Do you believe in the "supercycle" of the crypto market?

[Jating]

Depends on so many factors that we cannot be sure, indeed.

There are lots of actors on the market that push the investors and sentiment in different directions, but some are more bullish, some think the bear is already there (which I don't believe into).

BTC should be able to climb back where it left its ATH and push forward, because where there is a dip, there is a flow of confidence going afterward eventually.

If we take our political sentiments of Bitcoin action, we can say that Bitcoin has been trading on $80k range for long time and it's trying to manage because we are now likely in sell zone in big time frames but if we can manage between this 80k and higher, Bitcoin can be able to climb back higher or even break more all time high.

However, if we fail to hold into that price, it will be a bad signal because it will try trigger alot of sell pressure to the market and the price might want to dump even more and it's very dangerous where it's trading right now.

I don't think that we are in the sell zone, the market has been trading sideways for the last couple of months and so we are in the accumulation phase still. Even if we are just in the last leg of the bull run, and with this kind of movement, it's better to still buy and then how it goes. If there is a supercycle then at least we are ready specially if it goes on a parabolic rise. If we are in the bear market, then saving is the key and think of the bigger picture, long term investment is the key.

[erus]

A little bit in disbelief because I see that this cryptocurrency is unpredictable. Supercycle may also happen but it will not happen because Bitcoin's price cannot be predicted.
A little look at the history of the past and everything that has happened so far with the Bitcoin chart which continues to rise gradually every year, then the next phase is that the price will also increase, although later the price will go down again.
Supercycle will also definitely have the opposite effect, after the supercycle goes up there will definitely be a Supercycle that goes down and then all cryptocurrencies have a Bearish period but back to the beginning, which is unpredictable.

Hmmm... but it really happened in the history of Bitcoin halving... it's real and even ATH is always formed according to the supercycle... I do understand the meaning of price fluctuations that can never be predicted, but at least with historical data we can know that the supercycle is indeed valid, it's just that there might be an acceleration or maybe a slowdown due to several factors... what is certain is that the reference is Bitcoin halving...

Luckily you have known crypto for a long time, while I have only known crypto for a few months. I think your reference will be the best knowledge for me, even though there will be a drop in the price of Bitcoin but now I am starting to believe that there will be another Supercycle in crypto.

I am one of those who believe it... and in the last two cycles, I was lucky enough because it was still on track...

If this Supercycle will happen, then what price do you think the Bitcoin price target will reach when this Supercycle occurs?
Will the Bitcoin price exceed the price of 120,000 dollars?

[omori]

I don't think that we are in the sell zone, the market has been trading sideways for the last couple of months and so we are in the accumulation phase still. Even if we are just in the last leg of the bull run, and with this kind of movement, it's better to still buy and then how it goes. If there is a supercycle then at least we are ready specially if it goes on a parabolic rise. If we are in the bear market, then saving is the key and think of the bigger picture, long term investment is the key.

Bottom or not, if we buy big caps, we are going to get the profit in the long run.

Many see 2025 as the year to propel their portfolios forward, and rightfully so - there was already a pullback we saw, and now, we need to see the opposite of it, but when it happens - nobody would know.

[Report]

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Btw, I see that if from the image inserted by OP, we look closely, then the price of Bitcoin should be able to touch the price of 160,000 dollars, is that a realistic guess?

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BTC should be able to climb back where it left its ATH and push forward, because where there is a dip, there is a flow of confidence going afterward eventually.

The problem is as you said, we don't know what factors can increase the price of Bitcoin at this time because Bitcoin from a price of 103,000 dollars has fallen back to its current price of around 83,000 dollars.
Although the total price of Bitcoin has increased gradually, short-term investors do not have the patience of long-term investors, they only want short-term profits.

Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Bitcoin Halving, all factors are present in Bitcoin but now Bitcoin is still fighting at a price of around 83,000 dollars. So what other factors will there be if Bitcoin wants to reach an all-time high again?

[odin]

The problem is as you said, we don't know what factors can increase the price of Bitcoin at this time because Bitcoin from a price of 103,000 dollars has fallen back to its current price of around 83,000 dollars.
Although the total price of Bitcoin has increased gradually, short-term investors do not have the patience of long-term investors, they only want short-term profits.

Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Bitcoin Halving, all factors are present in Bitcoin but now Bitcoin is still fighting at a price of around 83,000 dollars. So what other factors will there be if Bitcoin wants to reach an all-time high again?

No fud around the overall situation on the market and everybody accepting that it's time to go up, apparently

[Stompix]

In 2017, the "supercycle" was mentioned again during the ICO fever and BTC price reached $20K. Investors heard interesting ideas in every field being brought to the blockchain and crypto becoming a means of payment for those services. ICOs were even considered a more efficient way of raising capital than IPOs, meaning the capital raising process would be changed by crypto and the stock market would shift towards tokenization. This expectation collapsed due to the 2018-2019 crypto winter.

In 2021, the "supercycle" was fueled by the belief in crypto applications, including DeFi as a replacement for CeFI, GameFi bringing blockchain & crypto into everyday life, and NFTs tokenizing non-fungible assets. Many KOLs even declared: the supercycle is BTC at $100K. The reality is that BTC price failed to reach $100K in 2021-2022, and the supercycle became a bitter joke. I couldn't take profits at the peak and lost most of my gains.

This year, 2025, the "supercycle" is mentioned again with BTC success in conquering $100K and the BTC Spot ETF. Additionally, Trump win has opened new opportunities for BTC and crypto in the US and globally.

So let me sum this up
-2017 ICO scams, lots of FOMO
-2019 DeFi, NFT, a ton of scams, lots of FOMO
-2025 Trump, a meme coin scammer, lots of FOMO

Why would anyone want any of those supercycles again?

[Report]

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Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Bitcoin Halving, all factors are present in Bitcoin but now Bitcoin is still fighting at a price of around 83,000 dollars. So what other factors will there be if Bitcoin wants to reach an all-time high again?

No fud around the overall situation on the market and everybody accepting that it's time to go up, apparently

If you look at the total price of Bitcoin so far, there has been no significant price drop, but do you see altcoins now dropping very far when Bitcoin's all-time high was just reached and then now it's down?
Do you hold altcoins like Ethereum which reached a price of $3,300 and then now the price has dropped to $1,430, see it drop almost half the price. Aren't you panicking?
Waiting for the Super Cycle in a position where the altcoins lose half their price is very sad, especially for those who are holders of various altcoins.

[odin]

If you look at the total price of Bitcoin so far, there has been no significant price drop, but do you see altcoins now dropping very far when Bitcoin's all-time high was just reached and then now it's down?
Do you hold altcoins like Ethereum which reached a price of $3,300 and then now the price has dropped to $1,430, see it drop almost half the price. Aren't you panicking?
Waiting for the Super Cycle in a position where the altcoins lose half their price is very sad, especially for those who are holders of various altcoins.

If we hold in spot, don't you think that, eventually, we will reach the previous price anyways? Then there is nothing to worry about, as long as funds we are holding won't be needed to be converted in a dire need.

[hollow knight]

So let me sum this up
-2017 ICO scams, lots of FOMO
-2019 DeFi, NFT, a ton of scams, lots of FOMO
-2025 Trump, a meme coin scammer, lots of FOMO

Why would anyone want any of those supercycles again?

Because of profits, of course.

After big FUD, comes big rebounce.

[Stompix]

After big FUD, comes big rebounce.

FUD?
We're on the brink of an economic war, companies are shutting down, some are not accepting or even purchasing from stock, thousands are delaying signing contracts, and you think this is FUD? No, this is called copium denial, it's just likE those guys who still  China is not bannign Bitcoin and is dealing in secret with it, copium, wishfull thinking, denial, unicorn farts snoring, everythign but certainly not FUD.

[|MINER|]

This supercycle in the market is not irrational. There are logical reasons behind it. That's why I believe this supercycle exists in the crypto market.
Here is a simple thing we need to see, as time goes by, the population of this world is increasing relentlessly and at the same time people are becoming adults, along with this, the number of people in the crypto market is increasing very rapidly and which will continue in the future.
As such, since bitcoin is limited, if adoption increases, there will definitely be more demand and when the demand is high, its price automatically increases.
So I believe in this super cycle.

[Baofeng]

In 2017, the "supercycle" was mentioned again during the ICO fever and BTC price reached $20K. Investors heard interesting ideas in every field being brought to the blockchain and crypto becoming a means of payment for those services. ICOs were even considered a more efficient way of raising capital than IPOs, meaning the capital raising process would be changed by crypto and the stock market would shift towards tokenization. This expectation collapsed due to the 2018-2019 crypto winter.

In 2021, the "supercycle" was fueled by the belief in crypto applications, including DeFi as a replacement for CeFI, GameFi bringing blockchain & crypto into everyday life, and NFTs tokenizing non-fungible assets. Many KOLs even declared: the supercycle is BTC at $100K. The reality is that BTC price failed to reach $100K in 2021-2022, and the supercycle became a bitter joke. I couldn't take profits at the peak and lost most of my gains.

This year, 2025, the "supercycle" is mentioned again with BTC success in conquering $100K and the BTC Spot ETF. Additionally, Trump win has opened new opportunities for BTC and crypto in the US and globally.

So let me sum this up
-2017 ICO scams, lots of FOMO
-2019 DeFi, NFT, a ton of scams, lots of FOMO
-2025 Trump, a meme coin scammer, lots of FOMO

Why would anyone want any of those supercycles again?

2020-2021 Play to earn as well was huge that time, but then we all know that this kind of hypes and there are also scammers using that as a opportunity.

So if there is a cycle then that could be it. Cycles of scams coming in every cycle in just different shape or form. But still the market buys then and then later regret their decision.

[$crypto$]

After big FUD, comes big rebounce.

FUD?
We're on the brink of an economic war, companies are shutting down, some are not accepting or even purchasing from stock, thousands are delaying signing contracts, and you think this is FUD? No, this is called copium denial, it's just likE those guys who still  China is not bannign Bitcoin and is dealing in secret with it, copium, wishfull thinking, denial, unicorn farts snoring, everythign but certainly not FUD.

You are right, we also have to be able to distinguish between FUD and what is really happening because of the ongoing economic war situation.

But despite all that, we can still see bitcoin maintaining something that we might not find from other things. Declines and increases are commonplace, we can't want to continue to see continuous increases without a situation where we have to go down.

[densus88]

After big FUD, comes big rebounce.

FUD?
We're on the brink of an economic war, companies are shutting down, some are not accepting or even purchasing from stock, thousands are delaying signing contracts, and you think this is FUD? No, this is called copium denial, it's just likE those guys who still  China is not bannign Bitcoin and is dealing in secret with it, copium, wishfull thinking, denial, unicorn farts snoring, everythign but certainly not FUD.

You are right, we also have to be able to distinguish between FUD and what is really happening because of the ongoing economic war situation.

But despite all that, we can still see bitcoin maintaining something that we might not find from other things. Declines and increases are commonplace, we can't want to continue to see continuous increases without a situation where we have to go down.

yeah we have to be able to distinguish between FUD and reality, currently the global economic condition is experiencing a recession and the tariff war has a big impact on the stock market and the crypto market. but bitcoin has started to improve, so it is likely that altcoin will soon follow suit and experience a price increase.

[UNIVERSE]

FUD?
We're on the brink of an economic war, companies are shutting down, some are not accepting or even purchasing from stock, thousands are delaying signing contracts, and you think this is FUD? No, this is called copium denial, it's just likE those guys who still  China is not bannign Bitcoin and is dealing in secret with it, copium, wishfull thinking, denial, unicorn farts snoring, everythign but certainly not FUD.

Yes, it is real. But some news can be called as FUDs. People who assume it is FUDs, they may assume the issues are too much. But they don't do deep research on the news/issues.

This supercycle in the market is not irrational. There are logical reasons behind it. That's why I believe this supercycle exists in the crypto market. Here is a simple thing we need to see, as time goes by, the population of this world is increasing relentlessly and at the same time people are becoming adults, along with this, the number of people in the crypto market is increasing very rapidly and which will continue in the future.

How you define supercycle? I think it is the similar cycle as in the past, I'm not sure about supercycle that OP means. However, I can agree that the demand for crypto will be increasing if people become more familiar with crypto. This may lead for the growing of crypto prices. So, in the future we may see the rapid increase in most crypto prices.