and how they follow the trend with BTC, I liked that idea too, I usually just compare to get an idea where the X token is going with BTC, and every time I see some tokens I have in my list follows BTC even the candles they make either dragonfly doji, reverse hammer, etc. they made the same.

Well, Pure BTC.D only suggests the trend of the money flow in the market, it does not suggest that we should only focus on the ALTs/BTC pair instead of ALTs/USD pair. I will explain a bit more.

Before USDT became popular, for example in the 2017-bullrun, traders could usually only trade the BTC/USD and ALTs/BTC pairs. This made the knowledge of analyzing ALTs/BTC charts become popular and many traders are still using this chart.

However, currently stablecoin has played an important role in maintaining liquidity in this market, investors often trade the ALTs/USDT pair and their volume often overwhelms the trading volume of the ALTs/BTC pair. This makes the ALTs/USDT chart frequently monitored and affects traders psychology.

Many traders only need to use the ALTs/USDT chart to make huge profits. I myself also often combine both ALTs/BTC and ALTs/USDT for analysis and prediction.

[pawel7777]

So what do you guys think about the current cycle alt season? Has it already happened, is it postponed or will it not happen at all?

According to the CMC Altcoin Season Index the highest indicator of entering alt season happened during December, and it's been a downhill from there. The current score is 31, meaning we're still deep in the bitcoin season. That's of course if you find this index reliable.

[MrSpasybo]

So what do you guys think about the current cycle alt season? Has it already happened, is it postponed or will it not happen at all?

According to the CMC Altcoin Season Index the highest indicator of entering alt season happened during December, and it's been a downhill from there. The current score is 31, meaning we're still deep in the bitcoin season. That's of course if you find this index reliable.

I don't think Altseason has happened, or it was just a mini-Altseason. The prices of top ALTs haven't shown explosive growth, and the market sentiment hasn't reached the FOMO frenzy yet, so we can't have a real Altseason.

I prefer to refer to Blockchaincenter: Altcoin Season Index and choose data by Year because I believe a season in the crypto market lasts a year instead of 3 months as in nature. Currently, this Index is only 29, which means we are still in Bitseason and there has never been an Altseason in this cycle. I will continue to wait and will take profits from ALTs at the right time in 2025.

• Blockchaincenter: Altcoin Season Index[/center]

[philipma1957]

I have previously shared my perspective on BTC.D and proposed Pure BTC.D with the exclusion of stablecoins from the scope. Currently, I only monitor Pure BTC.D instead of following the basic BTC.D on TradingView, and I have just noticed an interesting signal regarding its trend change.

If we use the traditional BTC.D, we will encounter difficulties in drawing trendlines.

However, when using Pure BTC.D, we can easily identify trendlines and immediately use them for market analysis.

The Pure BTC.D chart shows BTC's dominance has decreased from 65% to 58%, then technically recovered to 64% to retest the trendline and is now continuing to decline to 60%. I truly believe that we will soon see capital flow into ALTs and trigger an altseason in 2025.

We will need a few more months to reconfirm this assumption, but I have already started taking action because I believe that altseason is necessary for the long-term existence and development of the entire crypto market. I am using BTC to DCA ETH with the expectation that ETH will rise more strongly in the future.

I have no intention of giving financial advice, so please do not copy my trading strategy. Please refer to my perspective and analyze it yourself to make the most informed decision for your account.

• Proposal for Pure BTC.D: exclude stablecoins
  

Let me tell you a factor about charts. Whales can read too and they are capable of fucking up chart patterns because people like you believe in them.

No whale wants you to get bigger and badder then he or she is.

So always always always remember rug pulls can be done just because a whale can do it.

[MrSpasybo]

Let me tell you a factor about charts. Whales can read too and they are capable of fucking up chart patterns because people like you believe in them.

No whale wants you to get bigger and badder then he or she is.

So always always always remember rug pulls can be done just because a whale can do it.

I understand this, but I just want to utilize all information and data about the market to reinforce my opinion. Although I know that whales might also be monitoring, even taking advantage of, manipulating, or creating that data to deceive the entire market ^^

For now, I still believe that everything positive is still waiting for us ahead because we are in the year right after the BTC halving, which is the best year in the entire cycle. I consider the temporary fluctuations to be just tricks to manipulate investors psychology, I will continue to hold until the trend reversal signal!

[philipma1957]

Let me tell you a factor about charts. Whales can read too and they are capable of fucking up chart patterns because people like you believe in them.

No whale wants you to get bigger and badder then he or she is.

So always always always remember rug pulls can be done just because a whale can do it.

I understand this, but I just want to utilize all information and data about the market to reinforce my opinion. Although I know that whales might also be monitoring, even taking advantage of, manipulating, or creating that data to deceive the entire market ^^

For now, I still believe that everything positive is still waiting for us ahead because we are in the year right after the BTC halving, which is the best year in the entire cycle. I consider the temporary fluctuations to be just tricks to manipulate investors psychology, I will continue to hold until the trend reversal signal!

Good I am stacking as I type so I soon hope to add more btc and more doge.

[omori]

Good I am stacking as I type so I soon hope to add more btc and more doge.

While we move sideways, we buy, we buy the dip, we buy just the current price, we even buy if it's 100k+.
Then we wait and have our boons presented to us in no time.
 

[Mr. Magkaisa]

          -     If I base it on the trendline that op made, it had a breakout on that chart, in which there is a short retracement in the market, in which most altcoins are also pulling down their respective prices.

In which is for me, this is really a good opportunity for me to accumulate other alts that were expensive before but now the price has fallen.
We also know that many of us are also waiting for this alts season.

[MrSpasybo]

- If I base it on the trendline that op made, it had a breakout on that chart, in which there is a short retracement in the market, in which most altcoins are also pulling down their respective prices.

In which is for me, this is really a good opportunity for me to accumulate other alts that were expensive before but now the price has fallen.
We also know that many of us are also waiting for this alts season.

I am taking advantage of the ALTs price drop to buy more ETH. I see this as a good opportunity to accumulate ALTs before the market returns to an uptrend and altseason is officially triggered at the most opportune time. Some investors have sold out and left the market with very large profits. I congratulate them and look forward to their return to the market during the bullrun.

Pure BTC.D is just one approach to the market, I hope it won't surprise us. Currently, this index has risen to 65%, I hope it will soon fall below 61.8% in the next few weeks, confirming and promoting the capitalization movement from BTC to ALTs.