Don't feed your bitcoin to the whale.

[|MINER|]

I have already created a discussion on the bitcointalk but I think I should also share this topic within this community and get your opinions.

It is normal for the Bitcoin market to go down and pump again because Bitcoin is a volatile asset.
Now, no one can guarantee what the market sentiment will be in the coming days, but if we have experience from the past days or check the records, then every time this kind of bear trap has happened in the bull season. And after many people liquidated a huge amount, the market became bullish again.

We have seen $1.4 Billion liquidated from the market in the last 24 hours. And this kind of panic situation has not been seen since the Covid Crash in 2020. And in this situation, not only our crypto space is alone, but also Stocks and Commodities.

So is this the Bull trap or really or the start of bear? What does your personal judgment and analysis says about this?

topic title collected from @BitcoinMagazine

[Charles-Tim]

We still have some months left before bear market would begin. What is happening is caused by Trump and not that the bear market has began. In the past, something like this has happened before but bitcoin later increased and get to all-time high. People should not panic and sell.

[dave_strider]

We still have some months left before bear market would begin. What is happening is caused by Trump and not that the bear market has began. In the past, something like this has happened before but bitcoin later increased and get to all-time high. People should not panic and sell.

I do hope the confidence will eventually return to us, even in 2025.. Because currently, the fear engulfed everything.

The trap is set

[Bobcrypto]

Bull traps are usually a false trading signals, so it happens at certain uptrends market movements at some prices intervals when most traders think that the market sentiments is bullish, and prompt some traders to buy Bitcoin with the hope that a further price increase will occur only to experience a sudden reversal.

Actually we have been experiencing Bull traps, short squeeze, side ways movements over the past two months but I don't think we have entered the bear run yet, though there seem to be some selling pressure due the tariff war and other factors.
I think a bounce is expected, Btc is likely going to hit another resistance at $87k, if it succeed, then a $95k to $100k, may play out in my opinion. lets watch out!

[omori]

Bull traps are usually a false trading signals, so it happens at certain uptrends market movements at some prices intervals when most traders think that the market sentiments is bullish, and prompt some traders to buy Bitcoin with the hope that a further price increase will occur only to experience a sudden reversal.

Actually we have been experiencing Bull traps, short squeeze, side ways movements over the past two months but I don't think we have entered the bear run yet, though there seem to be some selling pressure due the tariff war and other factors.
I think a bounce is expected, Btc is likely going to hit another resistance at $87k, if it succeed, then a $95k to $100k, may play out in my opinion. lets watch out!

I too don't think we are in to see the Bear rampant now.

We may dip further, up to 60k, in my opinion, before the rebounce will happen.

[Mia Chloe]

I have already created a discussion on the bitcointalk but I think I should also share this topic within this community and get your opinions.
It is normal for the Bitcoin market to go down and pump again because Bitcoin is a volatile asset.

No real life market will remain in a particular trend  forever and that's why you should expect that even if bitcoin pumps on an overall view there would still be dumps at intervals. However I also noticed that sadly it seems like these dumps are moved selfishly by liquidity sometimes.

Another problem we have is FOMO. Basically FOMO of scared investors make manipulations work faster and easier since it kinda increases the volume in that direction.

[LogitechMouse]

---

We have seen $1.4 Billion liquidated from the market in the last 24 hours. And this kind of panic situation has not been seen since the Covid Crash in 2020. And in this situation, not only our crypto space is alone, but also Stocks and Commodities.

So is this the Bull trap or really or the start of bear? What does your personal judgment and analysis says about this?

If we will follow that picture, and what happened in 2021 bull run season, I guess we will all agree that it's the same.

Currently, we are in a bear trap (based on that picture), and the catalyst to this downwards pressure is the tariff war of Trump against ALL of the countries. Now in order for the market to go up again, we need another CATALYST. Something big, that it can cause prices of different markets to go up yet again. The question is, WHAT and WHEN it will happen.

I still believe that we will see another push towards the upside somewhere this year. My prediction is it will happen at around end of Q2 to around Q3, will last for months then we will enter the bear market season.

[TryNinja]

Markets are droping 10% to 20% everywhere. China, Indonesia, Japan, Brazil, Europe altogether... of course BTC will also drop, people don't want risk assets on moments like this. If Trump gets some sense and stop with his crazy tarifs, we'll recover fairly quickly. Back in the old days we would have seen a 50% drop, so we're cool. Definitely not selling anything right now...

[TomPluz]

We are definitely in a bear trap stage and if we listen to the smell of fear and act according to the moment we could end up losing and will fail to participate in the coming rebound. People in crypto are exposed to the idea of HODLING...and right now is the time to use that idea to the max. There is no need to be a PANICAN. The tariff war initiated by Trump is going to be temporary as most countries involved are now signaling their willingness to negotiate...this chaos will eventually benefit the economy of America and those criticizing it will eventually shut up.

[bayu7adi]

I still believe that we will see another push towards the upside somewhere this year. My prediction is it will happen at around end of Q2 to around Q3, will last for months then we will enter the bear market season.

It is very difficult to believe that there will be another bullish period this year, even though I think the bullish period in the halving cycle is over... so from March to 2028 we will not see ATH again... IMO, this is the right time to start accumulating until the next cycle....

And a few days ago someone discussed the acceleration of the cycle, but I don't think it will be accelerated 2x, so at least the cycle will continue but not four years, it could be reduced to 3 years... that means there is still time until 2027 my friend... to see a new ATH will take 3 more years....

[bitterguy28]

It is very difficult to believe that there will be another bullish period this year, even though I think the bullish period in the halving cycle is over... so from March to 2028 we will not see ATH again... IMO, this is the right time to start accumulating until the next cycle....

yes it is easy to go to that conclusion considering where bitcoin is at right now and it is not exactly showing good signs of another bullish peak

And a few days ago someone discussed the acceleration of the cycle, but I don't think it will be accelerated 2x, so at least the cycle will continue but not four years, it could be reduced to 3 years... that means there is still time until 2027 my friend... to see a new ATH will take 3 more years....

it is possible but i also want to stick with the idea that the ath comes after a halving event which really does take four years although the ath last year came before even the halving event so maybe roughly four years is what we are looking at here

[tequilla_sunset]

I still believe that we will see another push towards the upside somewhere this year. My prediction is it will happen at around end of Q2 to around Q3, will last for months then we will enter the bear market season.

It is very difficult to believe that there will be another bullish period this year, even though I think the bullish period in the halving cycle is over... so from March to 2028 we will not see ATH again... IMO, this is the right time to start accumulating until the next cycle....

And a few days ago someone discussed the acceleration of the cycle, but I don't think it will be accelerated 2x, so at least the cycle will continue but not four years, it could be reduced to 3 years... that means there is still time until 2027 my friend... to see a new ATH will take 3 more years....

I would see the Summer period of this year to see if the market would be changed, I do think the rebounce should happen eventually, and I do think it will happen faster than going as far as waiting for the years to come.

[|MINER|]

If we will follow that picture, and what happened in 2021 bull run season, I guess we will all agree that it's the same.

Currently, we are in a bear trap (based on that picture), and the catalyst to this downwards pressure is the tariff war of Trump against ALL of the countries. Now in order for the market to go up again, we need another CATALYST. Something big, that it can cause prices of different markets to go up yet again. The question is, WHAT and WHEN it will happen.

I still believe that we will see another push towards the upside somewhere this year. My prediction is it will happen at around end of Q2 to around Q3, will last for months then we will enter the bear market season.

I also believe that the bull season is not over yet, the last turn is still ahead. And as a reason, I already said it once. I also have seen some users saying that maybe we have already faced a bear trap towards the end of 2024. But the price of Bitcoin at that time had only dumped 10 to 15 percent from the ATH price.
But if we look at the previous bull season, then the price of Bitcoin dropped around 55% in the bear trap. And in that, there are still q2,q3,q4 of 2025 left, now we have no choice but to wait.

[Bobcrypto]

We still have some months left before bear market would begin. What is happening is caused by Trump and not that the bear market has began. In the past, something like this has happened before but bitcoin later increased and get to all-time high. People should not panic and sell.

The timing of crypto market price ( bull or bear) is not always realistic especially when forecasting the bear season, in facts, crypto prices predictions does not always play out as expected, even many experts can testify to the fact that price predictions can be delayed to some time in near future, and most expert predictions analysis are based on a longer time frame or a high time frame (HTF)
It is a well known fact that bitcoin price is very difficult to predict accurately, therefore, the timing of a bear market can't be certain as you have mentioned. There are sometimes some persons may predict the market almost at the exert target, but expert got it wrong most times.

[tequilla_sunset]

We still have some months left before bear market would begin. What is happening is caused by Trump and not that the bear market has began. In the past, something like this has happened before but bitcoin later increased and get to all-time high. People should not panic and sell.

The timing of crypto market price ( bull or bear) is not always realistic especially when forecasting the bear season, in facts, crypto prices predictions does not always play out as expected, even many experts can testify to the fact that price predictions can be delayed to some time in near future, and most expert predictions analysis are based on a longer time frame or a high time frame (HTF)
It is a well known fact that bitcoin price is very difficult to predict accurately, therefore, the timing of a bear market can't be certain as you have mentioned. There are sometimes some persons may predict the market almost at the exert target, but expert got it wrong most times.

Bear or not, the price for BTC right now is as good as it won't be for the rest of this cycle, whether it will end or not - it's not that important if we won't use leverage for our positions