Analysts: Bitcoin cycle might have been shifted

[Amug123]

some market analysts suggest that Bitcoin four year circle is not ineffective as it used to be, the circle might have been permanently shifted,  some analyst insisted. What do you think?

I started to realize that since the last halvening. I guess it was dkbit98 who posted a similar thought, and he shared why the halving is not much affecting the market. Before, the halving caused huge scarcity on the market. For example, if the block reward was 50 Bitcoin, it was reduced to 25 and then 12.5, and then 6.25. These sharp drops caused huge scarcity after a few months of the halving. But now most of the supply is on circulating already. There are only  a few percentage of Bitcoin left to mine and the scarcity won't increase much.

the Bitcoin halving in the market has evolved over the years, with most of the supply already circulating, the scarcity effect of halving may be less pronounced compared to previous circle. And The reduction in block reward still affects the revenue of minners and it has influenced market sentiment

[JoyMarsha]

Shifted to when(the four-year circle of Bitcoin)? That's the question to answer. Will there not be a bull run this year, as speculated? When then will the bull run happen since it is most people thought that Bitcoin would moon again. This year is not yet over for the Bitcoin price to skyrocket. Whether institution investors are coming into crypto, it doesn't change nor will it alter the four-year circle of Bitcoin

[Forsyth Jones]

Trump's policy of increasing tariffs against China has indeed had an impact on the global economy, including bitcoin.
But when the tariff war is over and returns to normal, everything will be fine as it is now.

There is no FUD and any policies from trump that have disrupted the global economy.
Now it's time for bitcoin to reach the new ATH faster.

Investors who exit first are likely to enter and bitcoin dominance increases and eventually when the dominance drops,
but the bitcoin price stabilizes above the new ATH, then the altcoin starts to recover.

The market is not like before, despite the 4-year cycle continuing to work or not, with the entry of the institutional, I realize that things are a little different, bitcoin continues to appreciate and correct whenever it can, but it is less volatile, although with fewer expressive highs and corrections as well.

[bitterguy28]

Shifted to when(the four-year circle of Bitcoin)? That's the question to answer. Will there not be a bull run this year, as speculated?

actually i have seen people speculate more about bitcoin not having a bear run anymore but i guess the speculations change easily depending on the current price so for example since bitcoin has recovered now and investors are feeling more confident than the past weeks there might be crazy speculations again but i believe bitcoin is not rising that high yet for people to speculate about a change in cycles

This year is not yet over for the Bitcoin price to skyrocket. Whether institution investors are coming into crypto, it doesn't change nor will it alter the four-year circle of Bitcoin

people are impatient what do you expect? investors seem to always focus on the short term movements rather than look at the bigger picture which is observe how things will fall into place over long term

[God Of Thunder]

the Bitcoin halving in the market has evolved over the years, with most of the supply already circulating, the scarcity effect of halving may be less pronounced compared to previous circle. And The reduction in block reward still affects the revenue of minners and it has influenced market sentiment

Not maybe, I am sure that the effect of halving is not the same as before. Most of the Bitcoin supply is in circulation already. There are only a few left to add to the circulation. So, the scarcity won't increase dramatically. If scarcity does not increase, the demand will remain the same. No demand = No hype, and that means no pump.

But I believe the general Bitcoin demand is always there, which is enough to increase the Bitcoin price over time. But sometimes people like Trump can fluctuate the market a lot with their statements.

[taufik123]

The market is not like before, despite the 4-year cycle continuing to work or not, with the entry of the institutional, I realize that things are a little different, bitcoin continues to appreciate and correct whenever it can, but it is less volatile, although with fewer expressive highs and corrections as well.

Everything goes into crypto and exerts a lot of influence so that the 4-year cycle that was the most awaited moment is actually a different moment today.

Waiting for the price to rise during the halving but instead became a decline that could not even be predicted.
As in the title of this thread, the bitcoin cycle has shifted