Altcoins Talks - Cryptocurrency Forum

Crypto Discussion Forum => Cryptocurrency Trading => Topic started by: MrSpasybo on March 14, 2025, 08:37:48 PM

Title: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 14, 2025, 08:37:48 PM
I've been sharing my method of tracking the crypto market through BTC uptrend channel that's been in place since late 2022. While it might seem rudimentary, I still believe it's worthwhile and continues to provide reliable signals.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/Vrb7GIGY/)

Here's what I'd like to point out regarding the current volatility:

1.  Good news: BTC price is still within its linear uptrend channel and receiving pretty solid support, today BTC price increase is proof of that. This allows us to continue observing the market with confidence and expect a new ATH.

2.  Bad news: BTC is no longer fluctuating normally like it did in the previous 2 years. If it were fluctuating normally, BTC should be at a $140K peak right now instead of re-accumulating in the $80K price zone. This phase reversal could be an early signal of a trend reversal before we see BTC price in the 6x or 5x price zone.

So, what's gonna happen? I don't know, I can't say for sure. I can only point out 2 scenarios I'll be watching for confirmation:

1. Positive scenario: BTC price will surge to $140K in the short term to make up for the growth delay.

2. BTC price will fall out of the uptrend channel and plunge the whole market into chaos, similar to the May 2021 event, before recovering to the $150K-170K zone by year-end. I'm not hoping for this, I prefer stability and altseason having a chance to explode mid-year.

Anyway, we've got to be prepared for anything. At least, I have a few criteria like that to keep an eye on and act when needed.

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: KryptoBull on March 15, 2025, 09:07:24 AM
Anyway, we've got to be prepared for anything. At least, I have a few criteria like that to keep an eye on and act when needed.

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
Here's my optimistic take: BTC will bounce back soon once the tariff tensions smooth out. This season won't fizzle out right at the start of 2025, and BTC's price isn't high enough yet to sustain a long term uptrend.

Fear always has a way of sounding convincing, but ultimately, FOMO will kick back in and take over. The important thing is, BTC is sitting at a very strong price point, and we can stay optimistic about what's ahead.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: SmartGold01 on March 15, 2025, 04:18:50 PM
What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
To me what I would only say is that after 90-120 days we would see bitcoin break out to 120k, which taking us to around Q2-3 as I believed that this last Month of 2nd week of Q1, that is to say; it is remaining about 16 days for the end of Q1 and starting from Q2 (90 days time) to Q3 first month would be a massive explosion in bitcoin price where it would instantaneously double ATH within the period of 7 DAYS respectively just as what happened when it breakout from 80k, to 90k.

+1 karma for you, nice and interesting analysis.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 15, 2025, 05:18:11 PM
To me what I would only say is that after 90-120 days we would see bitcoin break out to 120k, which taking us to around Q2-3 as I believed that this last Month of 2nd week of Q1, that is to say; it is remaining about 16 days for the end of Q1 and starting from Q2 (90 days time) to Q3 first month would be a massive explosion in bitcoin price where it would instantaneously double ATH within the period of 7 DAYS respectively just as what happened when it breakout from 80k, to 90k.

+1 karma for you, nice and interesting analysis.
Thank you, I enjoy this kind of analysis to share my views on the market. My views may be right or wrong, either way it provides some extra information for the community to discuss together. I would also like to receive more opinions from more members on AltcoinsTalks ^^

At the moment, a BTC price surge to $120K is what creates a growth turning point for the entire crypto market, which is mired in doubt and fear. The lower boundary support is still underway, it's just that we can't be easily optimistic when the BTC price hasn't crossed the central line ~ $107K right now.

The cycle is still playing out, this process is still continuing. Even though many things have changed, the long-term growth nature is still expected to repeat to maintain order in this market. I don't believe in the change of cyclicality yet, because it's a prerequisite for whales to easily plan to manipulate investors psychology.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: jeraldskie11 on March 15, 2025, 05:23:17 PM

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: SmartGold01 on March 15, 2025, 08:12:26 PM
To me what I would only say is that after 90-120 days we would see bitcoin break out to 120k, which taking us to around Q2-3 as I believed that this last Month of 2nd week of Q1, that is to say; it is remaining about 16 days for the end of Q1 and starting from Q2 (90 days time) to Q3 first month would be a massive explosion in bitcoin price where it would instantaneously double ATH within the period of 7 DAYS respectively just as what happened when it breakout from 80k, to 90k.

+1 karma for you, nice and interesting analysis.
Thank you, I enjoy this kind of analysis to share my views on the market. My views may be right or wrong, either way it provides some extra information for the community to discuss together. I would also like to receive more opinions from more members on AltcoinsTalks ^^
Yes I do love your general overview towards the market and sure we can't for any reason be certain over the market but, we can still speculate over the general performance of market, and yes this are the types of discussion we should keep involving ourselves with to learn and educates ourselves how the market would reacts over the period of time.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Hamza2424 on March 15, 2025, 10:19:25 PM
Perspective is good enough, now the market sentiments are flowing in a reverse order, like now the market is not giving room for people to move on emotionally, a wave of fear when we dropped from 92k and till now as we are resisting in the specific range even though there were some of the manipulative pumps and dumps as well, the psychological index is on the reverse side of the market sentiments.

But it's really good to follow up with trends.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Trongduy on March 16, 2025, 04:58:55 AM
2. BTC price will fall out of the uptrend channel and plunge the whole market into chaos, similar to the May 2021 event, before recovering to the $150K-170K zone by year-end. I'm not hoping for this, I prefer stability and altseason having a chance to explode mid-year.
I'm afraid the market might head this way since things are pretty negative, and there's no significant bullish momentum strong enough to overcome the macro. What's scary is when prices drop and we don't get out in time to buy back at a lower price point.

If prices drop and we can take advantage of the FED's interest rate cut in June for a recovery, that's not too bad, but the pain the market brings isn't pleasant at all. Many investors will rush to sell off and leave the market, only to FOMO when prices rise to new highs.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: BitMaxz on March 16, 2025, 06:43:50 AM
I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.
From daily time frame yes that's possible but base on the pattern as you can see it's building a bullish flag pattern the trend is not broke yet and still far from major support.

Here's the respected area I mean.
(https://talkimg.com/images/2025/03/16/0coEq.jpeg)

If the red one or resistance of the current trend broke out expect for the price within a week or 2 to touch again at $100k level because the current trend is building a bullish flag pattern. Once it touch again and break the previous ATH the prediction from the positive scenario(OP) is possible.
But for the time being, we are waiting for a breakout to any of these respected areas on the current trend; if it breaks the support area, the price is likely to fall even lower. However, if it breaks the resistance area on the current trend and there's a ChoCh that's another confirmation for upcoming bullish trend.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 16, 2025, 06:03:56 PM
If the red one or resistance of the current trend broke out expect for the price within a week or 2 to touch again at $100k level because the current trend is building a bullish flag pattern. Once it touch again and break the previous ATH the prediction from the positive scenario(OP) is possible.

But for the time being, we are waiting for a breakout to any of these respected areas on the current trend; if it breaks the support area, the price is likely to fall even lower. However, if it breaks the resistance area on the current trend and there's a ChoCh that's another confirmation for upcoming bullish trend.
Nice, I like visual analysis like this, sometimes an image is worth a thousand words. This section is created for us to share our crypto trading views, and price charts are the easiest way to convey trading ideas!

We'll wait for BTC price movements in the next few weeks, because BTC can't stay in a trendless phase like this forever. I'm hoping for a positive scenario but also ready for the worst to come to BTC and the crypto market.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Stompix on March 16, 2025, 07:27:48 PM
2.  Bad news: BTC is no longer fluctuating normally like it did in the previous 2 years. If it were fluctuating normally, BTC should be at a $140K peak right now instead of re-accumulating in the $80K price zone. This phase reversal could be an early signal of a trend reversal before we see BTC price in the 6x or 5x price zone.

Extrapolation is not the way here, remember that the 2017 jump which as still 20x since the ATH would still have needed only half of the money Europeans spend on tourism bookings during summer, from this point on a 5x increase would mean, well, all the money the entire world spends for everything for two months  ;D
If we go further back in history to the rise in 2013 that was just the cost of an aircraft carrier  ;D

Far better to look at those in straight numbers rather than percentages.

Here's my optimistic take: BTC will bounce back soon once the tariff tensions smooth out.

You're in for a surprise, Europe has just responded to Trump's threats so his ego will obviously get the better of him and he will come with something stupid again this week.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: BitMaxz on March 17, 2025, 07:45:00 AM
Nice, I like visual analysis like this, sometimes an image is worth a thousand words. This section is created for us to share our crypto trading views, and price charts are the easiest way to convey trading ideas!
Actually this is not my main chart I just created this one for coinbase and for this topic. My main chart is in OKX BTCUSDT but it's a bit messy because I made a lot of trend line in short term pattern. I could say right now that I am consistently profitable but I only have small account size however, it consistently growing unlike on my previous trades.
I now stick with reversal patterns and trend breakouts if I don't see any of these on the chart I don't trade. So like other said before patience is the key and also learning how to calculate lot size is important for your SL to stick with 1% rule.

Without drawing you can't determine the trends, patterns and support/resistance area or not able to know where to put stop-loss in trading.
I made a mistakes before but it helps a lot to avoid mistakes again and improve my next trades.

Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Bobcrypto on March 17, 2025, 08:01:10 AM
Btc will always bounce back, most times its spring up surprises especially when there are many doubt and about the next price movements. However, in the next few weeks, we may be experiencing side ways movements that can trigger a bullish momentum if bitcoin can break the 85k resistance and hold strongly above it, but otherwise, a break below $75k will become bearish in my opinion.

Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: dave_strider on March 17, 2025, 11:17:22 AM
Btc will always bounce back, most times its spring up surprises especially when there are many doubt and about the next price movements. However, in the next few weeks, we may be experiencing side ways movements that can trigger a bullish momentum if bitcoin can break the 85k resistance and hold strongly above it, but otherwise, a break below $75k will become bearish in my opinion.

2025 is the year to behold a new ATH, in my opinion.

We just need to wait and keep holding  8)
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: JISAN on March 17, 2025, 04:16:45 PM
This is Bitcoin's first ever halving circle where Bitcoin is not following any of its previous history. Not only Bitcoin but the whole market has forgotten the previous history, this is because some billionaires entered the market and spread different news at different times and destabilized the market. And only small investors are affected from here. All the small and panic investors are pocketing all the money. So the crypto market is now very much like gambling. So I think it is better to refrain from trading or investment to be safe at this time. Because now investing in crypto market is very high risk
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 17, 2025, 05:25:25 PM
This is Bitcoin's first ever halving circle where Bitcoin is not following any of its previous history. Not only Bitcoin but the whole market has forgotten the previous history, this is because some billionaires entered the market and spread different news at different times and destabilized the market. And only small investors are affected from here. All the small and panic investors are pocketing all the money. So the crypto market is now very much like gambling. So I think it is better to refrain from trading or investment to be safe at this time. Because now investing in crypto market is very high risk
Many investors were confident they'd master their investment plans for the 2025 cycle, given their past cycle experiences, but the market's given them a reality check with some fresh history: BTC hit a new ATH pre-halving, BTC price completed a 5-wave impulse structure in January 2025, and the memecoin frenzy's causing inefficient fund allocation.

I'm also pretty puzzled analyzing this cycle market movements. The only thing I still trust is cyclicality: we just had the halving, and 2025 should be a successful year for BTC and the entire crypto market. I've mentioned a target of $150K-170K, and I'm still waiting for BTC price to reach that range this year, ready to take profits and step away before the crypto winter hits ^^
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Mr. Magkaisa on March 17, 2025, 07:20:00 PM
        -       In my personal assessment, I really see that there will be a big volatility or fall in the price of bitcoin before there is a massive rally towards the price you are talking about op, that's what I really see. Although this is still my speculation.

Now, in the alts season, I think it can start in the middle of this year or even earlier and the altcoins season will only happen for a few months,
maybe 2 or 3 months in my opinion.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Aanuoluwatofunmi on March 17, 2025, 10:00:50 PM
This is very possible when the market is about to rise or fall, we can check to see more from the way of how our chart performances are, using any coin as a practical example, during this period of high volatility, we must know how to endure for the market, also know about it entry points, exit points as well as how we are going to be at upper edge against any form of lost at the market volatility.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 18, 2025, 05:00:12 PM
This is very possible when the market is about to rise or fall, we can check to see more from the way of how our chart performances are, using any coin as a practical example, during this period of high volatility, we must know how to endure for the market, also know about it entry points, exit points as well as how we are going to be at upper edge against any form of lost at the market volatility.
Well, I always wish I could pinpoint the exact buy and sell points. Sadly, I still have a lot to learn before I can make a living trading in this market. I opt for the simplest approach possible so everyone can follow and understand my investment view. It's also quite safe and profitable for investors, even if I can't buy the dip & sell the top ^^

BTC price is still moving sideways at $82K, I'm pretty excited watching the price chart and waiting for a big move!
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: sampoerna on March 18, 2025, 11:47:37 PM
What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
Because I have already held and when the BTC price is still above $ 100k and I don't take all the profits, then I can only surrender and don't want to do anything except to continue holding it first. I think that is the wisest choice for me, by keeping holding, because even if I sell it now, it will actually make us lose and regret it later. Of course, all must be calculated how the profits and losses are. But again, for people like me who do long-term holding, this kind of bad situation will not chance my plans to still keep holding
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: BitMaxz on March 19, 2025, 12:00:02 AM

BTC price is still moving sideways at $82K, I'm pretty excited watching the price chart and waiting for a big move!

From this week's structure, most of the breakouts in short terms are fake; it seems banks are hunting stop-loss or liquidity. I saw many position liquidated on the heatmap I can't trade these days there's something that changed the BTC price action.

Well, this type of price action I don't trade on this if it's always against on my predicted price.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Nheer on March 19, 2025, 02:25:39 AM

BTC price is still moving sideways at $82K, I'm pretty excited watching the price chart and waiting for a big move!

From this week's structure, most of the breakouts in short terms are fake; it seems banks are hunting stop-loss or liquidity. I saw many position liquidated on the heatmap I can't trade these days there's something that changed the BTC price action.

Well, this type of price action I don't trade on this if it's always against on my predicted price.
It better to stay off the market than letting the market take advantage of you, I couldn’t even trade also base on the market structure everything seems to be unpredictable but with better understanding and perfect strategy a lot are still making big profits from the same market we run off.
It better to avoid loss and wait patiently for the perfect opportunity than rushing into trading patience will get us to where we are going it just need time.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Bobcrypto on March 19, 2025, 06:33:25 AM
        -       In my personal assessment, I really see that there will be a big volatility or fall in the price of bitcoin before there is a massive rally towards the price you are talking about op, that's what I really see. Although this is still my speculation.

Now, in the alts season, I think it can start in the middle of this year or even earlier and the altcoins season will only happen for a few months,
maybe 2 or 3 months in my opinion.

Well, your may be right as regards the duration of the anticipated altcoins season, that is, if it finally start at all. However, based on the previous altcoins season, like in 2021, the season was just about five weeks. I may be wrong, but altcoins season has been on a short periods, though change is constant, i hope we have a longer altcoins season in 2025.
As far as the Bitcoin price is concerned, it appears that more side ways movements is likely before a bounce, probably a break above $84k first, but a break below $80k may send us to $77k, then we may start an uptrends movements. Let see how it goes on either direction in the coming weeks.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Findingnemo on March 19, 2025, 01:24:52 PM
I am not a technical analysis person but just wanted to share my perspective though, BTC exploded way early that it's supposed to be due to the Trump manipulation about crypto market then the correction happened later when people realised it's been over overvalued that distorted it's usual growth. So on its own the price will pace up and reach atleast 130K range before going completely bearish.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Bobcrypto on March 19, 2025, 01:54:11 PM
Anyway, we've got to be prepared for anything. At least, I have a few criteria like that to keep an eye on and act when needed.

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
Here's my optimistic take: BTC will bounce back soon once the tariff tensions smooth out. This season won't fizzle out right at the start of 2025, and BTC's price isn't high enough yet to sustain a long term uptrend.

Fear always has a way of sounding convincing, but ultimately, FOMO will kick back in and take over. The important thing is, BTC is sitting at a very strong price point, and we can stay optimistic about what's ahead.

Currently Bitcoin recent price action is facing increased selling pressure, particularly from short term holders who bought Bitcoin above $83k. I think that with 20% of total supply at loss, many of the traders/holders will sell to cut losses which may send the prices below $80k. There is indication that there are weak demands, however a bounce is likely if Bitcoin maintain stability above $80k
As a matter of facts, fear brings investors sentiments, and FOMO is part of sentiments on either ways, that is, a buy/sell situations.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Vx1 on March 19, 2025, 02:39:30 PM

BTC price is still moving sideways at $82K, I'm pretty excited watching the price chart and waiting for a big move!

From this week's structure, most of the breakouts in short terms are fake; it seems banks are hunting stop-loss or liquidity. I saw many position liquidated on the heatmap I can't trade these days there's something that changed the BTC price action.

Well, this type of price action I don't trade on this if it's always against on my predicted price.
It better to stay off the market than letting the market take advantage of you, I couldn’t even trade also base on the market structure everything seems to be unpredictable but with better understanding and perfect strategy a lot are still making big profits from the same market we run off.
It better to avoid loss and wait patiently for the perfect opportunity than rushing into trading patience will get us to where we are going it just need time.
We must think positively and have high confidence in getting profit from this trade, it is indeed not easy and often there is loss here. Price changes that are difficult to predict and very significant often make us almost desperate, but we need to know that many people are successful from this trade. If we can't do that, then we need to learn again.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 19, 2025, 07:44:32 PM
I am not a technical analysis person but just wanted to share my perspective though, BTC exploded way early that it's supposed to be due to the Trump manipulation about crypto market then the correction happened later when people realised it's been over overvalued that distorted it's usual growth. So on its own the price will pace up and reach atleast 130K range before going completely bearish.
I don't think Trump is the whale behind all the crypto market manipulation, especially for BTC price. We're in a different cycle: new ATH before halving, BTC.D constantly rising, and memecoins causing unusual money flow. However, I'm not surprised or blaming Trump either, because the market always finds ways to surprise investors and make them lose ^^

I have high expectations for Trump actions in the near future, because he's become an influential voice affecting short-term market volatility. If tariffs are compromised early, we could have a favorable global financial environment as soon as the FED cuts interest rates. Conversely, if tensions persist, the market may experience a black swan event before resuming growth.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: electronicash on March 19, 2025, 08:15:50 PM

i look into my chart and i see we are using different indicators though.  should there be a different candle patterns when you look it under BTC/USDT instead of BTC/USD? seem to confuse me when looking at longer time frame.

i'm seeing trend will change sooner to down trend when it pump higher again but not reaching to anew ATH and then dumps again.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: taufik123 on March 19, 2025, 09:52:47 PM
-snip-
i'm seeing trend will change sooner to down trend when it pump higher again but not reaching to anew ATH and then dumps again.
It only needs to reach the Resistance point where Bitcoin will be free from the decline that continues to occur and this is also caused by bad fundamentals because there is a lot of FUD in circulation.

An increase will definitely occur after this pretty crazy decline, I still believe Bitcoin will reach a new ATH and then the Altcoin will follow with a pretty high price recovery.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 20, 2025, 04:40:14 PM
i look into my chart and i see we are using different indicators though.  should there be a different candle patterns when you look it under BTC/USDT instead of BTC/USD? seem to confuse me when looking at longer time frame.

i'm seeing trend will change sooner to down trend when it pump higher again but not reaching to anew ATH and then dumps again.
I think BTC/USDT and BTC/USD are pretty similar. You might try adjusting to a Logarithmic scale instead of an Arithmetic scale. I had a topic on these two scales when using Fibo, you can check it out.

You might be thinking that the BTC price is just a technical bounce, before returning to the ongoing downtrend. That could totally be true if we're in wave A and soon heading to wave B. In a Flat corrective wave structure, the peak (B) can definitely be higher than the peak (5) and we'll have a new ATH at $150K-170K. That's my personal expectation ^^

Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Stompix on March 20, 2025, 09:50:33 PM
I don't think Trump is the whale behind all the crypto market manipulation, especially for BTC price.

What about those traders that come up and short and go long on BTC right before he starts posting crap on social media? ;)

Trump led the bull run on everything, not just crypto but also the stock market because he promised he would drop the rates to zero, now that his plan was obviously bs, his tariffs threaten economic growth and trade and are bringing back inflation of course we're sliding down no matter what good news we have otherwise.
The growth forecast is down, we didn't have the fed cut, inflation is expected to go up, and smart people are causing ut their stock sand staking cash, so, if somebody doesn't manage to stop him from this nonsense things will go worse before getting even worse and worse.

Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 21, 2025, 07:18:40 PM
What about those traders that come up and short and go long on BTC right before he starts posting crap on social media? ;)

Trump led the bull run on everything, not just crypto but also the stock market because he promised he would drop the rates to zero, now that his plan was obviously bs, his tariffs threaten economic growth and trade and are bringing back inflation of course we're sliding down no matter what good news we have otherwise.
The growth forecast is down, we didn't have the fed cut, inflation is expected to go up, and smart people are causing ut their stock sand staking cash, so, if somebody doesn't manage to stop him from this nonsense things will go worse before getting even worse and worse.
Trump is the US president, he views the growth of the markets as part of his term's success. But that doesn't mean he's behind every whale in this market or is himself a whale to trade and profit from crypto. That might be true for TRUMP memecoins since he and his team released it.

I believe Trump has his own calculations in the tariff war, the goal might be to create more jobs for Americans. As for crypto, he's fulfilled most of his promises, we've had a lot of positive news, it's just that the market isn't ready to absorb and turn the news into madness on the price chart ^^
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: BitMaxz on March 24, 2025, 12:00:35 AM
Trump is the US president, he views the growth of the markets as part of his term's success. But that doesn't mean he's behind every whale in this market or is himself a whale to trade and profit from crypto. That might be true for TRUMP memecoins since he and his team released it.

I believe Trump has his own calculations in the tariff war, the goal might be to create more jobs for Americans. As for crypto, he's fulfilled most of his promises, we've had a lot of positive news, it's just that the market isn't ready to absorb and turn the news into madness on the price chart ^^

Is Trump memecoins is develop by Trump's developer? His team you said?
I don't know exactly who develop it but I know it was just created before Trump inauguration they exactly release it at that time because of the hype.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 24, 2025, 08:35:17 PM
Is Trump memecoins is develop by Trump's developer? His team you said?
I don't know exactly who develop it but I know it was just created before Trump inauguration they exactly release it at that time because of the hype.
Trump tweeted about TRUMP coin on Twitter, and he didn't deny it was a memecoin he released. I think Trump has a team of blockchain developers ready to support him technically or with market making ^^

Even though I don't like how Trump handled the Ukraine war issue, I still look forward to the positive impacts of his crypto-related executive orders. While it's hard to explain in detail, they're really valuable in crypto growth journey in the US and globally. They'll be mentioned in the upcoming bullrun, when people start to be optimistic and look for reasons for token price increases in the market.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Azharul on March 25, 2025, 04:14:58 PM

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.
I believe that your opinion is very prefer in this time. Because if we follow in cryptocurrency market we can see that cryptocurrency market will pass a little volatility in this situation. Because we know that few weeks ago we see that bitcoin price is increasing in $106k up. But another we can see that bitcoin price is remain under $86k now. I am also think that maybe bitcoin price will be more down after few weeks later. But if we thought overall, I think that bitcoin price will increase gradually and hit $150k. So we should wait until reach best position in cryptocurrency market.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Nheer on March 25, 2025, 06:34:30 PM

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.
I believe that your opinion is very prefer in this time. Because if we follow in cryptocurrency market we can see that cryptocurrency market will pass a little volatility in this situation. Because we know that few weeks ago we see that bitcoin price is increasing in $106k up. But another we can see that bitcoin price is remain under $86k now. I am also think that maybe bitcoin price will be more down after few weeks later. But if we thought overall, I think that bitcoin price will increase gradually and hit $150k. So we should wait until reach best position in cryptocurrency market.
That just one thing about cryptocurrency it can be unpredictable to individuals without the deep knowledge about the market but as for a committed individuals that has good interest over the market will really know about the price whether it will be uptrend or downtrend. But all just needs consistency to know a lot about the market. But seems we are in downtrend cause bitcoin as really dropped a lot but we hope for bigger uptrend soon
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Uruhara on March 25, 2025, 08:29:01 PM
I think the correction that occurred in Bitcoin some time ago is a normal thing that always happens in every bullish market. And usually bitcoin will always try to penetrate the ATH twice. And we've only seen Bitcoin make an ATH once. And I think this year we will also see bitcoin make a new ATH again like the previous bullish seasons after the halving. I believe in that. That's why I'm still holding my bitcoin and also several altcoins that I believe will fly too.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: jeraldskie11 on March 26, 2025, 04:40:24 PM

What's your take on the market? Do you think the BTC price will go up or down in the next few weeks, and what's the target for that move?
I think the price will go down in few weeks reaching the $75k demand zone, but I expect for the price to go up first before it will continue to go down. Since my bias is downtrend, I expect for retracement but I don't exactly know which area the price possibly hit. This is my bias because I don't see any confirmation if it's the time for the price to make another new high or continuation of bullish market. What currently happening in the market is still a part of retracement.
I believe that your opinion is very prefer in this time. Because if we follow in cryptocurrency market we can see that cryptocurrency market will pass a little volatility in this situation. Because we know that few weeks ago we see that bitcoin price is increasing in $106k up. But another we can see that bitcoin price is remain under $86k now. I am also think that maybe bitcoin price will be more down after few weeks later. But if we thought overall, I think that bitcoin price will increase gradually and hit $150k. So we should wait until reach best position in cryptocurrency market.
That just one thing about cryptocurrency it can be unpredictable to individuals without the deep knowledge about the market but as for a committed individuals that has good interest over the market will really know about the price whether it will be uptrend or downtrend. But all just needs consistency to know a lot about the market. But seems we are in downtrend cause bitcoin as really dropped a lot but we hope for bigger uptrend soon
The knowledge we get from our experience in trading for many years we easily read the market situation. They may think that it's impossible to forecast the market since it is unpredictable. Yeah, they were right that we can't predict the price of Bitcoin in the next few hours but we can analyze which zone the price will go. If a person really know how to do it, he can also tell if someone can really trade.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: gunhell16 on March 26, 2025, 06:00:54 PM

BTC price is still moving sideways at $82K, I'm pretty excited watching the price chart and waiting for a big move!

From this week's structure, most of the breakouts in short terms are fake; it seems banks are hunting stop-loss or liquidity. I saw many position liquidated on the heatmap I can't trade these days there's something that changed the BTC price action.

Well, this type of price action I don't trade on this if it's always against on my predicted price.

Right now, Bitcoin's price movement is in consolidation, with support at $85,484.5 and resistance at $88,753, so we don't know how many days this ranging period will last. Maybe it depends on the news we hear tomorrow and in the coming days.

We know that when there is positive news on bitcoin, there will definitely be a rally in its price, and when there is negative news, there will definitely be a drop in the price of Bitcoin, which will also affect other top altcoins such as Ethereum, Bnb, Sol and others.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 26, 2025, 07:31:37 PM
I think the correction that occurred in Bitcoin some time ago is a normal thing that always happens in every bullish market. And usually bitcoin will always try to penetrate the ATH twice. And we've only seen Bitcoin make an ATH once. And I think this year we will also see bitcoin make a new ATH again like the previous bullish seasons after the halving. I believe in that. That's why I'm still holding my bitcoin and also several altcoins that I believe will fly too.
It's probably what we all want: BTC having a new ETH, altseason happening, and our balance up 1000% ^^

BTC's bounce back to the $90K area isn't the major move I'm hoping for. BTC should be pumping harder to reconfirm the uptrend channel support or the EMA34 bands on the Sonic-R indicator. I'm guessing that'll only come next week if we get some positive news about Trump's tax policy softening.

After all, let's hope we don't put our faith in the wrong place ^^

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/28Y7NJju/)
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: bayu7adi on March 27, 2025, 07:05:07 PM
It's probably what we all want: BTC having a new ETH, altseason happening, and our balance up 1000% ^^
Altseason? Even I have given up hope when the bitcoin price did not get a pump past ATH... we know that halving has been going on for 11 months, and I think our rocket fuel will run out soon, and the BTC rocket is predicted to experience a decline.... until the mystery of the altseason has not been solved, I think the public will only be able to hope and hope at the altseason point

And usually, altseason can indeed appear when all people's hopes are gone...
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: ZAINmalik75 on March 27, 2025, 08:13:40 PM
I think the correction that occurred in Bitcoin some time ago is a normal thing that always happens in every bullish market. And usually bitcoin will always try to penetrate the ATH twice. And we've only seen Bitcoin make an ATH once. And I think this year we will also see bitcoin make a new ATH again like the previous bullish seasons after the halving. I believe in that. That's why I'm still holding my bitcoin and also several altcoins that I believe will fly too.
I agree with you. Bitcoin always tried to make two ATHs and one has already been made and after first ATH it dumps 20% to 40% or maybe more which means the first ATH has been made and the dump has also been made and now we have to wait for the second ATH but only if all things goes according to past.

Due to the adoption by USA and many other countries, it will certainly make another new ATH and break the previous one therefore we should be bullish on it still.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 28, 2025, 09:53:13 PM
Altseason? Even I have given up hope when the bitcoin price did not get a pump past ATH... we know that halving has been going on for 11 months, and I think our rocket fuel will run out soon, and the BTC rocket is predicted to experience a decline.... until the mystery of the altseason has not been solved, I think the public will only be able to hope and hope at the altseason point

And usually, altseason can indeed appear when all people's hopes are gone...
Yeah, we're in a unique cycle with a lot of new history. Still, I believe altseason will happen, because just BTC can't keep investor FOMO going in this market, like one hand can't clap ^^

We still have 9 months of 2025 left for altseason to pop off anytime. Usually, altseason hits hard and fast with a bunch of tokens in the market going up all at once, when everything's lining up for crypto growth. I wouldn't be surprised if altseason explodes in the next few weeks, if BTC price bounces back to the $100K zone.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: dekafee79 on March 28, 2025, 11:11:01 PM
Altseason? Even I have given up hope when the bitcoin price did not get a pump past ATH... we know that halving has been going on for 11 months, and I think our rocket fuel will run out soon, and the BTC rocket is predicted to experience a decline.... until the mystery of the altseason has not been solved, I think the public will only be able to hope and hope at the altseason point

And usually, altseason can indeed appear when all people's hopes are gone...
Yeah, we're in a unique cycle with a lot of new history. Still, I believe altseason will happen, because just BTC can't keep investor FOMO going in this market, like one hand can't clap ^^

We still have 9 months of 2025 left for altseason to pop off anytime. Usually, altseason hits hard and fast with a bunch of tokens in the market going up all at once, when everything's lining up for crypto growth. I wouldn't be surprised if altseason explodes in the next few weeks, if BTC price bounces back to the $100K zone.
I like your opinion, which is optimistic that we will see altcoin season, because 2025 is not over yet and altcoin season can happen anytime this year.
We should still hold our potential coins to welcome altcoin season, because big profits await us if we are patient.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Blaze on March 29, 2025, 04:46:00 PM
I like your opinion, which is optimistic that we will see altcoin season, because 2025 is not over yet and altcoin season can happen anytime this year.
We should still hold our potential coins to welcome altcoin season, because big profits await us if we are patient.
I agree that there are many exciting possibilities in the crypto world that are still wide open this year. The market always moves in its own way, and each phase has opportunities that can be exploited by those who are patient and believe in their choices. No one can predict for sure when a big phase will occur, but holding onto assets that have good prospects is a step that can bring satisfying results in the future. The belief you have in the potential of altcoins shows that you have seen something valuable there. Crypto always presents surprises, and for those who are willing to wait, the results can be very meaningful.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Stompix on March 29, 2025, 04:59:17 PM
Trump is the US president, he views the growth of the markets as part of his term's success.

Probably the meme of the decade:
(https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/03/29/lsjE8.jpeg)

I believe Trump has his own calculations in the tariff war, the goal might be to create more jobs for Americans

Yeah, firing thousands, threatening allies with tariffs and having tariffs back will of course, create jobs for Americans because??
Rules of a market
- your product is too expensive you need to make it cheaper than the others or people will not buy
- you ban the other products and your product becomes the cheapest but still expensive
- people will anyhow buy less of it as they can't afford it
- the consumer gets f*** , and once that happens, the economy is f****

You know another economy that tried this shit and had all the resources to theoretically do it? It was the USSR. How did their economy fair?

Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 29, 2025, 05:18:13 PM
I like your opinion, which is optimistic that we will see altcoin season, because 2025 is not over yet and altcoin season can happen anytime this year.

We should still hold our potential coins to welcome altcoin season, because big profits await us if we are patient.
I create market analysis and prediction topics to document my investment journey. It can be referenced in the future for me to learn from my own successes and failures. I hope that it will also provide some information for those who want to enter this market. They will understand that maintaining a positive mindset is very difficult in the crypto market!

I'm also holding BTC and top coins while waiting for a price increase or a signal for a long-term trend change in the entire market. Whatever the future holds, I'm ready to act and adapt ^^
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on April 04, 2025, 12:46:09 AM
I'm also holding BTC and top coins while waiting for a price increase or a signal for a long-term trend change in the entire market. Whatever the future holds, I'm ready to act and adapt ^^

It is the best and most logical thing to do, we should not lose patience, much less try to go crazy, things in the world are getting strange, but what can we do? Adapting is the solution, there is no other way, we cannot go out and stress ourselves out, at these moments it is a very good decision to stay in Hodl mode, if we have BTC, BTC will never let us down, I think all this is happening for a reason, for me Trump is not crazy, he knows very well what he is doing.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Mr. Magkaisa on April 04, 2025, 05:42:37 PM
       -      If it is true that there will be strong volatility in the price of bitcoin, it is possible that what I saw in the technical analysis is 76000$ down to 72k$, although right now the support of 80k$ is still strong, even though it was broken in the past, it was able to recover immediately.

And now it is heading towards the resistance of 87k$-88k$ again, but of course it needs to break 85k$ first, so it is a bit difficult to read the price movement today
because its movement has been in consolidation for the past few days.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: sampoerna on April 04, 2025, 06:15:51 PM
   And now it is heading towards the resistance of 87k$-88k$ again, but of course it needs to break 85k$ first, so it is a bit difficult to read the price movement today
because its movement has been in consolidation for the past few days.
But now, the price is hovering around the $81k - $83k rate, and this is quite consistent with most altcoin prices. It is not new when the BTC price experiences a drastic drop, then the market conditions will also completely drop, it only depends on how far the price drops.

We check the market for now, the BTC price has dropped almost 5% in 1 month. However, the result of what happened to altcoins was a very significant decline.

For example, it happened to top altcoins like ETH which experienced a decline of up to 17% in a month, it's really bad, right? ETH is really bad. If other altcoins like BNB and SOL, both of them have dropped quite a bit in just a few weeks or days.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on April 06, 2025, 06:58:23 PM
It is the best and most logical thing to do, we should not lose patience, much less try to go crazy, things in the world are getting strange, but what can we do? Adapting is the solution, there is no other way, we cannot go out and stress ourselves out, at these moments it is a very good decision to stay in Hodl mode, if we have BTC, BTC will never let us down, I think all this is happening for a reason, for me Trump is not crazy, he knows very well what he is doing.
For the time being, the crypto market hasn't been directly impacted by Trump decisions regarding tariffs. Trump once said he wants to see the stock market and crypto go to the moon, and I believe he wasn't just kidding but actually has a concrete strategy to make that happen.

TRUMP memecoin is proof of skin in the game. We can wait for Trump actions to stimulate the US economy while attracting capital inflow into the crypto market. Unfortunately, not everyone currently holds BTC to continue being patient with the market.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: doc on April 06, 2025, 08:43:38 PM
   And now it is heading towards the resistance of 87k$-88k$ again, but of course it needs to break 85k$ first, so it is a bit difficult to read the price movement today
because its movement has been in consolidation for the past few days.
But now, the price is hovering around the $81k - $83k rate, and this is quite consistent with most altcoin prices. It is not new when the BTC price experiences a drastic drop, then the market conditions will also completely drop, it only depends on how far the price drops.

We check the market for now, the BTC price has dropped almost 5% in 1 month. However, the result of what happened to altcoins was a very significant decline.

For example, it happened to top altcoins like ETH which experienced a decline of up to 17% in a month, it's really bad, right? ETH is really bad. If other altcoins like BNB and SOL, both of them have dropped quite a bit in just a few weeks or days.
If the price of bitcoin drops of course the price of altcoin will drop even more sharply, that's what always happens in the crypto market. And I think it's a good opportunity for us to buy potential coins so that when the market recovers we can make a profit. the decline in altcoins has been quite severe this month, this is a fact that has happened. However, it is likely that altcoin season will come this year, so we still have a chance to make a profit by holding our altcoins.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on April 07, 2025, 08:15:59 PM
If the price of bitcoin drops of course the price of altcoin will drop even more sharply, that's what always happens in the crypto market. And I think it's a good opportunity for us to buy potential coins so that when the market recovers we can make a profit. the decline in altcoins has been quite severe this month, this is a fact that has happened. However, it is likely that altcoin season will come this year, so we still have a chance to make a profit by holding our altcoins.
Today we saw BTC fall out of the Sonic-R EMA34 bands, which isn't a positive event for the market at all. I think if this continues through the end of the week, we'll have to prepare for scenarios as bad as May 2021.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/J8bO5ckD/)

For now, I haven't taken any action with my account, but luckily I don't have any tokens in staking, meaning I can liquidate my crypto assets as soon as needed to preserve capital. While I'm confident in the return of the bullrun, I still prioritize protecting my capital and profits so I can get back into the market as soon as there are positive signals.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: Stuart on April 07, 2025, 11:35:54 PM
       -      If it is true that there will be strong volatility in the price of bitcoin, it is possible that what I saw in the technical analysis is 76000$ down to 72k$, although right now the support of 80k$ is still strong, even though it was broken in the past, it was able to recover immediately.

And now it is heading towards the resistance of 87k$-88k$ again, but of course it needs to break 85k$ first, so it is a bit difficult to read the price movement today
because its movement has been in consolidation for the past few days.

After the long consolidation price movement of Bitcoin, the price has broken below $80k, having been held back in the $82k/$83k, and now it is in $78k and struggling to either maintain, go up or break low. Are we going to say this is where the bear run starts, or we are to hold on and see if the price will reach the $72k before we know the bear run has started. I know that the crypto market and Bitcoin are filled with surprises, that is why we should be ready for whatsoever we find in the market.
Title: Re: We might be facing some extremely big volatility
Post by: MrSpasybo on April 08, 2025, 09:12:15 PM
After the long consolidation price movement of Bitcoin, the price has broken below $80k, having been held back in the $82k/$83k, and now it is in $78k and struggling to either maintain, go up or break low. Are we going to say this is where the bear run starts, or we are to hold on and see if the price will reach the $72k before we know the bear run has started. I know that the crypto market and Bitcoin are filled with surprises, that is why we should be ready for whatsoever we find in the market.
It's only Tuesday and the week isn't over yet. If this week candle is really bad, perhaps we should prepare a plan to sideline the market for at least a few months before returning with BTC price technical recovery. Conversely, we could see an impressive recovery of the entire crypto market after the black swan event ends with the FED interest rate cuts and money printing by governments worldwide.

I'm choosing to hold during this sensitive period. I need accurate confirmation from this week candle and a few other indicators before making a decision with my portfolio. If the BTC price doesn't fall below $75K, the opportunity for us to have a bull run in Q2 is still intact!