Is “Sell in May” Still a Thing for Bitcoin...

[joniboini]

I think most of them are self-fulfilling prophecies, to be honest, which means if the majority of the market still believes in it, it will happen regardless of the macro/microeconomic situation. Heck, some of them might analyze and try to fit any narrative to support it, even though it is not related at all.

Personally, I'd prepare for any outcome based on the chart. It isn't like you can prepare for both situations weeks before the supposed "destined" date happens. If you're a long-term holder who regularly buys or do DCA, though, I guess it doesn't matter since you'll still buy regardless of market situation. CMIIW.

[LogitechMouse]

Correct me on this one, but the phrase "Sell in May, and go away" mostly applies on traditional markets like the Stock Market. It hasn't been applied on crypto yet but looking at the price movement of Bitcoin during the month of May in history, the total average is around 8% with a median of 9% which means it's still giving positive returns.

Maybe most investors are doing the opposite of what most are saying and while most really are selling based on the phrase, many are buying Bitcoin at a much lower price. Over the years, that phrase will not be a thing anymore because many will learn that instead of doing what most are doing, do the opposite and instead of selling, go buy instead. That might be what's happening right now TBH with Bitcoin that's why we are seeing a huge price spike.

[albon]

Looking at the current market trend, it is clear that Bitcoin is still bullish and is able to maintain its bullish trend for a while, which means more profit for holders. Although people already in profit might have sold or are tempted to sell but I will watch and see how it goes for the time being, as a new all-time high is imminent.

Everyone has new speculations about bitcoin because bitcoin is the only coin from which people can easily make a big profit. Experts are giving different opinions on this bitcoin pump, but i think this is a new plan by investors and this demand for bitcoin could yield good results. Also, after the us communication the china ministry of commerce has indicated openness to discussions. This has led to increased risk taking in various markets, including cryptocurrency. However, there may be another possibility that bitcoin ongoing price rise is part of its traditional downtrend, which is a classic bullish reversal pattern.

[Cryptsafe]

Looking at the current market trend, it is clear that Bitcoin is still bullish and is able to maintain its bullish trend for a while, which means more profit for holders. Although people already in profit might have sold or are tempted to sell but I will watch and see how it goes for the time being, as a new all-time high is imminent.

This bullish movement of Bitcoin was expected. Although the price of Bitcoin has been in a downward trend for a long time, it is now gradually moving towards new highs. We may see another new high in the short term, but investors have not yet built that confidence. Some of them are seeing a trend of increasing the price of Bitcoin for the long term. Experienced traders are collecting it without fear, and some of those who are afraid are also selling. Those who have long-term plans will definitely give importance to its accumulation, not the price.

I assume that should be the situation, as every investor would actually do what pleases them most, as the price of bitcoin looks good now. For quite some time after the new all-time high was achieved, the correction that came was a bit lengthy for this period, and currently, it is evidently clear that it is heading towards achieving a new all time high although its a speculation for the now but it could be a reality though and just like I said, a new all time high is imminent.

Looking at the current market trend, it is clear that Bitcoin is still bullish and is able to maintain its bullish trend for a while, which means more profit for holders. Although people already in profit might have sold or are tempted to sell but I will watch and see how it goes for the time being, as a new all-time high is imminent.

Everyone has new speculations about bitcoin because bitcoin is the only coin from which people can easily make a big profit. Experts are giving different opinions on this bitcoin pump, but i think this is a new plan by investors and this demand for bitcoin could yield good results. Also, after the us communication the china ministry of commerce has indicated openness to discussions. This has led to increased risk taking in various markets, including cryptocurrency. However, there may be another possibility that bitcoin ongoing price rise is part of its traditional downtrend, which is a classic bullish reversal pattern.

It is not a new thing that there is always speculation with respect to the BTC market price, and that is amongst what gives investors a direction or guide to the projected price of bitcoin in the future, which is based on prediction or assumption. Yes, demand is another factor that could drive the price of Bitcoin high, based on what you have said. These are the factors investors look at whenever they have plans to get into the market. However, some likely are market manipulation, but all the same, the market still exists, and whoever wants to take a position is free to do so at any given point in time.

[|MINER|]

Even now that the market started in May, Bitcoin managed to reach $100k and is currently still holding at $103k assuming that the new ATH will be reached soon no Bitcoin price still remains above $100k.

The next ATH will be the determinant that bitcoin will reach a higher level, Many people predict that the ATH will reach $120k so that May will be the beginning of a new ATH to be reached, so there are still plenty of opportunities to enter. DWYOR

Bitcoin has been pumping continuously, and in the meantime, we have not seen a small market correction of two or three thousand or even a little more than that, but it has not happened yet.

So I think Bitcoin will make this kind of move in the next two or three days and end the month of May like this and then we might see a new all-time high.
And yes, if we see a new all-time high price in 1 or 2 months, then that would definitely be very soon.

[bitterguy28]

More time is needed, that's all.

New ATH is underway, in my opinion, and we have all the time in the world to see it happen.

yes but people do not want to wait forever to see the new ath they are hoping to see it this month and it’s totally not impossible however if it doesn’t happen this may then it could still happen over the year but it would be certainly motivating if the new ath gets reached this month

[alltalk]

yes but people do not want to wait forever to see the new ath they are hoping to see it this month and it’s totally not impossible however if it doesn’t happen this may then it could still happen over the year but it would be certainly motivating if the new ath gets reached this month

I'm not sure if we will have a new ATH in this month. Although BTC looks increasing quite fast, it may experience another corrections again or sideways in the next few days/weeks. This sometimes take a lot of time, so we may not see a new ATH in this month. However, I really hope BTC price will be nearing the current ATH. At least, BTC price can be around $107k -$108k in the end of this month. Sure, people won't hold forever, there should be the time to sell their BTC assets.

[SmartGold01]

We can't entirely define the market how it's react over the time rather we needed more time to still watch how the market flows, it's true that historical data do repeat itself that doesn't mean that the market must always reoccurred how it was past years. So, we don't need to pick over the price than just keep watching how it scales through before one could possibly wants to sell off their holdings.

[UNIVERSE]

If we follow in cryptocurrency market in this time, we can see that bitcoin price reach up level $98660 right now. So if we could buy $90k then sell bitcoin in this time will be perfect moment for us.

We are already above $100k now. Bitcoin price even can stay around $103k. If it doesn't drop again, we may cross $105k very soon. If it really happens, we may reach again the ATH $109k in the end of this month or next month. It is very happy to see Bitcoin price increasing very fast in the last few days. It is better to hold your Bitcoin, don't hurry to sell. It seems Bitcoin can be above $110k in the next few weeks.

So i think that when we want to invest in any crypto, we should understand in cryptocurrency market properly.

It is a must, we must understand crypto market before we start investing in Bitcoin or altcoins. It is a too careless way if we invest without proper understanding and lack of knowledge. Crypto investment is high risk, we must do it in safe ways.

[philipma1957]

Eth = up
Solana = up
Doge = up
Btc = up
Ltc = up


I have zero Eth

I am hodling

LTC
Doge
Solana
Btc

may has been very good to me with my hodling

[Fivestar4everMVP]

Lately, I’ve been seeing people toss around “Sell in May” . But has anyone really looked at the numbers? BTC averaged +7.4% in May across 2013–2024, but the median return? Only ~1%. Three of the last four years were red. Now in 2025, ETF flows are split (IBIT +$2.4B, ARK/FBTC outflows), macro’s shaky (GDP -0.3%, unemployment ticking up), and yet BTC still rides a “Greed” wave

So… are we acting on data or just reflexes?
Are these moves about the market, or about what we think others will do?

Feels like most traders today are front-running narratives, not price

Bitcoin is like a non-conformer if you ask me. What is happening to people economically has little to nothing to do with the growth of bitcoin, for bitcoin grows when it alot of people show good interest in it like what we are currently seeing, and this is because even with all the economy woes and hardships in various forms, people are still search for solutions to their financial issues and wouldn't mind putting their money where they have a good chance of getting it back and and with good profit.

And "sell in May", I honestly do not understand what this means and this is the first time I am coming across such phrase, but then, what ever this means, bitcoin is going higher in the coming months than what we have seen this month, so who ever is selling should ensure he or she is selling for the right reasons.

[densuj]

Lately, I’ve been seeing people toss around “Sell in May” . But has anyone really looked at the numbers? BTC averaged +7.4% in May across 2013–2024, but the median return? Only ~1%. Three of the last four years were red. Now in 2025, ETF flows are split (IBIT +$2.4B, ARK/FBTC outflows), macro’s shaky (GDP -0.3%, unemployment ticking up), and yet BTC still rides a “Greed” wave

So… are we acting on data or just reflexes?
Are these moves about the market, or about what we think others will do?

Feels like most traders today are front-running narratives, not price

The Sell in May narrative gets thrown around like gospel, but the data tells a messier story. Bitcoin’s May returns from 2013–2024 show a +7.4% average, which sounds nice, but the median’s a measly ~1%. That gap screams volatility big wins (like 2017 +64%) skew the average, while three of the last four Mays (2021–2024) bled red, some as deep as -35%. So, history’s not exactly shouting dump it. Yet, traders still lean into the adage, maybe because it’s a catchy reflex or they’re betting on others following the herd.
In 2025, the picture’s no clearer. ETF flows are a tug of war:
BlackRock’s IBIT pulled in $2.4B recently, but ARK’s ARKB and Fidelitys FBTC are seeing outflows, signaling mixed conviction.
Macro wobbly GDP’s down 0.3%, unemployments creeping up yet Bitcoin’s surfing a “Greed” wave per sentiment indices. This feels less about fundamentals and more about narrative chasing. Traders aren’t pricing BTC; they’re front running what they think others will do, amplified by social media echo chambers.

Are we acting on data? Nah. It’s game theory dressed as analysis moves based on vibes, not numbers. The market’s a psychological casino, and right now, it’s betting on momentum over math.

This time, it's not about the numbers; it's about what people think the numbers might mean. Like you said, that's really game theory

I totally agree. This 2025 cycle isn't about clean sets based on data. It's a mess. ARKB is losing money while IBIT is making billions? That's portfolio rotation, or maybe even arbitrage, and it hides what's really going on. When feelings go from "Extreme Fear" to "Greed" in a matter of weeks and GDP goes down? The setting is irrational. All of it is reaction

Everyone is playing chicken with expectations. No one wants to be the last person to buy before the flush. And social media makes that happen faster

You’re spot on this 2025 cycle is a psychological battlefield, not a data driven one. Game theory is the lens here, everyones watching everyone else, trying to guess the next move. ARKB bleeding while IBIT rakes in billions screams portfolio rotation, maybe arbitrage, but it’s also a signal of deeper sentiment shifts. The market’s irrational Extreme Fear to Greed in weeks, despite GDP dipping, shows people aren’t trading on fundamentals. It’s all reaction, amplified by social medias echo chamber. X posts are a firehose of hype and panic, pushing herd behavior into overdrive. Nobody wants to be the sucker buying at the peak before the crash, so it’s a high stakes game of chicken. Expectations are the real currency investors are betting on what others think the numbers mean, not the numbers themselves. This cycles volatility isn’t just market mechanics, it’s human nature weaponized by instant communication.

[Blaze]

We can't entirely define the market how it's react over the time rather we needed more time to still watch how the market flows, it's true that historical data do repeat itself that doesn't mean that the market must always reoccurred how it was past years. So, we don't need to pick over the price than just keep watching how it scales through before one could possibly wants to sell off their holdings.

At times, the shape of the market trends may look familiar, but produce an outcome that has never been seen before. We decided to continue watching the market advances not due to any lack of faith, but because every decision requires additional clarity. Analysis of price trends before making assumptions enables a better understanding of what really is happening. The lack of the feeling of urgency to sell does not come from the perception of a repeat so something had to happen that will be compelling enough to take an action. The continued observation in such circumstances is an active involvement, and not passive watching, which yields decisions more deeply set.

[doc]

We can't entirely define the market how it's react over the time rather we needed more time to still watch how the market flows, it's true that historical data do repeat itself that doesn't mean that the market must always reoccurred how it was past years. So, we don't need to pick over the price than just keep watching how it scales through before one could possibly wants to sell off their holdings.

I agree with you, we have to observe the price and market movement. Because the market is not always the same as the previous cycle. As traders or investors we must be able to make analysis and crypto market movements so that in investing and trading we can get maximum profit.

[slapper]

There are quite positive signals for bitcoin in the current year so it seems like a good choice at the current level. Maybe this year bitcoin cryptocurrency will perform great in the short term. However, we always want to speculate for the future price and everything may not happen in time. So it would be difficult for me to answer the question of whether you should hold or sell because it depends on how much you have ever bought and your level of experience with the market and whether you have a fundamental belief in bitcoin as a whole.

You may lose the right price at the right time due to making the wrong decision. You can sell something keeping in mind the market situation. If you buy at a high price and fail to sell on time, you can end up losing a lot of money. Unless you really know what you're doing, it can be difficult for you to make the right decisions.

You are correct. Talking the market is easier than living in it. Right now, Bitcoin is at $104,101. While some are celebrating, others are frozen unsure whether this marks the start of the next bull or the quiet before a correction. The market may be "strong" yet still penalize poor timing. What you said about belief and experience is underrated. Others came for philosophy; some for cycles. That becomes important. It reveals if you experience terror at volatility or lean toward volatility. But I'm curious, in your opinion, would it be more beneficial to learn to react according to your system, even if it means missing a top, than trying for perfection in every catch? Have you personally constructed something similar?

Correct me on this one, but the phrase "Sell in May, and go away" mostly applies on traditional markets like the Stock Market. It hasn't been applied on crypto yet but looking at the price movement of Bitcoin during the month of May in history, the total average is around 8% with a median of 9% which means it's still giving positive returns.

Maybe most investors are doing the opposite of what most are saying and while most really are selling based on the phrase, many are buying Bitcoin at a much lower price. Over the years, that phrase will not be a thing anymore because many will learn that instead of doing what most are doing, do the opposite and instead of selling, go buy instead. That might be what's happening right now TBH with Bitcoin that's why we are seeing a huge price spike.

Yeah, "Sell in May" comes from conventional stocks rather than crypto. Still, the belief moves individuals even if it doesn't precisely apply. While wiser traders front-run that panic and load-up, some traders dump early out of habit. That explains maybe why we are currently at $104K. But about the 8–9% average, actually, it’s +7.4% avg, but median is ~1%, not 9%. The impact of big years on the numbers is shown by that gap. But the core point remains: going against the grain of crowd behavior frequently yields better results in this domain

Even if the "phrase" is deemed outdated, the reflex remains relevant. Maybe it’s less about whether we sell in May... and more about why we still talk like we should