What if the big bull run doesn't happen?

[Fivestar4everMVP]

What everyone expects to happen in the year of the halving is a big bull run that, if nothing else, will at least double the price of BTC, and somehow most people take that for granted - but the real question is how will people react if something like that doesn't happen?

Well, I am not going to act like I am a super hero and pretend nothing will happen when and if the much anticipated bull run fails to materialize, I mean, I've invested heavily on some Altcoins which I believed will do well in the coming bull run; and if at the end of the day, there is no bull run, it's absolutely normal that I will be very disappointed, as that could mean a big loss for me, and for several other persons like me out there.

And let me actually mention that this same topic has been discussed before, can't tell if it was on this board or a seperate board, but I am very sure that i have authored a thread of this very same topic on this forum like a month or two ago.

[debra]

Actually, the measure for the bullrun later is when the Bitcoin price touches how much? Because many say that it will be $100k. But for me, if the price is already $85k, I will start selling, oh, just a few percent. Well, at least I don't want to regret missing the moment. And at that number, I can actually get quite a lot of profit.

But again, only a few percent, because there will be other targets, namely $90k, then $100k, and leaving a little for the number above $100k. So even if it turns out not to be in accordance with our expectations, we have already made a profit. And when the market is about to drop, but it hasn't been reached, I will choose to take all the profits right away, rather than being late and not getting any profit at all,

[philipma1957]

Let's not pretend too much about some things, the majority "love" BTC because they believe it will bring them profit, the few appreciate it because it is a cryptocurrency with which they can make transactions anytime and with anyone.

What everyone expects to happen in the year of the halving is a big bull run that, if nothing else, will at least double the price of BTC, and somehow most people take that for granted - but the real question is how will people react if something like that doesn't happen?

Give your honest answers in the pool


Recommendation for all members, if you are already quoting someone's post, edit (delete) the part that does not apply to your answer. Pyramidal quotes look really ugly and are completely unnecessary.

I will sell a bit and hodl the rest. I will also stick with my 1 year host contract as I signed a contract for 5 miners.

[pieppiep]

Hmm.. Revisiting even market is making some progress and showing some positive intent still we need to acknowledge that anything can happen, but according to voting seems like people here are more confident with their learnings and they know how to act in such kind of situations because most of the voting is in favor of the option C even though the data set or vote casters are limited in numbers but in collective approach, it s a decent result to know about communities sentiments.

It is impressive that the community is ready and informed enough to make correct choices, which is crucial in conditions of constantly changing markets. This means that people are not only interested in trends, but are equally trying to look for information about the market. Although it is important to understand that the market is constantly evolving, and this or that strategy may cease to be relevant at any time, confidence in one’s actions and the fact that a given approach really works is worth much. One should have confidence in the selected strategy and the result is always positive when there is issue of patience and readiness.

[Lucius]

Well, I am not going to act like I am a super hero and pretend nothing will happen when and if the much anticipated bull run fails to materialize, I mean, I've invested heavily on some Altcoins which I believed will do well in the coming bull run; and if at the end of the day, there is no bull run, it's absolutely normal that I will be very disappointed, as that could mean a big loss for me, and for several other persons like me out there.

If you followed the rule that you invest only as much as you are ready to lose, then the absence of a bull run would only be a disappointment, but not a situation where you lost money that you simply shouldn't have lost. Unfortunately, a few people like you are not the true picture of things, because hundreds of thousands, and probably millions of people are taking risks in the hope that something will happen because it has already happened several times in the past.

Here we are talking about losses amounting to billions of dollars, but you should know that someone's loss is always someone else's gain - and this only supports the theory that the few get rich, and the majority are left with their losses.

And let me actually mention that this same topic has been discussed before, can't tell if it was on this board or a seperate board, but I am very sure that i have authored a thread of this very same topic on this forum like a month or two ago.

It is possible, I personally have not seen a similar topic here, and no one has posted a link pointing to it so far.

[Mr. Magkaisa]

        -        We know that most of the holders of bitcoin or other crypto assets really expect earnings in every bull run that comes. Now, if it doesn't happen every 4 years, the question is, what is the reason?

Isn't it true that when bitcoin was created, it was designed that every 4 years there will be a halving, and as in the history of bitcoin, every time after the halving, the next thing that will happen is a bull run? So, in reality, it has not yet happened, but if it ever happens, I won't be disappointed; I'll just continue what I started holding assets.

[Hamza2424]

Isn't it true that when bitcoin was created, it was designed that every 4 years there will be a halving, and as in the history of bitcoin, every time after the halving, the next thing that will happen is a bull run? So, in reality, it has not yet happened, but if it ever happens, I won't be disappointed; I'll just continue what I started holding assets.

TBH, the halving was not to boost the Bull run, its came as a by-product of the natural concept of supply and demand in market, as the supply gets a cut compared to the market demand and other sentiments from the traders it boosts the market valuation so calling that its was designed to be boosted is not true even though from historic movement its fact that after every halving cycle Bitcoin sets a new ATH for the cycle and this repeats on every halving event.

[vegasus]

        -        We know that most of the holders of bitcoin or other crypto assets really expect earnings in every bull run that comes. Now, if it doesn't happen every 4 years, the question is, what is the reason?

Yes, while this is like a kind of annual cycle that continues to happen. and even if there is something that is not achieved, it might not be the bullrun season, but the ATH predictions for Bitcoin and altcoins later. If the bullrun event I think will still happen, it's just that, how high the increase will be, there will be many predictions. As we know that there are many predictions related to BTC going up to $100k, now this is still a question, will it really be able to reach that number or not.

and the next question is, what is the definition and criteria for the bullrun later? if BTC is above $74k can it be said to be a bullrun because it has also exceeded the previous ATH? This is what is being thought about. But what is certain is that we set our own targets, a certain percentage of the profit that we can get, not all in one at 1 rate to prevent unwanted things or things that may not happen.

[joniboini]

Looks like most voters won't sell anything more than what they need, though the definition can be a bit vague depending on who you ask. I believe selling less than half is probably what I'd do, but that will only happen if I need fiat money fast (preparing to move to a new house is a bit tough, although I don't have to do it asap), so the choice is a bit redundant for me.

Anyway, some of my family members plan to sell their crypto at the end of the year because they believe the return will be big. They're quite new to the crypto market, so I'm surprised they know about the cycle and plan around it that quickly. Luckily they don't buy at the top because it would sting and I doubt they'll stick around after that.

[Crypto Library]

I actually still don't understand what you mean by big bull season because I think the bull season has not started yet. I will call this situation bullish market. I don't understand big bull season but my expectation is that coin will touch atleast 100k this season. And if this price doesn't touch then I will hold Bitcoin till the next bull season.
Because currently, Bitcoin has only passed four halvings, there are more left, so holding can be continued. Although no one can talk about emergency situations, I always try to keep a separate fund arrangement for emergency situations so that I don't have to touch my holding bitcoins.

[doc]

I actually still don't understand what you mean by big bull season because I think the bull season has not started yet. I will call this situation bullish market. I don't understand big bull season but my expectation is that coin will touch atleast 100k this season. And if this price doesn't touch then I will hold Bitcoin till the next bull season.
Because currently, Bitcoin has only passed four halvings, there are more left, so holding can be continued. Although no one can talk about emergency situations, I always try to keep a separate fund arrangement for emergency situations so that I don't have to touch my holding bitcoins.

Bull run is likely to happen next year, and at that time we can sell our bitcoin. I also targeted to sell bitcoin at $100K, and I still have confidence that $100K will happen next year. We will likely see another correction, so we have to be patient if we target to sell at that number, $100k

[Axcel777]

I actually still don't understand what you mean by big bull season because I think the bull season has not started yet. I will call this situation bullish market. I don't understand big bull season but my expectation is that coin will touch atleast 100k this season. And if this price doesn't touch then I will hold Bitcoin till the next bull season.
Because currently, Bitcoin has only passed four halvings, there are more left, so holding can be continued. Although no one can talk about emergency situations, I always try to keep a separate fund arrangement for emergency situations so that I don't have to touch my holding bitcoins.

Bull run is likely to happen next year, and at that time we can sell our bitcoin. I also targeted to sell bitcoin at $100K, and I still have confidence that $100K will happen next year. We will likely see another correction, so we have to be patient if we target to sell at that number, $100k

We expect the coming year to be a good year and holds the prospects for a rally that will see our price target of $100K per Bitcoin realised. As the momentum builds in the market, there is discontent to reach that value.

Even though there could be some adjustments, more especially relating to certain output, the ingredients that will shape this process are; patience and doggedness. We keep our attention on the most promising opportunities which can provide the highest outcome with regard to the specified investment objectives.

[Faisal2202]

Let's not pretend too much about some things, the majority "love" BTC because they believe it will bring them profit, the few appreciate it because it is a cryptocurrency with which they can make transactions anytime and with anyone.

What everyone expects to happen in the year of the halving is a big bull run that, if nothing else, will at least double the price of BTC, and somehow most people take that for granted - but the real question is how will people react if something like that doesn't happen?

Give your honest answers in the pool

I don't hope and predict from BTC to make another 2x at the moment I know the post is old but still the price difference is not so big like its a price difference of few grands but yeah the sentiments are fully changed now but that's not going to remain for too long (like till 5th Nov).

I believe BTC might touch $90k and that's the maximum I expect from BTC so it's not going to touch $120k or $100k even IMO but I might be wrong as its just my observation. We must be optimistic about the future and in the long run we will see BTC touching $180k too and at that time it will be making us more than it is making now (obviously) so I voted that I might hold onto my money (as if I don't come to need my money).

[Aanuoluwatofunmi]

There is nothing impossible with this current dispensation, but i don't have to also on the same vein believe that bitcoin is not going to make it to all time high, because everything concerning it has turned inevitable, the continued adoption rate, increase in it value as well as the way of it acceptance in making payments, not to go about talking on the security and trust that can be found in using a decentralized digital currency, all these alone are enough to know why we must always reach an all time high during or after the bullrun

[libert19]

I don't really care, my coins will stay as they are (I have little holdings in BTC, rest in alt), understandably some of them will go bust by next bull run arrives. But I have been in similar situation before, seeing plenty paper profits vanish into thin air — yes I regretted for a while, now I laugh about it. So, I know it'll be fine.