How to guess Bitcoin price to win?

[Crypto Library]

I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.

I won't gonna say say it is just only the luck based things because there is a things which is the proper analysis we can't deny.

But in this scenario I think most of the time and most of the peoples who participates on these event who don't really do that proper analysis they do the basic analysis which is one kind of luck dependency. I say about this kinds of event in forums.

[Z-tight]

I won't gonna say say it is just only the luck based things because there is a things which is the proper analysis we can't deny.

The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.

[DavetJack]

Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.

I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.

What I mean is that no one in this training can give a signal with 100% certainty about what the market might be like now. However, those who have a lot of experience and a good understanding of the market can trade with 90% or more certainty. However, in this crypto currency world, no one can say that trading depends on luck. No matter how experienced they are, many of their signals fail.

[Nheer]

Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.

I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.

What I mean is that no one in this training can give a signal with 100% certainty about what the market might be like now. However, those who have a lot of experience and a good understanding of the market can trade with 90% or more certainty. However, in this crypto currency world, no one can say that trading depends on luck. No matter how experienced they are, many of their signals fail.

Aside luck there are some professional traders that can give a better and reliable signal and the market will stick to their strategy, having a better knowledge and understanding of the market gives you better results and moreover it reduces your chances of risk or failure.
I know luck play a big impact to the game but with better understanding and analysis of the market you have high rate of possibilities to make a good and profitable signal. Sometimes signals do fail but most times after the perfect strategy and analyzing of the market with different time frame you have a successful trade.

[joniboini]

Aside luck there are some professional traders that can give a better and reliable signal and the market will stick to their strategy, having a better knowledge and understanding of the market gives you better results and moreover it reduces your chances of risk or failure.

Are you talking about crypto influencers on social media, professional traders who manage VC funds, and so on? I doubt they'll share their analysis publicly since they don't want to lose profit. If anything they'll likely give us some nothing-burger information and sensational predictions to drive fomo. Even if talk about copy trading, I don't think those traders have a say on how they can influence the market based on their trading history. Then again I don't think their analysis matters in the context OP talked about. Not to mention some contests don't allow two users to share the same prediction.

[Crypto Library]

The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.

You are right, the things you are saying here like if a person do the prediction 40k when bitcoin is on the 90k then it is just an unrealistic predictions although yes cryptocurrency I mean the bitcoin is also High volatile price condition but I don't think it is on that much high that it will goes down more than 50% in oneday.

[jeraldskie11]

The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.

You are right, the things you are saying here like if a person do the prediction 40k when bitcoin is on the 90k then it is just an unrealistic predictions although yes cryptocurrency I mean the bitcoin is also High volatile price condition but I don't think it is on that much high that it will goes down more than 50% in oneday.

That's not impossible but I swear it won't happen this year. Predicting the price of Bitcoin to hit 40k is unlikely to happen, it would be possible if he say it will reach around $75k. Because of demand and supply the price won't do drastic move with one candlestick and reach $40k. There are areas in the chart base on its previous price action that the price would bounce back if there is no enough pressure. If he study trading, he will clearly understand what I mean.

[JoyMarsha]

To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

Whatever you don't know the outcome at any minute of the day, getting the predictions correctly is really by luck, not your own understanding or willpower because so many people who are more intelligent and wise than you have failed in such a thing terribly, and they gave up in such a thing because they can't predict their outcome.

I have tried my luck in Bitcoin price contests on different occasions. I failed in them all woefully. Some people tried it on their first trier, and they predicted it correctly. That's their luck. That doesn't make them more experienced than me in predicting the Bitcoin price in a Bitcoin contest

[Report]

To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

-
I have tried my luck in Bitcoin price contests on different occasions. I failed in them all woefully.

Holys***t, it could also happen to me by trying several times and always failing.
Btw, did you join the Mixero contest to guess the Bitcoin price again this March?

Some people tried it on their first trier, and they predicted it correctly. That's their luck. That doesn't make them more experienced than me in predicting the Bitcoin price in a Bitcoin contest

I also think, apparently being experienced does not guarantee winning because only the lucky ones can win this contest, that's why there are rules for new members.

You need to have a least 50 post on Altcoinstalks before Feb 28th

I think that with such rules, in addition to neutralizing members who are active in the altcoinstalks forum, it also makes new registered members continue to be active in the altcoinstalks forum and that can create a positive value for the altcoinstalks website so that its rating increases.

[CryptoBun]

Aside luck there are some professional traders that can give a better and reliable signal and the market will stick to their strategy, having a better knowledge and understanding of the market gives you better results and moreover it reduces your chances of risk or failure.

Are you talking about crypto influencers on social media, professional traders who manage VC funds, and so on? I doubt they'll share their analysis publicly since they don't want to lose profit. If anything they'll likely give us some nothing-burger information and sensational predictions to drive fomo. Even if talk about copy trading, I don't think those traders have a say on how they can influence the market based on their trading history. Then again I don't think their analysis matters in the context OP talked about. Not to mention some contests don't allow two users to share the same prediction.

No matter how professional a trader is they their chances of winning the contest is just higher than the person who made a random guess; it can never be certain they would win. At the end, luck has to be on one side because the prediction might be right at the moment but changed by the time the snapshot is taken.

[kai]

....
Btw, did you join the Mixero contest to guess the Bitcoin price again this March?
....

Yes, I have joined this Mixero contest in January, February and March but all my guesses failed, from those 3 months I have never won even once.
It is quite emotionally draining because it is only guessing but we hope to win but back to the beginning if you join this guessing contest you have to take it easy and enjoy it so that it does not become a mental burden.

Btw, last March the winner was @alltalk as the 1st winner and received a reward of 300 dollars with a Bitcoin price guess of 83,500 dollars on March 24, 2025, 11:37:12 PM.
His guess was within the deadline which would end in about 23 minutes to submit a Bitcoin price guess.
Please check this = https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=328357.msg1737917#msg1737917

I have also PMed @alltalk regarding my post (so that he can reply), just in case he wants to share his experience and knowledge for guessing Bitcoin prices to become the winner in every Mixero contest.

[Wiwo]

I first joined the guessing event from Mixero (Bitcoin mixer platform). I joined it because the rewards were quite large, with the first guess being $300, the second guess being $100 and the third being $100.

Just know that bitcoin price can not be predicted at Amy time sp for that one have to depend on luck to be able to win such contest, although I won from bc games bitcoin block contest before and that came after several trials so I believe that your turn will come and whatever the prize may be at that time, you should just accept it and move on.

Good luck on your next try and hope something positive comes out of that.

[Amphenomenon]

I won't gonna say say it is just only the luck based things because there is a things which is the proper analysis we can't deny.

The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.

I agree with you and would also add that fundamental analysis is also a factor determining the winners. One has to try to do the best on their analysis and maybe hope luck factor help them to be among the winners. Like you said one can't just say because luck is on their side then their prediction is like around $40k.

[Roseline492]

Just know that bitcoin price can not be predicted at Amy time sp for that one have to depend on luck to be able to win such contest, although I won from bc games bitcoin block contest before and that came after several trials so I believe that your turn will come and whatever the prize may be at that time, you should just accept it and move on.

Good luck on your next try and hope something positive comes out of that.

As the matter of fact nobody has been able to win any of those contests if it was judged based on accuracy of the number each individual brought as there prediction because why they usually win the contest is because of how they picked the closest number to the price Bitcoin was at that time of the judgement, so actually if somebody is saying they no how to pick it they are actually not understanding the concept of the judgement, however even if I won the contest so many times I Will still see it as luck and not any strategy.

[Makus]

I first joined the guessing event from Mixero (Bitcoin mixer platform). I joined it because the rewards were quite large, with the first guess being $300, the second guess being $100 and the third being $100.

https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=327852.msg1724841#msg1724841
See the winners above, the winners are listed there:

1st winner: $300.00 = KryptoBull

2nd winner: $100.00 = dwyane36

3rd winner: $100.00 = hanadawa

To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?

Well as you know, the price of bitcoin and the crypto market is heavily manipulated so you don't expect someone to rely on making predictions of chart readings  alone, it's also the crowned effect of luck. Though making chrat analysis could help you see the directions to which the market is taking and help make your prediction in line with the actual value of the coin price, but like I said earlier luck steps in to make the prediction seem accurate because there are also other persons who did same thing but luck sweeped them off, leaving them with no profit irrespective of the chart analysis they made. From a logical sense they could be the right persons to benefit had it been the price of the market respected some few patterns but that's is where manipulation steps in.