Compared with boring UFC fight card scheduled for this weekend, Aspinall vs Blaydes sounds like a heavyweight title fight, oh wait it is but Interim title fight 
Aspinall will be motivated to win after losing from Blades in 2022 and I think he has a chance in front of home crowd in Manchester.
Blaydes has a slight reach advantage and he has a chance to win again, I am just waiting to see odds on this fight to make my decision.
There's no way Tom will lose in front of his own crowd unless his knee gives up again.
The odds are pretty much where you would expect:

I imagined Tom would be even bigger favourite than this, but this is MMA, so one lucky punch could shift it in an underdog's favour.
this is also the reason why Pereira wasn't interested to fight Aspinall all for the interim belt. he wants to directly fight for the HW champ belt Jones. people will doubt whether he could take Jones but being so inactive, i think he could actually. i don't think Pereira will mind losing, he lost several times and recovered quickly.
If both, Jones and Aspinall win their fights, there's no way in the world Tom will not get the shot against Jones. If Jones was to refuse and only wanted to fight Pereira instead, he would have to be stripped of his belt. Otherwise the UFC would lose any credibility as a sports organisation and any rankings would be rendered useless.
The only way for Pereira to fight Jones for the HW title is to replace Stipe in the upcoming fight.