Analysts: Bitcoin cycle might have been shifted

[Bobcrypto]

There are growing concerns that the Bitcoin four year cycle might had been shifted based on factors like, high numbers institutional investors, demands, growing interest from the US, the adoptions of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve and others.
Again, 2025 is supposed to kick start bitcoin new circle but there are insinuation and speculations of a bear run, and because of this various market ideas, some market analysts suggest that Bitcoin four year circle is not ineffective as it used to be, the circle might have been permanently shifted,  some analyst insisted. What do you think?

Check here for details: https://cointelegraph.com/news/crypto-market-cycle-permanently-shifted-polygon-founder

[Charles-Tim]

Do not just believe analysts in everything they are saying. What I do not like about them is that as some of them will predict something, others will be predicting the opposite.

Probably they are doing this to alter 2026 bear market. Just use your brain and do not let what they are saying deceive you.

[TomPluz]

Well, this analysis can be right due to the big and influential factors cited above but this can just be another speculation so maybe I would end at the end of 2025 to finally conclude of this possible shift. What can not be denied is that years 2024 and 2025 will be considered as different than the past many years especially connected to the concept of a Bitcoin cycle. What I just don't like is that we are already ending the first quarter of the year and I am still looking forward for Bitcoin to rushed towards the $150K magic zone.

[ABCbits]

Do you forget to include link to the news? With only what you said, it means people should realize why phrase "Past Performance Is Not Indicative Of Future Results" exists.

[Bobcrypto]

Do you forget to include link to the news? With only what you said, it means people should realize why phrase "Past Performance Is Not Indicative Of Future Results" exists.

Yes, sorry I forgot, but it has been added as per the details. you can now read and make your contribution on the topic. Thank for your quick observation.

[Jating]

Do you forget to include link to the news? With only what you said, it means people should realize why phrase "Past Performance Is Not Indicative Of Future Results" exists.

And we can only connect the dots moving forward, so for now, everything is still very speculative. We really don't know if this is a new trend or the market has shifted already. If it is the latter, then we might have achieved the all time high already? If we believed that it's not then, perhaps the trend will continue. Which means that that there are still a lot of leg room for us to make a rally and see the price going into it's peak around the last quarter of the year.

[God Of Thunder]

some market analysts suggest that Bitcoin four year circle is not ineffective as it used to be, the circle might have been permanently shifted,  some analyst insisted. What do you think?

I started to realize that since the last halvening. I guess it was dkbit98 who posted a similar thought, and he shared why the halving is not much affecting the market. Before, the halving caused huge scarcity on the market. For example, if the block reward was 50 Bitcoin, it was reduced to 25 and then 12.5, and then 6.25. These sharp drops caused huge scarcity after a few months of the halving. But now most of the supply is on circulating already. There are only  a few percentage of Bitcoin left to mine and the scarcity won't increase much.

[Crwth]

A lot of things have happened already, but I believe that people will be able to see how far Bitcoin has come. It is just still starting, and I hope that everyone will be involved in this. I think this is just to start with the Bitcoin reserve, and I hope that other countries will follow suit as well.

[electronicash]

the altcoin season didn't come along while BTC pumped after the halving. that's one proof that cycle has already changed. thebear market coming again after a year is likely to come and if BTC bull run continues i guess the cycle for BTC is the only that has changed positively while not for altcoins.

BTC adoption has changed a lot in the macro level. with trump elevating it as one of the strategic reserves and institutions coming to accumulate, maybe we can see another ATH.

[Zed0X]

We are yet to see who among these analysts with contrasting views is going to be correct. What is clear to us is that the halving cycle will continue and that there will be new market players in each cycle. We also understand that bitcoin price entered a new territory when even Governments got involved. Ultimately, it's up to you as a trader/investor how you will play in this changing market.

[bitterguy28]

Do not just believe analysts in everything they are saying. What I do not like about them is that as some of them will predict something, others will be predicting the opposite.

that is because there is no accurate analysis because no one is for certain to predict the future we all have our different assumptions based on different methods of analysis so believe what you want to believe

what i will say though is how often i have heard this already every after a bull run, people claim that there will be no more bearish cycle after that and instead bitcoin is entering a supercycle and guess what it has never happened so i doubt it will happen this year

[Kemarit]

We are yet to see who among these analysts with contrasting views is going to be correct. What is clear to us is that the halving cycle will continue and that there will be new market players in each cycle. We also understand that bitcoin price entered a new territory when even Governments got involved. Ultimately, it's up to you as a trader/investor how you will play in this changing market.

Yes, there are still a lot of contrasting views, there were even one school of thoughts who says about a super cycle. So maybe as time goes by, it might shift to a new one. Nevertheless, it can't be proven for now if we are in a new territory, or this is just similar but just different path for now.

And if this is a different path, then why we heard of predictions like $150,000-$180,000. If the majority saw a cycle that we have seen for the first time, then we could have arrived to that all time high of $109,000. But the thing is that we don't see that as our top price in this cycle and more is likely to come specially the last quarter of the year.

[Charles-Tim]

what i will say though is how often i have heard this already every after a bull run, people claim that there will be no more bearish cycle after that and instead bitcoin is entering a supercycle and guess what it has never happened so i doubt it will happen this year

This is the first time I have heard something like that since I have known about bitcoin. What makes them to be saying rubbish is because of the United States bitcoin reserve and how the all-time high came earlier than expected last year. But you are right that it is just a prediction. They can be right or wrong. What I see is that they can be wrong.

[Baofeng]

what i will say though is how often i have heard this already every after a bull run, people claim that there will be no more bearish cycle after that and instead bitcoin is entering a supercycle and guess what it has never happened so i doubt it will happen this year

This is the first time I have heard something like that since I have known about bitcoin. What makes them to be saying rubbish is because of the United States bitcoin reserve and how the all-time high came earlier than expected last year. But you are right that it is just a prediction. They can be right or wrong. What I see is that they can be wrong.

Yes, other call it supercycle, but still not happening at least. I wouldn't be concern about Bitcoin's price movement. We still have plenty of months in our side to accomplished and get to what everyone is predicting, $150k and higher.

The new cycle though might have started to altcoin market, just look at the market itself, Ethereum is still down by more than 60% from it's previous high and almost all of the top coins have similar pattern.

[Bobcrypto]

the altcoin season didn't come along while BTC pumped after the halving. that's one proof that cycle has already changed. thebear market coming again after a year is likely to come and if BTC bull run continues i guess the cycle for BTC is the only that has changed positively while not for altcoins.

BTC adoption has changed a lot in the macro level. with trump elevating it as one of the strategic reserves and institutions coming to accumulate, maybe we can see another ATH.

Bitcoin drives the entire crypto market, so once there is any mentioned of crypto circle, it is directly focus on the Bitcoin ecosystem. I doubt if Altcoins has separate circles, though each altcoins has a separate blockchain networks, but if they do have a circle, unfortunately, this circle are of no effect on the crypto market as far as I know
In addition, It is clear that altcoins has no direct control of the market but Bitcoin does control the market overtimes.