How to guess Bitcoin price to win?

[Crypto Library]

I agree with you and would also add that fundamental analysis is also a factor determining the winners. One has to try to do the best on their analysis and maybe hope luck factor help them to be among the winners. Like you said one can't just say because luck is on their side then their prediction is like around $40k.

If Bitcoin is actually at 90k and someone predicts 40k, then it's natural that luck won't be on their side here.
Because bitcoin price is not like gambling that someone makes a prediction based on luck and it will be correct. For this, one must have analysis knowledge, he must have knowledge about the previous market of bitcoin and make predictions accordingly.
The prediction may be that 40k will come in the bear season and will drop from 90k to almost it's not the gambling where it is now 90k and after a week it will comes on the 40k.

[Forsyth Jones]

Predicting the price of a highly volatile asset like Bitcoin is a very complicated task. If you are lucky and get a week when Bitcoin will not have many variations, it will be easier to guess, but more people will make very close guesses, making it difficult for the manager to determine the winners. That is why the prize is so high.

Guessing the probability of a rise, fall or reversal is one thing, trying to guess the exact price of Bitcoin is another, so I prefer to think that it is really a matter of luck.

[Amphenomenon]

Because bitcoin price is not like gambling that someone makes a prediction based on luck and it will be correct. For this, one must have analysis knowledge, he must have knowledge about the previous market of bitcoin and make predictions accordingly.
The prediction may be that 40k will come in the bear season and will drop from 90k to almost it's not the gambling where it is now 90k and after a week it will comes on the 40k.

Gambling is not entirely dependent on luck although requires more luck than the price prediction, but if you're not careful or just luck dependent it may not work out consecutively for you.

That's why there can be past a winner who may never get a win again simply because all they rely on is luck.

[Crypto Library]

Gambling is not entirely dependent on luck although requires more luck than the price prediction, but if you're not careful or just luck dependent it may not work out consecutively for you.

That's why there can be past a winner who may never get a win again simply because all they rely on is luck.

What did you just say? Gambling is not entirely dependent on luck!!!!!!!! Does that mean you're saying that gambling depends on skill? I mean, if you have good skill, you can earn passively by gambling?

Don't get me wrong I believe that gambling is entirely on luck and this is why this should the never be a source of passive income or the general income, it is only for the fun purpose.
And on the others hand bitcoin price is not depends on the it depends on how good you are in analysis yes it depends on the luck also but that's like we do hard work for exam and study and then getting is a good job also depend on luck.

[alltalk]

Btw, last March the winner was @alltalk as the 1st winner and received a reward of 300 dollars with a Bitcoin price guess of 83,500 dollars on March 24, 2025, 11:37:12 PM.
His guess was within the deadline which would end in about 23 minutes to submit a Bitcoin price guess.
Please check this = https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=328357.msg1737917#msg1737917

I have also PMed @alltalk regarding my post (so that he can reply), just in case he wants to share his experience and knowledge for guessing Bitcoin prices to become the winner in every Mixero contest.

I've read your PM.

Yep. I've ever won the BTC price prediction. It is totally lucky.

For Mixero BTC Price Prediction, it is up to you to submit your prediction. You can submit it earlier or late, but you must submit it before the deadline. I sometimes submit the price prediction nearing the deadline because I need a time to monitor the price movement. However, it is still totally based on the the luck as well. BTC price movement is naturally unpredictable, we can make an accurate prediction.

[Z-crypt]

Predicting the price of a highly volatile asset like Bitcoin is a very complicated task. If you are lucky and get a week when Bitcoin will not have many variations, it will be easier to guess, but more people will make very close guesses, making it difficult for the manager to determine the winners. That is why the prize is so high.

Guessing the probability of a rise, fall or reversal is one thing, trying to guess the exact price of Bitcoin is another, so I prefer to think that it is really a matter of luck.

Exactly!! It’s definitely luck. Prediction is something I don’t like being involved in because I know I’m not good at it. To make an accurate prediction is very difficult and tricky especially now that BTC price movements is very unstable.

[kai]

Btw, last March the winner was @alltalk as the 1st winner and received a reward of 300 dollars with a Bitcoin price guess of 83,500 dollars on March 24, 2025, 11:37:12 PM.
His guess was within the deadline which would end in about 23 minutes to submit a Bitcoin price guess.
Please check this = https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=328357.msg1737917#msg1737917

I have also PMed @alltalk regarding my post (so that he can reply), just in case he wants to share his experience and knowledge for guessing Bitcoin prices to become the winner in every Mixero contest.

....
I sometimes submit the price prediction nearing the deadline because I need a time to monitor the price movement.
....

I got the keyword here.
It seems like the trick to guess the Bitcoin price should be at the deadline because I noticed it takes about 5 days more for the announcement of the winner of this Bitcoin guess.
5 days is certain that the Bitcoin price change is very random between up and down, the possibility is high if you submit and choose the Bitcoin price at the Deadline because maybe the price change will not be too much from our guess.

[bayu7adi]

I'm sure some people are not good at analyzing, so it's natural to assume that some of the guessers only rely on luck... even writing a guess is free of charge, so you really don't lose out if you guess wrong, right?
Mixero's BTC price guessing contest is really interesting, because anyone has the chance to win a prize... there are no complicated requirements to meet, so it's really interesting to test your luck every month...
or if you really have the desire to become a trader, then you can learn to predict prices by joining this contest... so far the Bitcoin price guessing contest has always had a positive impact.

[Forsyth Jones]

I got the keyword here.
It seems like the trick to guess the Bitcoin price should be at the deadline because I noticed it takes about 5 days more for the announcement of the winner of this Bitcoin guess.
5 days is certain that the Bitcoin price change is very random between up and down, the possibility is high if you submit and choose the Bitcoin price at the Deadline because maybe the price change will not be too much from our guess.

Be very careful when getting so close to the prediction date (April 30th) to the point of missing the final deadline for posting the second-phase prediction, which I believe ends on April 24th if I'm not mistaken...

It's also worth noting that the OP shouldn't worry about things like hitting the exact price of BTC or other assets just to win a prediction raffle/giveaway, as this is something that is practically impossible to predict with such precision.

I think it's better for the OP not to make this his life goal, but just something to have fun with the other members of the forum, studying technical analysis to improve his accuracy in trading, using it to make money (of course, not to the point of giving up his main income for it).