Altcoins Talks - Cryptocurrency Forum
Further Discussions => Economics , Sociology & Politics => Topic started by: DrBeer on November 08, 2024, 12:23:21 PM
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As we all know by now, a new president was elected in the US this week. We will not discuss the person, we will discuss a few of his election slogans and the expected market reaction.
So, I would like to talk about two slogans “Make America Great Again” and “Pump the oil baby, pump it !”
What's that about? I will not go into the political aspects as this is an economic topic. Economically, it means regaining lost leverage, markets and forcing some market players to take the place that Trump thinks they deserve instead of playing gods. We won't discuss what Trump will do with the economy of China and other “fighters against the US and the dollar”, we'll talk about...oil. The second slogan, perhaps not known to everyone, is “Pump the oil baby, pump it !” and the idea is very simple - make oil cheap, give tax breaks to American oil producers and lower the price of oil to about 50 dollars a barrel. It should be noted that the US has everything it needs to REALIZE this !
Actually the question - your opinion, what is the forecast of realization of this slogan and what will be the impact on the economy of the U.S. and the world ?
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So, I would like to talk about two slogans “Make America Great Again” and “Pump the oil baby, pump it !”
the MAGA slogan is not really about economy tho
i think it is more about the republicans' traditional beliefs that they want to reenforce stronger today i could write more about this but you said you want to talk about economy/oil so i will leave it for another convo lol
Actually the question - your opinion, what is the forecast of realization of this slogan and what will be the impact on the economy of the U.S. and the world ?
the slogan would not do anything but raise expectations and get him votes which are things that are already done and now trump has to work he plans on lowering oil prices which means that he probably wants to increase us production of oil so that domestic prices are lowered this will be bad for other countries that produce oil like russia and saudi arabia because more countries will rely on us for oil if their prices are much cheaper and the other countries will not get as much revenue if that happens
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Actually the question - your opinion, what is the forecast of realization of this slogan and what will be the impact on the economy of the U.S. and the world ?
The US remain the largest oil producers over six years now and the main problem of US economy has been cost in energy. He will definitely try as much as possible to cut it down and here is how I think he will actualize it.
- If they increase their production of barrel perday, probably from 21m/day to 30m/day, this can increase the supply and this can immediately crash the price of crude oil. However, I'm not sure if regulations will allow them to do that but Trump that I know listen to no one, so it's possible :D
- The war in the middle east: Since he promised to end the war in the middle east, most of the countries at war drill oil and if they later settle their differences, they will come back to production to increase their quota of supply to the market and then this can also crash the price of oil further.
- The rest of the world that are dependent on crude oil sell nigh fall short in their own economy especially if they invest so much in the cost of production of their crude oil.
These are the things I think we might see very soon. The price of Gold is already reacting to Trump succession of the election.
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So, I would like to talk about two slogans “Make America Great Again” and “Pump the oil baby, pump it !”
the MAGA slogan is not really about economy tho
i think it is more about the republicans' traditional beliefs that they want to reenforce stronger today i could write more about this but you said you want to talk about economy/oil so i will leave it for another convo lol
Actually the question - your opinion, what is the forecast of realization of this slogan and what will be the impact on the economy of the U.S. and the world ?
the slogan would not do anything but raise expectations and get him votes which are things that are already done and now trump has to work he plans on lowering oil prices which means that he probably wants to increase us production of oil so that domestic prices are lowered this will be bad for other countries that produce oil like russia and saudi arabia because more countries will rely on us for oil if their prices are much cheaper and the other countries will not get as much revenue if that happens
I agree that the slogan was originally about something else, but time goes on, and this slogan already speaks in a broader sense, taking into account the realities.
Back to oil, and a drop in the price of oil is a very real scenario, especially given the growing confrontation and discontent within OPEC. Saudi Arabia in the last century has already shown how it is possible to collapse the oil market in a short period of time and for a long period of time. And the result of this step was the collapse of the USSR, the economy of which was based on the sale of hydrocarbons.
At the same time, today's games of manipulation of oil prices are not very supportive of Saudi Arabia either....
Now let's return to geopolitics - oil growth in recent years, if we do not take into account manipulation, was linked to expectations and growth in demand for oil due to the growth of the Chinese economy. Now this trigger for price growth is no longer there and most likely will not be. But Trump has a desire to “cool down the dashing heads” in Beijing, which is likely to lead to an even greater slowdown in the Chinese economy. This means that demand for oil will fall further. And if demand falls - what happens? That's right - a drop in the price of this commodity. Therefore, it seems to me that the complex of promises so far, and in 2025 and real steps, with high probability can lead to such a scenario as BRENT at 50 dollars per barrel.
Bottom line - MAGA is realized both by supporting the economy domestically and by economically weakening our adversaries.
And imagine what kind of support Trump will have when the price of gasoline in the US drops by about half ? :)
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dollar”, we'll talk about...oil. The second slogan, perhaps not known to everyone, is “Pump the oil baby, pump it !” and the idea is very simple - make oil cheap, give tax breaks to American oil producers and lower the price of oil to about 50 dollars a barrel. It should be noted that the US has everything it needs to REALIZE this !
Actually the question - your opinion, what is the forecast of realization of this slogan and what will be the impact on the economy of the U.S. and the world ?
If trump is ready to bring down the price of oil it's a good one but to me it's a bad ideas because there are countries that depends on oil to feed their nation and help their Economy too so it will be bad for many Economies of the world especially African Economies if he has a economic plan to make America great again he should go ahead with it but let him leave the price of oil out of it because the truth is the American economy has not been doing well for a while so he should be talking about America trade and how they can gain more grounds in the world especially in the African market where china is becoming a threat to them
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Well I guess world leaders especially those with huge oil resourses like Trump because they feel safe with him as they only talk about how to make economies great as oppose to other leaders that always talk about wars and stuff so I think those countries are more interested in having business with Trump than going to war against him and that is where Oil might pump.
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Well I guess world leaders especially those with huge oil resourses like Trump because they feel safe with him as they only talk about how to make economies great as oppose to other leaders that always talk about wars and stuff so I think those countries are more interested in having business with Trump than going to war against him and that is where Oil might pump.
just like in his first term yes. making business should be the first choice for the country's policies. this is how a leader should be, WIN without Fighting.
if US does have the resources then why is there the need for them to invade the middle east? but yep if they have the oil, just re-up the factories in their homeland build more in US soil instead off moving them all the China so that Us will not have to create tension in China to make war because they can't prevent their technology from being copied as they claim.
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just like in his first term yes. making business should be the first choice for the country's policies. this is how a leader should be, WIN without Fighting.
Wow, why didn't you ever gave this advice to Putin? ;)
because the truth is the American economy has not been doing well for a while so he should be talking about America trade and how they can gain more grounds in the world especially in the African market where china is becoming a threat to them
The American Economy has not been doing well for a while?
The US economy grew by $1.6 trillion in 2023, that's more than 4 times the entire GDP of Nigeria or nearly the entire GDP of Russia, and this was just the increase! You call this doing badly?
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just like in his first term yes. making business should be the first choice for the country's policies. this is how a leader should be, WIN without Fighting.
Wow, why didn't you ever gave this advice to Putin? ;)
Putin is doing the necessary. its unavoidable because the trouble is chasing Putin. when bully is already out of place and had crossed its line already where they shouldn't go, someone has to step up. Because Afghanistan can't. Iraq can't. Libya can't and all the rest that can't are already down and Russia just can't be among those on the list. the advice Putin received it do it. and his friends are going to back him up.
comparing US to Nigeria? that is how low now?
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Putin is doing the necessary. its unavoidable because the trouble is chasing Putin. when bully is already out of place and had crossed its line already where they shouldn't go, someone has to step up. Because Afghanistan can't.
Putin invaded Chechnya, Putin invaded Georgia, and Putin invaded Ukraine.
You talk about Afghanistan and you forgot it was Russia who invaded Afghanistan first!
Crossed lines? You mean that if your girlfriend ever leaves you you're going to enter her house and rape her?Pathetic!
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what is the forecast of realization of this slogan...
I'm unaware of some of the challenges, but within the very first year in office, the new administration should be able to achieve this.
... and what will be the impact on the economy of the U.S.
A reduced price of oil will allow citizens to have more money to spend on other things.
... and the world ?
Around the world, countries that depend on the US for oil will be happy that they will have to spend less on it, while competitors to the US on the oil market will be forced to reduce their own prices to eliminate the advantage the US will have from the reduced price.
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Putin is doing the necessary. its unavoidable because the trouble is chasing Putin. when bully is already out of place and had crossed its line already where they shouldn't go, someone has to step up. Because Afghanistan can't.
Putin invaded Chechnya, Putin invaded Georgia, and Putin invaded Ukraine.
You talk about Afghanistan and you forgot it was Russia who invaded Afghanistan first!
Crossed lines? You mean that if your girlfriend ever leaves you you're going to enter her house and rape her?Pathetic!
what? damn i saw the brains roaming around.
but yeah they are not so very different at all. the difference is that Russia didn't try to invade US while NATO tried to surround Russia and inch by inch they extend NATO every time they get a chance. anyway, i don't want to take this off topic to the very end.
the oil can fill again our tanks again but what would they do with the EVs and climate change narrative after activating the oil rigs again?
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Yeah I sense it that with the pressure of the current president I think they can get back to a better Economy especially since one of their major country rival are facing difficulty in their Economy. But sorry I would like to ask a question cause I don't really follow any news of America and news concerning their oil so my question is, when you say reduce cost of oil by 50 dollars per barrel do you mean for American sellers or it is import cost.
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Putin is doing the necessary. its unavoidable because the trouble is chasing Putin. when bully is already out of place and had crossed its line already where they shouldn't go, someone has to step up. Because Afghanistan can't.
Putin invaded Chechnya, Putin invaded Georgia, and Putin invaded Ukraine.
You talk about Afghanistan and you forgot it was Russia who invaded Afghanistan first!
Crossed lines? You mean that if your girlfriend ever leaves you you're going to enter her house and rape her?Pathetic!
what? damn i saw the brains roaming around.
but yeah they are not so very different at all. the difference is that Russia didn't try to invade US while NATO tried to surround Russia and inch by inch they extend NATO every time they get a chance. anyway, i don't want to take this off topic to the very end.
the oil can fill again our tanks again but what would they do with the EVs and climate change narrative after activating the oil rigs again?
If you study history and not propaganda, you will learn that in the noughties Putin wanted Russia to join NATO, until 2014, there were NATO bases in Russia, Russia cooperated with NATO fully, and until 2022 NATO did not think to expand. NATO does not attack other countries, NATO does not behave like sadists in other countries. NATO does not occupy foreign territories. Russia, on the other hand, has been doing it constantly for centuries..... Your thought sounds like : the state is evil, it builds prisons, invented courts to convict criminals, and imprisons criminals for crimes, but pretupniki they are good, they do not make prisons and do not judge criminals :))
I am a citizen of Ukraine, I have seen what the “Russian world” is, I have seen cities wiped off the face of the earth (it is called in Russia “we liberated them”), I have seen huge squares with mass graves of civilians killed in sadistic and brutal way.....
Therefore, strengthening, or even say the revival of the U.S., will only be to the benefit, in the fight against global terrorism, both conventional and economic, and cheap oil is the death of the Russian economy, and thus the inability to further support the terrorist war in Ukraine, and will not give the opportunity to broadcast it further around the world, as they openly declare
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Putin is doing the necessary. its unavoidable because the trouble is chasing Putin. when bully is already out of place and had crossed its line already where they shouldn't go, someone has to step up. Because Afghanistan can't.
Putin invaded Chechnya, Putin invaded Georgia, and Putin invaded Ukraine.
You talk about Afghanistan and you forgot it was Russia who invaded Afghanistan first!
Crossed lines? You mean that if your girlfriend ever leaves you you're going to enter her house and rape her?Pathetic!
what? damn i saw the brains roaming around.
but yeah they are not so very different at all. the difference is that Russia didn't try to invade US while NATO tried to surround Russia and inch by inch they extend NATO every time they get a chance. anyway, i don't want to take this off topic to the very end.
the oil can fill again our tanks again but what would they do with the EVs and climate change narrative after activating the oil rigs again?
If you study history and not propaganda, you will learn that in the noughties Putin wanted Russia to join NATO, until 2014, there were NATO bases in Russia, Russia cooperated with NATO fully, and until 2022 NATO did not think to expand. NATO does not attack other countries, NATO does not behave like sadists in other countries. NATO does not occupy foreign territories. Russia, on the other hand, has been doing it constantly for centuries..... Your thought sounds like : the state is evil, it builds prisons, invented courts to convict criminals, and imprisons criminals for crimes, but pretupniki they are good, they do not make prisons and do not judge criminals :))
I am a citizen of Ukraine, I have seen what the “Russian world” is, I have seen cities wiped off the face of the earth (it is called in Russia “we liberated them”), I have seen huge squares with mass graves of civilians killed in sadistic and brutal way.....
Therefore, strengthening, or even say the revival of the U.S., will only be to the benefit, in the fight against global terrorism, both conventional and economic, and cheap oil is the death of the Russian economy, and thus the inability to further support the terrorist war in Ukraine, and will not give the opportunity to broadcast it further around the world, as they openly declare
you are really into deep to believing the lies dude. even after your country devastated.
Russia helped the west win against Germans, and yet they didn't let Russia joined? think about it. and then your government believes Ukr will be among the NATO? all logic should have been applied to making this decisions. there could have been peace if they just did it. after all NATO is for security alliance as they claim.
but are all these for oil again or for lithium?
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you are really into deep to believing the lies dude. even after your country devastated.
Russia helped the west win against Germans, and yet they didn't let Russia joined? think about it. and then your government believes Ukr will be among the NATO? all logic should have been applied to making this decisions. there could have been peace if they just did it. after all NATO is for security alliance as they claim.
but are all these for oil again or for lithium?
“Russia helped the west win against Germans” - after these words, you should have announced ‘This post was generated by a non-artificial and non-intellectual’ :)
Where did you get such nonsense? :)))))
September 1, 1939 - Germany invades Poland. This is the beginning of the second world war. On September 17, 1939, to help its ally, the USSR invades Poland, Poland could not withstand the blow from both sides. After that, the communist USSR and Nazi Germany hold a joint “victory parade” in Brest. And until June 22, 1941, the USSR together with Germany - destroy Europe. Until this date, the USSR trains pilots and tankers for the Wehrmacht. And then... to use the words of Russian propaganda, Germany launched a special military operation in the USSR to protect the German-speaking population and force the USSR to peace! :)
And when the USSR tucked its tail and surrendered its territory up to Moscow within a year, the Kremlin started demanding their help in fighting against their “comrade in arms” of yesterday. After that it was the USA that rendered huge material and technical help to the USSR in the form of Lendliz - from buttons to airplanes. Thanks to that the USSR managed to save its ugly skin from defeat by its former comrade.
By the way, if we talk about oil - it was on western aviation kerosene that more than half of Soviet fighters and bombers flew, because the country which had “40% of the world's natural reserves” could not provide itself with simple fuel....
Learn history and don't embarrass yourself in front of everyone :)
And about NATO - Ukraine's desire to join NATO is a consequence of Russia's terrorist attack in 2014. The first legislative act, about plans to join NATO, was signed only in 2018, to fill your information gap. So attributing Russia's attack on Ukraine in 2014 as a “defense against Ukraine joining NATO” looks, to put it mildly stupid, very stupid...
By the way, let's get back to the topic - tell us your vision of how things will be in the country “gas station” after Trump fulfills his promise to reduce world oil prices to the level of 50 dollars per barrel of “Brent” mark
PS Or can you refute at least one fact I have cited ? :)
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its a public data everybody knows it. but yea. its your discussion anyway.
when your mind is loaded with what the US government is telling you, you are in a good place to believe it. just continue what you have learned. you right where you belong.
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I lived in New York City for about 30 years. I am a native New Yorker in fact I was born in the same borough as Trump.
I have a close Russian friend since 2001 and when Trump won in 2016 I was hanging with him and we were drinking some bourbon. I turned to my friend and said what doesn't USA Russia and China join forces and simply say I respectfully disagree to everyone else.
If you look are where we are right now we may see this happen very soon.
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its a public data everybody knows it. but yea. its your discussion anyway.
when your mind is loaded with what the US government is telling you, you are in a good place to believe it. just continue what you have learned. you right where you belong.
Expectedly for a victim of propaganda - not the slightest attempt to refute even one sentence or fact :)
The absence of their own opinion, supported by arguments, distinguishes propaganda victims from people who can think, really assess the situation on the basis of knowledge, facts and historical events. I am not surprised by your answer, but rather it was expected - empty sounds and not the slightest attempt to refute my arguments, realizing that it will look even more ridiculous and stupid than the retelling of propaganda :)
But let's finish with the propaganda and get back to the topic: What steps can D.Trump take to realize his promises ?
“The first is to increase production in the United States and the possibility of selling to the European Union. The second thing that was impossible under the previous administration is normalizing good relations with Saudi Arabia. Namely, supporting Saudi Arabia in its desire to increase production starting this December. And the third thing, which was also on the table for the previous administration, but the ideology of the Democratic Party did not allow it, concerns a forceful change of power in Venezuela. Venezuela is the largest country in the world in terms of proven oil reserves. If Maduro is replaced by a more pro-American person, Venezuela will get the technology to produce oil, and there will be even more of it on the world market. Accordingly, its price will not be $40, as Trump said, but even lower."”
And this is what the oil price chart looks like, assuming that OPEC has not increased production and Trump has not yet become president, but only announced his plans :
(https://i.postimg.cc/B688dXK8/2024-11-13-00-43-11-Brent-Investing-com.png) (https://postimages.org/)
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its a public data everybody knows it. but yea. its your discussion anyway.
when your mind is loaded with what the US government is telling you, you are in a good place to believe it. just continue what you have learned. you right where you belong.
Expectedly for a victim of propaganda - not the slightest attempt to refute even one sentence or fact :)
The absence of their own opinion, supported by arguments, distinguishes propaganda victims from people who can think, really assess the situation on the basis of knowledge, facts and historical events. I am not surprised by your answer, but rather it was expected - empty sounds and not the slightest attempt to refute my arguments, realizing that it will look even more ridiculous and stupid than the retelling of propaganda :)
But let's finish with the propaganda and get back to the topic: What steps can D.Trump take to realize his promises ?
“The first is to increase production in the United States and the possibility of selling to the European Union. The second thing that was impossible under the previous administration is normalizing good relations with Saudi Arabia. Namely, supporting Saudi Arabia in its desire to increase production starting this December. And the third thing, which was also on the table for the previous administration, but the ideology of the Democratic Party did not allow it, concerns a forceful change of power in Venezuela. Venezuela is the largest country in the world in terms of proven oil reserves. If Maduro is replaced by a more pro-American person, Venezuela will get the technology to produce oil, and there will be even more of it on the world market. Accordingly, its price will not be $40, as Trump said, but even lower."”
And this is what the oil price chart looks like, assuming that OPEC has not increased production and Trump has not yet become president, but only announced his plans :
(https://i.postimg.cc/B688dXK8/2024-11-13-00-43-11-Brent-Investing-com.png) (https://postimages.org/)
there is no fact to it. the ones you mentioned are from the propaganda of US government. ever heard Ukraine winning against Russia news? they have been telling everyone in the news about it.
its the same as those what you have been saying. the truth is that Ukraine is losing its people and its losing the lands they have. now tell me you still believe the lies?
your own government telling you that Ukraine is winning?
you can google everything that is said where Russia (USSR) help won against NAZI because its the truth. its not even from wiki that the dems are going to edit when it doesn't fit to their narrative.
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;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
When I read your pathetic attempts to somehow justify the terrorist regime of the kremlin and its propaganda, I'll be honest - you look not only stupid but also ridiculous :).
All you could do for all your posts was to repeat repeatedly the nonsense that is close to you, because the reality looks very unpleasant for you, and you couldn't refute any of my facts :)
Thanks for your shows, I will be looking forward to your next historical freak show :)
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.....
;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
When I read your pathetic attempts to somehow justify the terrorist regime of the kremlin and its propaganda, I'll be honest - you look not only stupid but also ridiculous :).
All you could do for all your posts was to repeat repeatedly the nonsense that is close to you, because the reality looks very unpleasant for you, and you couldn't refute any of my facts :)
Thanks for your shows, I will be looking forward to your next historical freak show :)
you quoted me and you leave it blank? i said you can google everything that is said where Russia (USSR) help won against NAZI because its the truth. its not even from wiki that the dems are going to edit when it doesn't fit to their narrative.
what is pathetic is when the terrorist Ukrainians writing the names of their donors on the missiles they shoot to the Russians troops lost their battle, they resort to becoming the victims as propaganda. all in hopes to be part of NATO when they can;t even be part of EU. dude they have criteria to be part of them, but if the country is a top corrupt country, its never a criteria.
anyway, Maduro knows he could be ousted if the funded party revolts against him. US put a reward to his head afaik but when they need oil, they now have to make business with him.
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.....
;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
When I read your pathetic attempts to somehow justify the terrorist regime of the kremlin and its propaganda, I'll be honest - you look not only stupid but also ridiculous :).
All you could do for all your posts was to repeat repeatedly the nonsense that is close to you, because the reality looks very unpleasant for you, and you couldn't refute any of my facts :)
Thanks for your shows, I will be looking forward to your next historical freak show :)
you quoted me and you leave it blank? i said you can google everything that is said where Russia (USSR) help won against NAZI because its the truth. its not even from wiki that the dems are going to edit when it doesn't fit to their narrative.
what is pathetic is when the terrorist Ukrainians writing the names of their donors on the missiles they shoot to the Russians troops lost their battle, they resort to becoming the victims as propaganda. all in hopes to be part of NATO when they can;t even be part of EU. dude they have criteria to be part of them, but if the country is a top corrupt country, its never a criteria.
anyway, Maduro knows he could be ousted if the funded party revolts against him. US put a reward to his head afaik but when they need oil, they now have to make business with him.
I know where you found this nonsense :) It's Kremlin propaganda :)
But you didn't bother to check who started WW2, who was the aggressor, and who then asked for help in fighting Hitler's Nazism (friend of Stalin's communism). These are all HISTORICAL facts that you are just afraid to admit :)
And for the record - USSR fought only on its own territory, losing 1941-1942 ineptly. And after the Allies crushed the Nazi coalition in Europe, the Pacific region, Japan, Africa, Asia, than deprived Germany of forces on the eastern front, the USSR “heroically” reached Berlin. After that it enslaved many countries - Poland, Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria..... And after the collapse of the vile USSR, these countries got freedom and became full-fledged members of the developed world. Keep reading your delusional fairy tales afraid of REALITY and FACTS.
Let's get back to the topic: the “first swallows” of oil successes of the “strongest economy in the world”, without whose hydrocarbons the world supposedly cannot live :)
Russian refineries cut oil refining due to losses: there is a threat of closure - Reuters.
At least three Russian oil refineries have halted refining or cut output due to significant losses amid export restrictions, rising oil prices and high borrowing costs.
These are the Tuapse, Ilya and Novoshakhtinsk refineries in particular.
According to the newspaper, the closure of oil refineries indicates the problems of the Russian oil refining industry.
According to the newspaper, the crisis reduces fuel exports and decreases the companies' income, which leads to a decrease in revenues to the state budget.
The least technologically advanced Russian refineries, which do not produce premium fuels, have suffered the most. They suffered losses of up to $102 per metric ton for several months of the second half of 2024.
PS No matter how much you believe in nonsense - reality will not change :) And please - if you want to talk about cheap propaganda - find yourself a more appropriate method, where there are similar to you. And in this topic, please write on the topic, without offtopic and flooding.
And one more thing - for you, not to look as stupid as you look now - study the concept of “terrorism”, it's just funny to look at your pathetic attempts to pass off wishful thinking as reality :).