We might be facing some extremely big volatility

[MrSpasybo]

I've been sharing my method of tracking the crypto market through BTC uptrend channel that's been in place since late 2022. While it might seem rudimentary, I still believe it's worthwhile and continues to provide reliable signals.

Here's what I'd like to point out regarding the current volatility:

1.  Good news: BTC price is still within its linear uptrend channel and receiving pretty solid support, today BTC price increase is proof of that. This allows us to continue observing the market with confidence and expect a new ATH.

2.  Bad news: BTC is no longer fluctuating normally like it did in the previous 2 years. If it were fluctuating normally, BTC should be at a $140K peak right now instead of re-accumulating in the $80K price zone. This phase reversal could be an early signal of a trend reversal before we see BTC price in the 6x or 5x price zone.

So, what's gonna happen? I don't know, I can't say for sure. I can only point out 2 scenarios I'll be watching for confirmation:

1. Positive scenario: BTC price will surge to $140K in the short term to make up for the growth delay.

2. BTC price will fall out of the uptrend channel and plunge the whole market into chaos, similar to the May 2021 event, before recovering to the $150K-170K zone by year-end. I'm not hoping for this, I prefer stability and altseason having a chance to explode mid-year.

Anyway, we've got to be prepared for anything. At least, I have a few criteria like that to keep an eye on and act when needed.

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?

[KryptoBull]

Anyway, we've got to be prepared for anything. At least, I have a few criteria like that to keep an eye on and act when needed.

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?

Here's my optimistic take: BTC will bounce back soon once the tariff tensions smooth out. This season won't fizzle out right at the start of 2025, and BTC's price isn't high enough yet to sustain a long term uptrend.

Fear always has a way of sounding convincing, but ultimately, FOMO will kick back in and take over. The important thing is, BTC is sitting at a very strong price point, and we can stay optimistic about what's ahead.

[SmartGold01]

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?

To me what I would only say is that after 90-120 days we would see bitcoin break out to 120k, which taking us to around Q2-3 as I believed that this last Month of 2nd week of Q1, that is to say; it is remaining about 16 days for the end of Q1 and starting from Q2 (90 days time) to Q3 first month would be a massive explosion in bitcoin price where it would instantaneously double ATH within the period of 7 DAYS respectively just as what happened when it breakout from 80k, to 90k.

+1 karma for you, nice and interesting analysis.

[MrSpasybo]

To me what I would only say is that after 90-120 days we would see bitcoin break out to 120k, which taking us to around Q2-3 as I believed that this last Month of 2nd week of Q1, that is to say; it is remaining about 16 days for the end of Q1 and starting from Q2 (90 days time) to Q3 first month would be a massive explosion in bitcoin price where it would instantaneously double ATH within the period of 7 DAYS respectively just as what happened when it breakout from 80k, to 90k.

+1 karma for you, nice and interesting analysis.

Thank you, I enjoy this kind of analysis to share my views on the market. My views may be right or wrong, either way it provides some extra information for the community to discuss together. I would also like to receive more opinions from more members on AltcoinsTalks ^^

At the moment, a BTC price surge to $120K is what creates a growth turning point for the entire crypto market, which is mired in doubt and fear. The lower boundary support is still underway, it's just that we can't be easily optimistic when the BTC price hasn't crossed the central line ~ $107K right now.

The cycle is still playing out, this process is still continuing. Even though many things have changed, the long-term growth nature is still expected to repeat to maintain order in this market. I don't believe in the change of cyclicality yet, because it's a prerequisite for whales to easily plan to manipulate investors psychology.

[jeraldskie11]

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?

I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.

[SmartGold01]

To me what I would only say is that after 90-120 days we would see bitcoin break out to 120k, which taking us to around Q2-3 as I believed that this last Month of 2nd week of Q1, that is to say; it is remaining about 16 days for the end of Q1 and starting from Q2 (90 days time) to Q3 first month would be a massive explosion in bitcoin price where it would instantaneously double ATH within the period of 7 DAYS respectively just as what happened when it breakout from 80k, to 90k.

+1 karma for you, nice and interesting analysis.

Thank you, I enjoy this kind of analysis to share my views on the market. My views may be right or wrong, either way it provides some extra information for the community to discuss together. I would also like to receive more opinions from more members on AltcoinsTalks ^^

Yes I do love your general overview towards the market and sure we can't for any reason be certain over the market but, we can still speculate over the general performance of market, and yes this are the types of discussion we should keep involving ourselves with to learn and educates ourselves how the market would reacts over the period of time.

[Hamza2424]

Perspective is good enough, now the market sentiments are flowing in a reverse order, like now the market is not giving room for people to move on emotionally, a wave of fear when we dropped from 92k and till now as we are resisting in the specific range even though there were some of the manipulative pumps and dumps as well, the psychological index is on the reverse side of the market sentiments.

But it's really good to follow up with trends.

[Trongduy]

2. BTC price will fall out of the uptrend channel and plunge the whole market into chaos, similar to the May 2021 event, before recovering to the $150K-170K zone by year-end. I'm not hoping for this, I prefer stability and altseason having a chance to explode mid-year.

I'm afraid the market might head this way since things are pretty negative, and there's no significant bullish momentum strong enough to overcome the macro. What's scary is when prices drop and we don't get out in time to buy back at a lower price point.

If prices drop and we can take advantage of the FED's interest rate cut in June for a recovery, that's not too bad, but the pain the market brings isn't pleasant at all. Many investors will rush to sell off and leave the market, only to FOMO when prices rise to new highs.

[BitMaxz]

I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.

From daily time frame yes that's possible but base on the pattern as you can see it's building a bullish flag pattern the trend is not broke yet and still far from major support.

Here's the respected area I mean.


If the red one or resistance of the current trend broke out expect for the price within a week or 2 to touch again at $100k level because the current trend is building a bullish flag pattern. Once it touch again and break the previous ATH the prediction from the positive scenario(OP) is possible.
But for the time being, we are waiting for a breakout to any of these respected areas on the current trend; if it breaks the support area, the price is likely to fall even lower. However, if it breaks the resistance area on the current trend and there's a ChoCh that's another confirmation for upcoming bullish trend.

[MrSpasybo]

If the red one or resistance of the current trend broke out expect for the price within a week or 2 to touch again at $100k level because the current trend is building a bullish flag pattern. Once it touch again and break the previous ATH the prediction from the positive scenario(OP) is possible.

But for the time being, we are waiting for a breakout to any of these respected areas on the current trend; if it breaks the support area, the price is likely to fall even lower. However, if it breaks the resistance area on the current trend and there's a ChoCh that's another confirmation for upcoming bullish trend.

Nice, I like visual analysis like this, sometimes an image is worth a thousand words. This section is created for us to share our crypto trading views, and price charts are the easiest way to convey trading ideas!

We'll wait for BTC price movements in the next few weeks, because BTC can't stay in a trendless phase like this forever. I'm hoping for a positive scenario but also ready for the worst to come to BTC and the crypto market.

[Stompix]

2.  Bad news: BTC is no longer fluctuating normally like it did in the previous 2 years. If it were fluctuating normally, BTC should be at a $140K peak right now instead of re-accumulating in the $80K price zone. This phase reversal could be an early signal of a trend reversal before we see BTC price in the 6x or 5x price zone.

Extrapolation is not the way here, remember that the 2017 jump which as still 20x since the ATH would still have needed only half of the money Europeans spend on tourism bookings during summer, from this point on a 5x increase would mean, well, all the money the entire world spends for everything for two months 
If we go further back in history to the rise in 2013 that was just the cost of an aircraft carrier 

Far better to look at those in straight numbers rather than percentages.

Here's my optimistic take: BTC will bounce back soon once the tariff tensions smooth out.

You're in for a surprise, Europe has just responded to Trump's threats so his ego will obviously get the better of him and he will come with something stupid again this week.

[BitMaxz]

Nice, I like visual analysis like this, sometimes an image is worth a thousand words. This section is created for us to share our crypto trading views, and price charts are the easiest way to convey trading ideas!

Actually this is not my main chart I just created this one for coinbase and for this topic. My main chart is in OKX BTCUSDT but it's a bit messy because I made a lot of trend line in short term pattern. I could say right now that I am consistently profitable but I only have small account size however, it consistently growing unlike on my previous trades.
I now stick with reversal patterns and trend breakouts if I don't see any of these on the chart I don't trade. So like other said before patience is the key and also learning how to calculate lot size is important for your SL to stick with 1% rule.

Without drawing you can't determine the trends, patterns and support/resistance area or not able to know where to put stop-loss in trading.
I made a mistakes before but it helps a lot to avoid mistakes again and improve my next trades.

[Bobcrypto]

Btc will always bounce back, most times its spring up surprises especially when there are many doubt and about the next price movements. However, in the next few weeks, we may be experiencing side ways movements that can trigger a bullish momentum if bitcoin can break the 85k resistance and hold strongly above it, but otherwise, a break below $75k will become bearish in my opinion.

[dave_strider]

Btc will always bounce back, most times its spring up surprises especially when there are many doubt and about the next price movements. However, in the next few weeks, we may be experiencing side ways movements that can trigger a bullish momentum if bitcoin can break the 85k resistance and hold strongly above it, but otherwise, a break below $75k will become bearish in my opinion.

2025 is the year to behold a new ATH, in my opinion.

We just need to wait and keep holding 

[JISAN]

This is Bitcoin's first ever halving circle where Bitcoin is not following any of its previous history. Not only Bitcoin but the whole market has forgotten the previous history, this is because some billionaires entered the market and spread different news at different times and destabilized the market. And only small investors are affected from here. All the small and panic investors are pocketing all the money. So the crypto market is now very much like gambling. So I think it is better to refrain from trading or investment to be safe at this time. Because now investing in crypto market is very high risk