Do you believe in the "supercycle" of the crypto market?

[Findingnemo]

Until now irrespective of growth percentage the cycle is limited to 4 years or lesser and I don't think we will have a period where the price increase will just keep on increasing even after 4 years for the next 10 years atleast and we might enter that super cycle phase when market reached the saturation point of adoption and the price fluctuations is only decided by other factors.

[Gurujebs]

Until now irrespective of growth percentage the cycle is limited to 4 years or lesser and I don't think we will have a period where the price increase will just keep on increasing even after 4 years for the next 10 years atleast and we might enter that super cycle phase when market reached the saturation point of adoption and the price fluctuations is only decided by other factors.

Back in 2017, when projects are launch most of the time the market cap don't exceed $100m that's because the projects before the new ones weren't bigger by market cap but as time goes on, the old ones are now billions bigger and so the new projects easily make it to top market cap value on listing and this is why we don't see coins that huge on our eyes anymore, most coins are pre pump on listing.

We will not see much pumps again but we will see new project for people to get those early listing so they can make quick money. However, we can also see some projects make run of their money once in a while.

[MUGNIA]

Are you pursuing the belief in the "super cycle" in this cycle?

I'm not a full-time trader, but all the time I'm investing in cryptocurrency. This is the first time I read about supercycles. Maybe I missed this term because its only mentioned in other categories of cryptocurrencies where I am not active, like trading.
All I know is there are only two cycles: the bull and the bear. The bull is where I take profit, and the bear is the phase where I accumulate. I haven't noticed any significant movement that will contribute to this supercycle.

bullrun and bearish, up and down, red and green, that's all I know just like you, so when this thread comes out it turns out there are many terms and cycles in crypto, but if you look at the cycles that have already been there are all not the same always changing so after 4 years of cycles to reach the peak there will definitely be a change in trend, is that so or ...

[electronicash]

Are you pursuing the belief in the "super cycle" in this cycle?

I'm not a full-time trader, but all the time I'm investing in cryptocurrency. This is the first time I read about supercycles. Maybe I missed this term because its only mentioned in other categories of cryptocurrencies where I am not active, like trading.
All I know is there are only two cycles: the bull and the bear. The bull is where I take profit, and the bear is the phase where I accumulate. I haven't noticed any significant movement that will contribute to this supercycle.

bullrun and bearish, up and down, red and green, that's all I know just like you, so when this thread comes out it turns out there are many terms and cycles in crypto, but if you look at the cycles that have already been there are all not the same always changing so after 4 years of cycles to reach the peak there will definitely be a change in trend, is that so or ...

i heard of this term back in 2021 bull market and i thought it would happen that time where BTC would go $100k but it didn't happen. i'm thinking this may be the time it will finally come true because of the president and the supply of BTC while there are huge demand for BTC when governments are going to keep buying it for their use as reserves.

ofc this is still a theory and whether the market will still have a bear market or not. we know there is a sign of oversold an d overbought.

[Unbunplease]

It is quite possible the 4-year cycle will be broken this year, and we may well see a fairly long bull season, and a relatively short bear season. Over time, things will gradually even out.

[MrSpasybo]

It is quite possible the 4-year cycle will be broken this year, and we may well see a fairly long bull season, and a relatively short bear season. Over time, things will gradually even out.

Well, I am not sure about the new history in this cycle, because I have also heard about it in previous cycles but unfortunately it did not happen. So I continue to maintain a cautious attitude and focus on taking profits in this cycle rather than believing in something that has never happened.

My optimistic view is that there will come a time when the crypto market will fluctuate almost like the stock market with many consecutive bubbles and the % of price increases will increase in the long term instead of gradually decreasing as it is now. If we are lucky, we are right at that important "inflection point" thanks to the positive policies for the crypto market.

[vegasus]

I believe in the 4-year crypto cycle, which will have bearish - a transition period - and bullish - until the bullish peak. And whether there is a super cycle or not, I may not understand whether we were in a super cycle or not. But that's why, we are not too bothered by the situation. The point is, when we target our direction according to the goal for profit at a certain number, that's what will be done and expected. and in a certain cycle, there may be some differences, and it's just a matter of waiting to see how it goes. Am I someone who is too relaxed about this? Will this be a problem later?

[philipma1957]

What makes super cycle is different with common cycle? I think there is no much difference between them. Especially in the current cycle, it even can be categorized as a weaker cycle because there is no much pump on altcoins prices. So far, we only saw significant move on Bitcoin price. But for the altcoins, many of them even couldn't reach their ATHs in 2021. How we can expect for super cycle in this year? Do you still believe in big pump on altcoins season?

or its a truth cycle in which thousands of shit coins tank bigly while a handful of coins along with btc do well.

I would argue three hundred or less alts are really needed.

[dave_strider]

or its a truth cycle in which thousands of shit coins tank bigly while a handful of coins along with btc do well.

I would argue three hundred or less alts are really needed.

Smaller ones are just liquidity eaters.
Alas, if the market allows it - and exchanges profit from it - it will be like that 

[target]

I hope there will be super cycle and that we as crypto users since 2017 are going to be the users who profit the most once this happen. However this could just be a wishful thinking for those who wish to have super cycle.

There have been threads where I read this supercycle even back in 2021, it was already been rumored to happen. But what they have been saying is that the supply is getting low and there is no more of those institutions from countries that have been too late to adopt which they may buy BTC at $100K or more.

[philipma1957]

I hope there will be super cycle and that we as crypto users since 2017 are going to be the users who profit the most once this happen. However this could just be a wishful thinking for those who wish to have super cycle.

There have been threads where I read this supercycle even back in 2021, it was already been rumored to happen. But what they have been saying is that the supply is getting low and there is no more of those institutions from countries that have been too late to adopt which they may buy BTC at $100K or more.

Yeah but if you check old blocks hit from 2009 to 2011 many are now being cashed out.

this is creating more supply and keeping price low.

right now a new block is 3.125 coins a 2009 block is 50 coins

So if I cash 100 blocks form 2009 it is 1680 blocks from now in terms of coin amount.

You need to track old block cashing to see what is happening.


check this address out. I can trace coins from 2009 to it  and it has had 5,700,000 btc pass through it:

https://btc3.trezor.io/address/1LNWw6yCxkUmkhArb2Nf2MPw6vG7u5WG7q?page=1652

[bhadz]

There is that supercycle and parabolic move that many cant' believe happening during the bull runs. We've got different classifications and descriptions toward it. But whether we like it or not, it is happening. This FOMO, supercycle, parabolic move. They all come together every bull run and it will different this time and then by 2028 to 2029 which will be the next cycle happens.

[MrSpasybo]

There is that supercycle and parabolic move that many cant' believe happening during the bull runs. We've got different classifications and descriptions toward it. But whether we like it or not, it is happening. This FOMO, supercycle, parabolic move. They all come together every bull run and it will different this time and then by 2028 to 2029 which will be the next cycle happens.

I believe in the existence of FOMO and parabolic move, but I don't believe in supercycle right now. I will only believe it if the market continuously grows from now until the next BTC halving without experiencing a severe crypto winter.

We will wait and see what happens in 2026. As a cycle investor, I hope I will have the opportunity to buy more tokens in the accumulation zone, for example, when BTC will return to test $40K.

[electronicash]

There is that supercycle and parabolic move that many cant' believe happening during the bull runs. We've got different classifications and descriptions toward it. But whether we like it or not, it is happening. This FOMO, supercycle, parabolic move. They all come together every bull run and it will different this time and then by 2028 to 2029 which will be the next cycle happens.

I believe in the existence of FOMO and parabolic move, but I don't believe in supercycle right now. I will only believe it if the market continuously grows from now until the next BTC halving without experiencing a severe crypto winter.

We will wait and see what happens in 2026. As a cycle investor, I hope I will have the opportunity to buy more tokens in the accumulation zone, for example, when BTC will return to test $40K.

this is what they have been saying afaik, there is a mother of all pump thats coming and all those who thought BTC price is too high for them to invest and altcoins are too risky to invest because its not even incrementing after a year of stagnant price are not going to go involved in crypto.

when all these people thinks is unprofitable to invest in crypto, that when the supercycle begins. gold was also been predicted to have a supercycle which is already happening.

[philipma1957]

There is that supercycle and parabolic move that many cant' believe happening during the bull runs. We've got different classifications and descriptions toward it. But whether we like it or not, it is happening. This FOMO, supercycle, parabolic move. They all come together every bull run and it will different this time and then by 2028 to 2029 which will be the next cycle happens.

I believe in the existence of FOMO and parabolic move, but I don't believe in supercycle right now. I will only believe it if the market continuously grows from now until the next BTC halving without experiencing a severe crypto winter.

We will wait and see what happens in 2026. As a cycle investor, I hope I will have the opportunity to buy more tokens in the accumulation zone, for example, when BTC will return to test $40K.

this time is different. I heard it a few times.

I do know this.  coins from 2009 2010 and 2011 are moving no all but some.

This is what is keeping the market price at the 90-110k slot.

when enough of the old coins move price will arc upwards bigly.

in order to get a super cycle need to go upwards this year to at least 125k

then in 2026 to over 160k

then in 2027 to say 200k. now those numbers could be high but what they would show if the 4 year cycle ended.

and the longer super cycle has started.

I actually would prefer.

2024 105k
2025 125k
2026 160k
2027 200k
2028 260k

and upwards for btc many premium stocks have 5 to 10 good years in a row.

why not btc?