Pure BTC.D reversed, altseason will soon begin!

[Findingnemo]

Usually the alt season begins when the BTC is at the mid way, considering the last season ATH of BTC the observation seems to fit perfectly so yeah it's the time of they want to increase their ALT portfolio. But the problem is the market is filled with so much of new coins so we will have hard time picking them but one who does certainly bags more money than BTC investor.

ALTs have a smaller market cap than BTC, so when large amounts of capital flow from BTC into ALTs, significant growth will appear on ALTs price charts. I also believe that now is the right time for capital to start flowing into ALTs after helping BTC surpass $100K in December 2024.

The continuous rotation of capital is what creates growth and maturity in the crypto market, not stagnation in BTC. If BTC price increases too quickly, a reversal will also come soon, and whales will not be able to maximize profits from market manipulation plans. Altseason should come to cool down BTC price rise while the total market cap can continue to increase thanks to the breakout of ALTs.

Furthermore the whales utilizes this situations perfectly, they will move their capital from BTC to ALTs at this point of time to maximize their profits so when we see sudden bump it's important to approach the situation with some caution too cause they will dump it hard at the unexpected time. But we can act so quickly and real the profits sooner than keep waiting for more and more.

[MrSpasybo]

Furthermore the whales utilizes this situations perfectly, they will move their capital from BTC to ALTs at this point of time to maximize their profits so when we see sudden bump it's important to approach the situation with some caution too cause they will dump it hard at the unexpected time. But we can act so quickly and real the profits sooner than keep waiting for more and more.

Yeah, it's clearly much easier to manipulate ALTs price than BTC price, especially when whales have been able to easily accumulate ALTs for the past 2 years and they've also participated in many token-sales at seed round prices. Shifting focus to ALTs is also easier to create FOMO and attract new capital with extremely impressive vertical price charts!

Currently, we're seeing the entire crypto market immersed in fear due to interest rate risks and economic recession. I believe this is the key moment for the market to shift from Bitseason to Altseason.

[|MINER|]

This is usually the case, now it remains to be seen whether the market will follow the previous records this time. Although there is no guarantee that the market will always follow the previous records.
I myself have come to believe that when Bitcoin dumps, the dominance of the crypto market decreases somewhat and on the other hand the dominance of altcoins increases. As a result, the market volume in the altcoin markets also starts to increase and as a result the market cap of altcoins increases. And this is what is behind the subsequent altcoin season.

[taufik123]

-snip-
Currently, we're seeing the entire crypto market immersed in fear due to interest rate risks and economic recession. I believe this is the key moment for the market to shift from Bitseason to Altseason.

The current decline in the price of bitcoin is a sign that a correction needs to be made when it wants to reach a higher price.
The market does look bearish, but it's a pretty healthy consolidation, so adding to your bag with some Bitcoin or other altcoins is highly recommended.

Looking at how this market continues to work and the fear and greed index also shows how the crypto market is currently doing.
There is no need to panic because this will only be a decline that results in a big increase.

[MrSpasybo]

The current decline in the price of bitcoin is a sign that a correction needs to be made when it wants to reach a higher price.
The market does look bearish, but it's a pretty healthy consolidation, so adding to your bag with some Bitcoin or other altcoins is highly recommended.

Looking at how this market continues to work and the fear and greed index also shows how the crypto market is currently doing.
There is no need to panic because this will only be a decline that results in a big increase.

I also hope this is true, and a correction is also necessary for BTC price, but the market would be better if the capital flow was pushed to ALTs instead of evaporating from the market. Now ALTs price is dropping faster than BTC price, Pure BTC.D is rising and sometimes I also wonder if we just had a fake signal about the trend of capital flow in the market.

I hope the market anxiety will turn into FOMO after Trump takes office and has clear and decisive actions to strengthen the role of BTC and crypto in the world largest economy. Everything seems to become clear in Q1.

[BitMaxz]

I also hope this is true, and a correction is also necessary for BTC price, but the market would be better if the capital flow was pushed to ALTs instead of evaporating from the market. Now ALTs price is dropping faster than BTC price, Pure BTC.D is rising and sometimes I also wonder if we just had a fake signal about the trend of capital flow in the market.

I hope the market anxiety will turn into FOMO after Trump takes office and has clear and decisive actions to strengthen the role of BTC and crypto in the world largest economy. Everything seems to become clear in Q1.

Well, everything is unpredictable; that is why we are analysing the market for high probabilities, but sometimes we can't predict what will happen in the future since we are using the historical data. All of us here are part of the business, and this is a battle between retailer traders and big companies. Because we have already experienced what happened in the past, we can use that information to predict the probabilities.

However, I don't see any signals for altcoin seasons yet. It looks like if the BTC price keeps declining until it drops to 50%, altcoins might also drop more than 50%. I am still hoping to see the altcoin season because that is what we always experience every cycle unless the altcoin season is already done? Because we already saw most of the altcoin increase last year during the BTC bullish season what you think?

[MrSpasybo]

Well, everything is unpredictable; that is why we are analysing the market for high probabilities, but sometimes we can't predict what will happen in the future since we are using the historical data. All of us here are part of the business, and this is a battle between retailer traders and big companies. Because we have already experienced what happened in the past, we can use that information to predict the probabilities.

However, I don't see any signals for altcoin seasons yet. It looks like if the BTC price keeps declining until it drops to 50%, altcoins might also drop more than 50%. I am still hoping to see the altcoin season because that is what we always experience every cycle unless the altcoin season is already done? Because we already saw most of the altcoin increase last year during the BTC bullish season what you think?

Yeah, technical analysis is not synonymous with prophecy, it only helps us visualize the story unfolding in the market and the possible future scenarios or clear criteria for taking action to protect capital and profits. My efforts are just to increase the accuracy or suggest a more interesting story about the crypto market ^^

I haven't seen altseason in 2024. The price increase of a few ALTs in 2024 is not enough to represent the majority of ALTs, which is why we see Pure BTC.D continue to rise in 2024 instead of reversing to confirm altseason. And precisely because altseason hasn't arrived, I dare to expect that it will happen and be extremely strong in 2025. We will wait together for the best time to take profits or leave the market this year!

[taufik123]

I hope the market anxiety will turn into FOMO after Trump takes office and has clear and decisive actions to strengthen the role of BTC and crypto in the world largest economy. Everything seems to become clear in Q1.

It will get closer and FOMO may be imminent so that the Bullish for Altcoins will resume again.
Seeing how the price of Bitcoin recovers closer to the crucial day for Trump, this may be a big turning point.

I have also been getting ready with the assets I own, including altcoins that have fallen quite drastically but I bought them at a very cheap price a few days ago, now I just have to wait for the market to be bullish again in the next few days.

[BitMaxz]

I haven't seen altseason in 2024. The price increase of a few ALTs in 2024 is not enough to represent the majority of ALTs, which is why we see Pure BTC.D continue to rise in 2024 instead of reversing to confirm altseason. And precisely because altseason hasn't arrived, I dare to expect that it will happen and be extremely strong in 2025. We will wait together for the best time to take profits or leave the market this year!

I agree we haven't seen the altcoin season yet based on the BTC.D data.
My prediction we can maybe see the altcoin season around July or August  I think.
I'm just basing on the last news about MT. Gox I heard that they are going to send $9.4B in BTC and BCH to affected users around that date. So, that's the date that I expecting for huge BTC price drop.

[ZAINmalik75]

Thank you for your interest in my Pure BTC.D. My suggestion may not be widely accepted yet, but I hope it will prove its value in the future. I am still testing and monitoring this new indicator.

Today BTC price has dropped to $92K and created fear among many investors in the market. As a result, ALTs price havs declined more sharply and Pure BTC.D has increased. I hope this will only be temporary and ALTs price will soon rise more strongly than BTC price in this Q1 and we will see a decline in Pure BTC.D.

Price dipping to $92k is not that bad as dipping to $89k it created a fear among all the alts investors because the most of the loss investors were making from alts category because BTC was not making them huge lose on their investments. That's why I like BTC it's not that volatile but profitable still if we invest in it for long term.

The price quickly rebounded back to $92k and now it is above $95k which is extremely amazing because how it dupped back to $89k and now to $95k we can't time the market in this way. I still like your BTC.D chart, and I hope you will share more updates of improvements if any.

[MrSpasybo]

Price dipping to $92k is not that bad as dipping to $89k it created a fear among all the alts investors because the most of the loss investors were making from alts category because BTC was not making them huge lose on their investments. That's why I like BTC it's not that volatile but profitable still if we invest in it for long term.

The price quickly rebounded back to $92k and now it is above $95k which is extremely amazing because how it dupped back to $89k and now to $95k we can't time the market in this way. I still like your BTC.D chart, and I hope you will share more updates of improvements if any.

BTC only fluctuated a few thousand $ but was enough to make investors sentiment constantly shift from fear to greed. Just 2 days ago, many investors were talking about the possibility of BTC price falling to $70K, but today they are hoping BTC price will soon increase and return to the price zone above $100K. If this is a whale manipulation plan, they are very successful before creating an extremely large fluctuation in the market.

With the growth of many revenue-sharing stablecoins like USDe, I think I will need to update Pure BTC.D soon but this will also shorten its history on TradingView. I am building a custom indicator for Pure.BTC that takes into account the emergence of new stablecoins, its downside is a boring line instead of the familiar candlesticks on the chart.

[ZAINmalik75]

BTC only fluctuated a few thousand $ but was enough to make investors sentiment constantly shift from fear to greed. Just 2 days ago, many investors were talking about the possibility of BTC price falling to $70K, but today they are hoping BTC price will soon increase and return to the price zone above $100K. If this is a whale manipulation plan, they are very successful before creating an extremely large fluctuation in the market.

With the growth of many revenue-sharing stablecoins like USDe, I think I will need to update Pure BTC.D soon but this will also shorten its history on TradingView. I am building a custom indicator for Pure.BTC that takes into account the emergence of new stablecoins, its downside is a boring line instead of the familiar candlesticks on the chart.

Slight fluctuation in BTC price can make big investors huge lose that's why market sentiments changes but they don't matter because BTC was not going to dip lower than $89k if it would then falling to $70k was possible and I also expecting BTC to fall to $70k.

It did not though due to demand and the upcoming inauguaration of Donald this will bring more money into the market and the greed and fear index is showing people are very greedy right now but why they don't get greedy when BTC is low in price they always want to buy high.

[sampoerna]

I agree we haven't seen the altcoin season yet based on the BTC.D data.
My prediction we can maybe see the altcoin season around July or August  I think.
I'm just basing on the last news about MT. Gox I heard that they are going to send $9.4B in BTC and BCH to affected users around that date. So, that's the date that I expecting for huge BTC price drop.

Exactly, altcoin season has not happened yet, and the increase in Q4 last year 2024 was only an increase in several altcoins, especially the top altcoins which were indeed very significant. It's just that some of them haven't even exceeded their ATH, only a few have and that too is not too significant.

And we are still waiting for the Bitcoin bullrun to really happen. and altcoin season usually happens after that, when it starts to go sideways. Indeed, this is quite tricky because sometimes some altcoins are not always the same time, so at that moment, we have to be more active in checking our portfolio if we want to profit in the bullrun era and altcoin season this time. I have missed some things in the past, and now is the time I really want to do it better.

[rizqillah]

I agree we haven't seen the altcoin season yet based on the BTC.D data.
My prediction we can maybe see the altcoin season around July or August  I think.
I'm just basing on the last news about MT. Gox I heard that they are going to send $9.4B in BTC and BCH to affected users around that date. So, that's the date that I expecting for huge BTC price drop.

Exactly, altcoin season has not happened yet, and the increase in Q4 last year 2024 was only an increase in several altcoins, especially the top altcoins which were indeed very significant. It's just that some of them haven't even exceeded their ATH, only a few have and that too is not too significant.

And we are still waiting for the Bitcoin bullrun to really happen. and altcoin season usually happens after that, when it starts to go sideways. Indeed, this is quite tricky because sometimes some altcoins are not always the same time, so at that moment, we have to be more active in checking our portfolio if we want to profit in the bullrun era and altcoin season this time. I have missed some things in the past, and now is the time I really want to do it better.

we wait for bitcoin to reach its ATH again and usually after that we will see altcoin season. because currently some altcoins have not reached their ATH. As we can see only a few top coins have reached their ATH.
And it seems like altcoins season has not come this month.

[MrSpasybo]

we wait for bitcoin to reach its ATH again and usually after that we will see altcoin season. because currently some altcoins have not reached their ATH. As we can see only a few top coins have reached their ATH.
And it seems like altcoins season has not come this month.

I have a slightly more optimistic view: Pure BTC.D has signaled a reversal, so altseason may have officially begun. We will be able to confirm this in Q1.

Similar to the event of Trump inauguration, I expect BTC price to rise to the $140K zone and ALTs will increase even more strongly, bringing profits to investors. If altseason is delayed until the second half of 2025, investor FOMO may not be as intense and ALTs will not have much time to increase in price before the crypto winter arrives.