How to guess Bitcoin price to win?

[Z-tight]

There is nobody who has any special knowledge on how the price of BTC or any crypto will move, predictions like this is purely based on luck and that is the fun of it. If you keep on joining contests like this, there is also a chance that sooner or later you may be the lucky one to guess right.

[Kemarit]

Some people may use technical analysis to deduce the price to a range but me I just go with wild guess that comes to my mind. I didn't win anything but still there's no way that you can find the price with any analysis at all, just forget the prediction contest there are million of people out there doing trading and if it was possible then most of them would be crazy rich, isn't?

Yeah, maybe those who won might have used technical analysis to increase their chance of winning. But just like the rest of us, we can only make wild and educated guesses. And we all know that there are no crypto experts here, maybe they have the experience, but still though, the market is very volatile that it changes in just matter of minutes and you really need to have extreme luck to guess the price at time certain period. And as we can see, the difference between the winner and second and third are not that big and it could go either in any direction. But then the winner has lady luck on his side.

[LogitechMouse]

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I don't want to brag it, but I guess I need to because... because I just want to. I also won one time at the prediction contest of Mixero, and the difference between the exact price and my prediction is only $1.XX. I mean only a dollar away from predicting the exact amount. I'm just lucky of course. I also tried to do some quick technical analysis on my prediction, but obviously, it didn't work as well.
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Okay, based on your experience as a winner in the Mixero contest, I hope I can also be a winner for this March contest.

Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win.

So you're expecting that you're the only one that wants to win, eh? We all want to win, but we have different ways of winning it.
Writing a topic about it for me will only give you ideas on how to increase your chances of winning, but in reality, there's no certainty to it. If only creating a topic like this makes us a winner, all of us could've created one as well.

At the end of the day, that's why it's a prediction contest. We need to predict what will be the price of it at the specific date and time. Yes, analyzing the market and the possible movements could increase your chances, but that isn't 100% certain because there's no such thing as like that in crypto. The best that we can do is to analyze the market, predict, analyze, predict, and repeat the process. If you win, you win. If you lose, better luck next month.

[Report]

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I don't want to brag it, but I guess I need to because... because I just want to. I also won one time at the prediction contest of Mixero, and the difference between the exact price and my prediction is only $1.XX. I mean only a dollar away from predicting the exact amount. I'm just lucky of course. I also tried to do some quick technical analysis on my prediction, but obviously, it didn't work as well.
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Okay, based on your experience as a winner in the Mixero contest, I hope I can also be a winner for this March contest.

Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win.

So you're expecting that you're the only one that wants to win, eh? We all want to win, but we have different ways of winning it.

Lol, we all want to win. Me, you and them all want to win from this Mixero Event.

Writing a topic about it for me will only give you ideas on how to increase your chances of winning, but in reality, there's no certainty to it. If only creating a topic like this makes us a winner, all of us could've created one as well.

But at least I got some useful information from making this topic for tricks from guessing in Mixero event.

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The best that we can do is to analyze the market, predict, analyze, predict, and repeat the process.
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Yep, the answer is here, analyst, prediction and guess. Everything is in these words and one more thing a little touch of Luck for us to win.

[MrSpasybo]

Based on luck... even it is actually very difficult to guess the price at a certain time at a certain second and at a certain minute... it is really very difficult...

Seeing kryptobul's answer which is a unique number, namely 86868 may seem unreasonable, but I think he has a little better analysis, such as predicting the price based on the range... for example finding the price range number on a certain date is between 83k-90k, then he takes the middle point at 86k, and makes it unique by adding 868 behind it...

Between a little analysis and luck plays a bigger role.

Yeah, many members like to play with numbers: Jokers and I also like to give out fun numbers, for example $77,777.77 or $123,456.78. Mixero contest was made to create a vibrant atmosphere on AltcoinsTalks: joy, the opportunity to try and the anticipation are the rewards for all participants.

BTC price has quite large fluctuations, the difference between the predictions of the winners and the others is not too huge. Luck probably plays a bigger role than the predictive ability of the participants. And I don't know how to have enough luck to win this contest, all we can do is try to analyze a little and hope for our own luck ^^

[Z-tight]

And I don't know how to have enough luck to win this contest, all we can do is try to analyze a little and hope for our own luck ^^

Lol, it is really hard to win contests like this, i have won a few times in bitcointalk forum and i was really surprised when i received the personal message that i had won, because i was not expecting it at all. I didn't even do any analysis when i won, i just looked at the current price and just dropped a prediction, pure luck.

[Alone055]

Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win.

A wild guess with a little bit of knowledge about how the market generally moves is how you go about it. To be honest, winning in gambling seems easier than winning in a price prediction contest, lol, especially if there are many participants because the guesses will be close to each other, and the price can always swing any way making it either go far away from your guess or come close, but if someone else is closer to it, they win and you lose.

I have participated in a few prediction contests in Bitcointalk and never won anything because I was never lucky enough for the price to get close to my guess at the time of the snapshot, lol. 

Keep trying your luck, and who knows? You might win one day.

[Report]

Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win.

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I have participated in a few prediction contests in Bitcointalk and never won anything because I was never lucky enough for the price to get close to my guess at the time of the snapshot, lol. 

You also think your guess is very close but in fact you never win and always lose. The Luck factor is really needed in this position.

Keep trying your luck, and who knows? You might win one day.

I also keep trying it and I choose the opposite of most members' choices. So, I choose the lowest price like below 70,000 dollars or around 68,000 dollars. I hope Bitcoin continues to rise in price but if in a guessing event position, I also hope it goes to the price I have chosen.

[bitterguy28]

I also keep trying it and I choose the opposite of most members' choices. So, I choose the lowest price like below 70,000 dollars or around 68,000 dollars. I hope Bitcoin continues to rise in price but if in a guessing event position, I also hope it goes to the price I have chosen.

it is good to not predict something so similar with other people who are also joining the competition you will notice that most people are predicting specific amounts so that they can be closest to the correct answer since the market price rarely is just rounded up numbers like 70,000 or 60,000

the market price will usually be 68,956.12 so if you try to predict as closely as you can and different from other participants then you can have higher chances of winning

[Report]

I also keep trying it and I choose the opposite of most members' choices. So, I choose the lowest price like below 70,000 dollars or around 68,000 dollars. I hope Bitcoin continues to rise in price but if in a guessing event position, I also hope it goes to the price I have chosen.

it is good to not predict something so similar with other people who are also joining the competition you will notice that most people are predicting specific amounts so that they can be closest to the correct answer since the market price rarely is just rounded up numbers like 70,000 or 60,000

the market price will usually be 68,956.12 so if you try to predict as closely as you can and different from other participants then you can have higher chances of winning

Oh yeah, that's right, I should have chosen a random number so that my chances of winning were high. And don't let the number be rounded like 70,000, 65,000 or 60,000. I didn't have time to think about it here.
Maybe later if the second part for the prediction I will give a guess like 66,333 dollars and this is an example for guessing the price of Bitcoin.
I think your suggestion makes a lot of sense and I thank you for the advice you gave. Thanks.

[Crypto Library]

Have you ever seen the others free raffles? on those we have to just choose a or two number among 50 or 100 numbers?

Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.

[Z-tight]

Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.

I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.

[sampoerna]

To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

It's called prediction, yes there are still several factors. And it depends on each individual in predicting the price.
It could involve:
- Analysis of the graph
- Analysis of the current price
- Random pick
- Luck

Yes, of course all of that can't guarantee the most accurate prediction, because of that, several factors may be interrelated.

[KryptoBull]

I first joined the guessing event from Mixero (Bitcoin mixer platform). I joined it because the rewards were quite large, with the first guess being $300, the second guess being $100 and the third being $100.

https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=327852.msg1724841#msg1724841
See the winners above, the winners are listed there:

1st winner: $300.00 = KryptoBull

2nd winner: $100.00 = dwyane36

3rd winner: $100.00 = hanadawa

To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

Oh, this topic mentioned me and I didn't even know
Thank you for thinking I have some kind of secret, I wish that were true but unfortunately I don't have any significant ability to predict the market.

All I did was observe the weakness of BTC through Vol and RSI, I think the BTC price will soon fall out of the 90K USD range and find support at 72K USD. In between, 86K is a number I like because it is considered a lucky number in Asian culture, when pronounced it sounds like "prosperity"

I have participated in many contests and failed many times, all I got was joy. I hope participants will share how they predict, it could bring a lot of knowledge to the community, I also want to refer to their opinions.

[Report]

To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

~
- Analysis of the graph
- Analysis of the current price
- Random pick
- Luck
~

Thanks for the suggestion, I will take your suggestion for my future guesses when there is another contest for Bitcoin price guessing.

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1st winner: $300.00 = KryptoBull
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To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

Oh, this topic mentioned me and I didn't even know
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All I did was observe the weakness of BTC through Vol and RSI, I think the BTC price will soon fall out of the 90K USD range and find support at 72K USD. In between, 86K is a number I like because it is considered a lucky number in Asian culture, when pronounced it sounds like "prosperity"
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Previously I wanted to PM you three as the winners to give me advice in this thread so that your Bitcoin guess can give me victory in the future but PMing someone who doesn't know me makes me reluctant because it talks about privacy, especially since this is just a guessing question.
Okay, I found the information here, namely from Volume and RSI, so you take the middle path from the price of 90,000 dollars and 72,000 dollars, which is 86,000 dollars.
I will note down the information, Volume and RSI I will keep in mind.