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Author Topic: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?  (Read 8636 times)

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #120 on: April 23, 2025, 05:47:11 PM »
We have seen and witnessed the effect of this tariff war that Trump is using, the effect it is having is not good when the news that Trump is planning is that the result of the tariff will be negative and will affect all countries around the world.
It may actually sound crazy but the truth is every instrument and asset is tied to each other in one way or the other which could be directly or even indirectly. The thing is liquidity moves the market and big firms and investors are very calculative on the effects of certain fundamental factors.

This is the reason a sudden economic trade war will affect many instruments that it seems it isn't supposed to affect all because investors move their liquidity all of a sudden. Same thing can definitely affect bitcoin. Infact it was part of the reasons for the prolonged retracement.
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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #120 on: April 23, 2025, 05:47:11 PM »

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Offline pieppiep

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #121 on: April 24, 2025, 11:04:04 AM »
We have seen and witnessed the effect of this tariff war that Trump is using, the effect it is having is not good when the news that Trump is planning is that the result of the tariff will be negative and will affect all countries around the world.
It may actually sound crazy but the truth is every instrument and asset is tied to each other in one way or the other which could be directly or even indirectly. The thing is liquidity moves the market and big firms and investors are very calculative on the effects of certain fundamental factors.

This is the reason a sudden economic trade war will affect many instruments that it seems it isn't supposed to affect all because investors move their liquidity all of a sudden. Same thing can definitely affect bitcoin. Infact it was part of the reasons for the prolonged retracement.
In my understanding, global trade cannot exist without liquidity and I concur with the notion that a movement in one sector impacts another, volatile or not. Indeed, trade wars or any forms of economical conflicts can lead to fluctuation of the overall-relative liquidity in the market. This also applies to cryptocurrencies which, despite being decentralised, is sensitive to the movements in the global money flows. Bitcoin itself may be a type of asset that is different from real-world assets but is not a standalone asset that many believe experiences those long retracements based on its own fundamentals but such retracements tend to follow larger trends around the globe.

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #121 on: April 24, 2025, 11:04:04 AM »

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #122 on: April 30, 2025, 02:09:59 AM »
Until now, basic needs still occupy the best business compared to other businesses, because basic needs are those needed every day and cannot be avoided by this.
But what you say is also very good if it is run well and continuously where service businesses are very much needed in today's modern technology and cannot be separated from existing needs.

I agree through and through, but to be good at such business, it needs so much more than just capital, whereas investing - it's about not having shaky hands and keeping the head cool.
It all comes back to each individual on how to respond to the situation, whether it is trading or investing, it all requires a process, it is not immediately successful, and the intention of how we want to be successful itself must also be a part besides money capital, this is just my observation about business and investment
I agree. Indeed, in the end, the determination is up to you, and it cannot be avoided if you want to invest or trade, Because the process cannot trick the situation and all of that process always happens without the process. Then what exists is the inability to complete it perfectly.
For that, let the process run well without forgetting the funds that are also needed.

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #123 on: May 01, 2025, 12:25:51 PM »
I agree. Indeed, in the end, the determination is up to you, and it cannot be avoided if you want to invest or trade, Because the process cannot trick the situation and all of that process always happens without the process. Then what exists is the inability to complete it perfectly.
For that, let the process run well without forgetting the funds that are also needed.
I also agree with you when you said that no process is a one way process. But there is a part of that sentence that creates an oxymoron of the fact that all processes occur without a process. Perhaps, you meant that something is stagnant, but it also changes always, no matter how dish order or chaotic it may seem. You are correct regarding the fact that when it comes to investing and trading, the choice always lies in your hands, and this is something that can be delegated. However, I would like to stress that the process in question is not have to be perfect. What you lack is the receptivity to change and the patience not to act when conditions in the market are causing your head to boil. You cannot fake youth, but you do not have to be guilty of failure the moment something does not go as planned. As long focusing on the heart direction and counting the steps, that is enough.

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #124 on: May 01, 2025, 06:22:12 PM »
An economic trade war is very likely to alter the expected Bitcoin bull run and that's because during most trade wars, bigger market uncertainties grows and as a result, big investors flee from risky assets of which Bitcoin is part of it and opt for safer assets like gold or even fiat. Another reason is that during trade wars, global trade slows down leaving retail and institutional investors with less capital to invest in crypto. So the answer to your question is yes, economic trade war will disrupt the bull run.
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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #125 on: May 01, 2025, 09:46:20 PM »
An economic trade war is very likely to alter the expected Bitcoin bull run and that's because during most trade wars, bigger market uncertainties grows and as a result, big investors flee from risky assets of which Bitcoin is part of it and opt for safer assets like gold or even fiat. Another reason is that during trade wars, global trade slows down leaving retail and institutional investors with less capital to invest in crypto. So the answer to your question is yes, economic trade war will disrupt the bull run.

The trade war today is very different from the kind of trade war 10 years ago because today, it could already end in a military confrontation because China has plans for Taiwan unification and US is not allowing it.

Bitcoin is rising again because during wars, Bitcoin is the only asset that can't be seized so this isn't really a risky asset in this kind of chaos. Its one that could save the wealth.

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #126 on: May 01, 2025, 10:16:56 PM »
The trade war today is very different from the kind of trade war 10 years ago because today, it could already end in a military confrontation because China has plans for Taiwan unification and US is not allowing it.

Bitcoin is rising again because during wars, Bitcoin is the only asset that can't be seized so this isn't really a risky asset in this kind of chaos. Its one that could save the wealth.
I agree that the global environment is more sensitive now, this is due to effects of volatility since conflict between large nations affects all interconnected sectors, including the digital economy. However, it is wrong to argue that only Bitcoin per se is safe in my own view. This investment is right as Bitcoin is not associated with any state body and if properly stored, cannot be easily apprehended. However it is still influenced by market perception and responses which are extremely volatile in situations as such. Bitcoin is seen by me not as an absolute portfolio diversification solution, but first of all an interesting direction. That is why there is an opportunity to diversify and other protective actions that can act in combination.

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #126 on: May 01, 2025, 10:16:56 PM »


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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #127 on: May 01, 2025, 11:26:08 PM »
I agree. Indeed, in the end, the determination is up to you, and it cannot be avoided if you want to invest or trade, Because the process cannot trick the situation and all of that process always happens without the process. Then what exists is the inability to complete it perfectly.
For that, let the process run well without forgetting the funds that are also needed.
Exactly, and of course, the decision is based on our abilities and capabilities, not just following other people. because both trading and investment have their own risks. and trading is indeed considered to have a greater risk, because of the fear of being liquidated, while on the other side of investment, the fear that can occur is when making the wrong decision to invest in a particular altcoin and it turns out that this is just a shit project. this is what often happens, so it really has to be thought through carefully to be able to make us truly aware of our abilities.

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Re: Can Economic Trade war alter the current Bitcoin bull run?
« Reply #128 on: May 03, 2025, 09:04:28 AM »
Bitcoin is rising again because during wars, Bitcoin is the only asset that can't be seized so this isn't really a risky asset in this kind of chaos. Its one that could save the wealth.

Bitcoin has been doing terribly in times of crisis.
It has plunged during the Covid lockdown, it has gone down during the invasion of Ukraine, and it will also crash if China enters a war.
Why would it rise in price? People getting killed, becoming homeless, losing their jobs won't be buying Bitcoin!

 

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