To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?Bitcoin prediction contests are based on luck of course, if you think these users knows the ability to predict the price, check the previous contest of Mixero and other prediction contest thread if they are still the same especially the one with the nearest price prediction.
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?just like any betting event, there should be some luck factor involved but of course some people bet with outrageous predictions so while luck is heavily involved since no one can really accurately predict the price of bitcoin down to all digits, there should be some awareness still about the market so you can at least keep close
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?luck and some market knowledge they know how the market moves they are aware of what is the current situation of the market they know the expected events to happen in the future so in general they are just well aware about the market as well as the community
---It's pure luck I would say.
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?This is easy, you just have to analyze the market and predict if the price of the BTC would be this or not when the snapshot will be take by royse. I joined it 1 or 2 times I think and I did not win, I joined it many times though, but always failed to make the second predictions. But what we have to do is read chart, do our analysis and predict the trend of the BTC Plus we need luck too.
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
Seeing kryptobul's answer which is a unique number, namely 86868 may seem unreasonable, but I think he has a little better analysis, such as predicting the price based on the range... for example finding the price range number on a certain date is between 83k-90k, then he takes the middle point at 86k, and makes it unique by adding 868 behind it...This answer is what I've been waiting for because the technique of estimating the Range is like what makes sense to me. Logically, the range can also provide positive results that are at least stable, just like when we drive a car with ECO technology to save gasoline so it doesn't waste money.
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Okay, based on your experience as a winner in the Mixero contest, I hope I can also be a winner for this March contest.----
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
I don't want to brag it, but I guess I need to because... because I just want to. :P I also won one time at the prediction contest of Mixero, and the difference between the exact price and my prediction is only $1.XX. I mean only a dollar away from predicting the exact amount. I'm just lucky of course. I also tried to do some quick technical analysis on my prediction, but obviously, it didn't work as well.
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To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?You didn't win because you are not lucky. Just try it again, mate! :)
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?They must have knowledge about Bitcoin. But they may guess it randomly.
Some people may use technical analysis to deduce the price to a range but me I just go with wild guess that comes to my mind. I didn't win anything but still there's no way that you can find the price with any analysis at all, just forget the prediction contest there are million of people out there doing trading and if it was possible then most of them would be crazy rich, isn't?
So you're expecting that you're the only one that wants to win, eh? :D We all want to win, but we have different ways of winning it.-Okay, based on your experience as a winner in the Mixero contest, I hope I can also be a winner for this March contest.
I don't want to brag it, but I guess I need to because... because I just want to. :P I also won one time at the prediction contest of Mixero, and the difference between the exact price and my prediction is only $1.XX. I mean only a dollar away from predicting the exact amount. I'm just lucky of course. I also tried to do some quick technical analysis on my prediction, but obviously, it didn't work as well.
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Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win. ;D
Lol, we all want to win. Me, you and them all want to win from this Mixero Event.So you're expecting that you're the only one that wants to win, eh? :D We all want to win, but we have different ways of winning it.-Okay, based on your experience as a winner in the Mixero contest, I hope I can also be a winner for this March contest.
I don't want to brag it, but I guess I need to because... because I just want to. :P I also won one time at the prediction contest of Mixero, and the difference between the exact price and my prediction is only $1.XX. I mean only a dollar away from predicting the exact amount. I'm just lucky of course. I also tried to do some quick technical analysis on my prediction, but obviously, it didn't work as well.
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Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win. ;D
Writing a topic about it for me will only give you ideas on how to increase your chances of winning, but in reality, there's no certainty to it. If only creating a topic like this makes us a winner, all of us could've created one as well. ;)But at least I got some useful information from making this topic for tricks from guessing in Mixero event. :P
-Yep, the answer is here, analyst, prediction and guess. Everything is in these words and one more thing a little touch of Luck for us to win.
The best that we can do is to analyze the market, predict, analyze, predict, and repeat the process.
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Based on luck... even it is actually very difficult to guess the price at a certain time at a certain second and at a certain minute... it is really very difficult...Yeah, many members like to play with numbers: Jokers and I also like to give out fun numbers, for example $77,777.77 or $123,456.78. Mixero contest was made to create a vibrant atmosphere on AltcoinsTalks: joy, the opportunity to try and the anticipation are the rewards for all participants.
Seeing kryptobul's answer which is a unique number, namely 86868 may seem unreasonable, but I think he has a little better analysis, such as predicting the price based on the range... for example finding the price range number on a certain date is between 83k-90k, then he takes the middle point at 86k, and makes it unique by adding 868 behind it...
Between a little analysis and luck plays a bigger role.
And I don't know how to have enough luck to win this contest, all we can do is try to analyze a little and hope for our own luck ^^Lol, it is really hard to win contests like this, i have won a few times in bitcointalk forum and i was really surprised when i received the personal message that i had won, because i was not expecting it at all. I didn't even do any analysis when i won, i just looked at the current price and just dropped a prediction, pure luck.
Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win. ;D
You also think your guess is very close but in fact you never win and always lose. The Luck factor is really needed in this position.Btw, as a normal human being, I certainly hope to win, that's why my instinct is to ask and write in the topic on how to guess the Bitcoin price so that it can be right and win. ;D-
I have participated in a few prediction contests in Bitcointalk and never won anything because I was never lucky enough for the price to get close to my guess at the time of the snapshot, lol. ;D
Keep trying your luck, and who knows? You might win one day.I also keep trying it and I choose the opposite of most members' choices. So, I choose the lowest price like below 70,000 dollars or around 68,000 dollars. I hope Bitcoin continues to rise in price but if in a guessing event position, I also hope it goes to the price I have chosen. ;D
I also keep trying it and I choose the opposite of most members' choices. So, I choose the lowest price like below 70,000 dollars or around 68,000 dollars. I hope Bitcoin continues to rise in price but if in a guessing event position, I also hope it goes to the price I have chosen. ;Dit is good to not predict something so similar with other people who are also joining the competition you will notice that most people are predicting specific amounts so that they can be closest to the correct answer since the market price rarely is just rounded up numbers like 70,000 or 60,000
Oh yeah, that's right, I should have chosen a random number so that my chances of winning were high. And don't let the number be rounded like 70,000, 65,000 or 60,000. I didn't have time to think about it here.I also keep trying it and I choose the opposite of most members' choices. So, I choose the lowest price like below 70,000 dollars or around 68,000 dollars. I hope Bitcoin continues to rise in price but if in a guessing event position, I also hope it goes to the price I have chosen. ;Dit is good to not predict something so similar with other people who are also joining the competition you will notice that most people are predicting specific amounts so that they can be closest to the correct answer since the market price rarely is just rounded up numbers like 70,000 or 60,000
the market price will usually be 68,956.12 so if you try to predict as closely as you can and different from other participants then you can have higher chances of winning
Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?It's called prediction, yes there are still several factors. And it depends on each individual in predicting the price.
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
I first joined the guessing event from Mixero (Bitcoin mixer platform). I joined it because the rewards were quite large, with the first guess being $300, the second guess being $100 and the third being $100.Oh, this topic mentioned me and I didn't even know :)
https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=327852.msg1724841#msg1724841
See the winners above, the winners are listed there:
1st winner: $300.00 = KryptoBull
2nd winner: $100.00 = dwyane36
3rd winner: $100.00 = hanadawa
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
Thanks for the suggestion, I will take your suggestion for my future guesses when there is another contest for Bitcoin price guessing.To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?~
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
- Analysis of the graph
- Analysis of the current price
- Random pick
- Luck
~
Previously I wanted to PM you three as the winners to give me advice in this thread so that your Bitcoin guess can give me victory in the future but PMing someone who doesn't know me makes me reluctant because it talks about privacy, especially since this is just a guessing question.-Oh, this topic mentioned me and I didn't even know :)
1st winner: $300.00 = KryptoBull
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To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
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All I did was observe the weakness of BTC through Vol and RSI, I think the BTC price will soon fall out of the 90K USD range and find support at 72K USD. In between, 86K is a number I like because it is considered a lucky number in Asian culture, when pronounced it sounds like "prosperity" :)
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I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.I won't gonna say say it is just only the luck based things because there is a things which is the proper analysis we can't deny.
I won't gonna say say it is just only the luck based things because there is a things which is the proper analysis we can't deny.The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.
Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.
Aside luck there are some professional traders that can give a better and reliable signal and the market will stick to their strategy, having a better knowledge and understanding of the market gives you better results and moreover it reduces your chances of risk or failure.Then I will say this is something like that which is also depends on the luck sometimes. Even those who were pro in the trading analysis those could win this price prediction but still it is all about the market, so most of the time here I don't think any others method work.I don't think it is just luck sometimes, but everytime. Even people who say they are very experienced in things like trading and even go on to sell trading signals, you find out that their signals fail a lot of times. Luck plays a large part in things like this, nobody can be sure.
What I mean is that no one in this training can give a signal with 100% certainty about what the market might be like now. However, those who have a lot of experience and a good understanding of the market can trade with 90% or more certainty. However, in this crypto currency world, no one can say that trading depends on luck. No matter how experienced they are, many of their signals fail.
Aside luck there are some professional traders that can give a better and reliable signal and the market will stick to their strategy, having a better knowledge and understanding of the market gives you better results and moreover it reduces your chances of risk or failure.Are you talking about crypto influencers on social media, professional traders who manage VC funds, and so on? I doubt they'll share their analysis publicly since they don't want to lose profit. If anything they'll likely give us some nothing-burger information and sensational predictions to drive fomo. Even if talk about copy trading, I don't think those traders have a say on how they can influence the market based on their trading history. Then again I don't think their analysis matters in the context OP talked about. Not to mention some contests don't allow two users to share the same prediction.
The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.You are right, the things you are saying here like if a person do the prediction 40k when bitcoin is on the 90k then it is just an unrealistic predictions although yes cryptocurrency I mean the bitcoin is also High volatile price condition but I don't think it is on that much high that it will goes down more than 50% in oneday.
That's not impossible but I swear it won't happen this year. Predicting the price of Bitcoin to hit 40k is unlikely to happen, it would be possible if he say it will reach around $75k. Because of demand and supply the price won't do drastic move with one candlestick and reach $40k. There are areas in the chart base on its previous price action that the price would bounce back if there is no enough pressure. If he study trading, he will clearly understand what I mean.The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.You are right, the things you are saying here like if a person do the prediction 40k when bitcoin is on the 90k then it is just an unrealistic predictions although yes cryptocurrency I mean the bitcoin is also High volatile price condition but I don't think it is on that much high that it will goes down more than 50% in oneday.
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?Whatever you don't know the outcome at any minute of the day, getting the predictions correctly is really by luck, not your own understanding or willpower because so many people who are more intelligent and wise than you have failed in such a thing terribly, and they gave up in such a thing because they can't predict their outcome.
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
Holys***t, it could also happen to me by trying several times and always failing.To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?-
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
I have tried my luck in Bitcoin price contests on different occasions. I failed in them all woefully.
Some people tried it on their first trier, and they predicted it correctly. That's their luck. That doesn't make them more experienced than me in predicting the Bitcoin price in a Bitcoin contestI also think, apparently being experienced does not guarantee winning because only the lucky ones can win this contest, that's why there are rules for new members.
You need to have a least 50 post on Altcoinstalks before Feb 28th
Aside luck there are some professional traders that can give a better and reliable signal and the market will stick to their strategy, having a better knowledge and understanding of the market gives you better results and moreover it reduces your chances of risk or failure.Are you talking about crypto influencers on social media, professional traders who manage VC funds, and so on? I doubt they'll share their analysis publicly since they don't want to lose profit. If anything they'll likely give us some nothing-burger information and sensational predictions to drive fomo. Even if talk about copy trading, I don't think those traders have a say on how they can influence the market based on their trading history. Then again I don't think their analysis matters in the context OP talked about. Not to mention some contests don't allow two users to share the same prediction.
....Yes, I have joined this Mixero contest in January, February and March but all my guesses failed, from those 3 months I have never won even once.
Btw, did you join the Mixero contest to guess the Bitcoin price again this March?
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I first joined the guessing event from Mixero (Bitcoin mixer platform). I joined it because the rewards were quite large, with the first guess being $300, the second guess being $100 and the third being $100.Just know that bitcoin price can not be predicted at Amy time sp for that one have to depend on luck to be able to win such contest, although I won from bc games bitcoin block contest before and that came after several trials so I believe that your turn will come and whatever the prize may be at that time, you should just accept it and move on.
I agree with you and would also add that fundamental analysis is also a factor determining the winners. One has to try to do the best on their analysis and maybe hope luck factor help them to be among the winners. Like you said one can't just say because luck is on their side then their prediction is like around $40k.I won't gonna say say it is just only the luck based things because there is a things which is the proper analysis we can't deny.The only kind of analysis you can do is probably to look at the price before making your prediction and guessing what it will be at the end of the contest, and for example if it is $90k when you checked, you cannot make a prediction of $40k, and hope for luck to win, that is not possible, it is not going to happen. However, any realistic prediction is valid and everyone just waits on 'luck'.
Just know that bitcoin price can not be predicted at Amy time sp for that one have to depend on luck to be able to win such contest, although I won from bc games bitcoin block contest before and that came after several trials so I believe that your turn will come and whatever the prize may be at that time, you should just accept it and move on.As the matter of fact nobody has been able to win any of those contests if it was judged based on accuracy of the number each individual brought as there prediction because why they usually win the contest is because of how they picked the closest number to the price Bitcoin was at that time of the judgement, so actually if somebody is saying they no how to pick it they are actually not understanding the concept of the judgement, however even if I won the contest so many times I Will still see it as luck and not any strategy.
Good luck on your next try and hope something positive comes out of that.
I first joined the guessing event from Mixero (Bitcoin mixer platform). I joined it because the rewards were quite large, with the first guess being $300, the second guess being $100 and the third being $100.
https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=327852.msg1724841#msg1724841
See the winners above, the winners are listed there:
1st winner: $300.00 = KryptoBull
2nd winner: $100.00 = dwyane36
3rd winner: $100.00 = hanadawa
To be honest, I just randomly guessed predictions 1 and 2 so I didn't win. Is this a pure Lucky factor?
Do these three members have the knowledge to guess the Bitcoin price to win? If so, how?
I agree with you and would also add that fundamental analysis is also a factor determining the winners. One has to try to do the best on their analysis and maybe hope luck factor help them to be among the winners. Like you said one can't just say because luck is on their side then their prediction is like around $40k.If Bitcoin is actually at 90k and someone predicts 40k, then it's natural that luck won't be on their side here.
Because bitcoin price is not like gambling that someone makes a prediction based on luck and it will be correct. For this, one must have analysis knowledge, he must have knowledge about the previous market of bitcoin and make predictions accordingly.Gambling is not entirely dependent on luck although requires more luck than the price prediction, but if you're not careful or just luck dependent it may not work out consecutively for you.
The prediction may be that 40k will come in the bear season and will drop from 90k to almost it's not the gambling where it is now 90k and after a week it will comes on the 40k.
Gambling is not entirely dependent on luck although requires more luck than the price prediction, but if you're not careful or just luck dependent it may not work out consecutively for you.What did you just say? Gambling is not entirely dependent on luck!!!!!!!! Does that mean you're saying that gambling depends on skill? I mean, if you have good skill, you can earn passively by gambling?
That's why there can be past a winner who may never get a win again simply because all they rely on is luck.
Btw, last March the winner was @alltalk (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?action=profile;u=33725) as the 1st winner and received a reward of 300 dollars with a Bitcoin price guess of 83,500 dollars on March 24, 2025, 11:37:12 PM.I've read your PM.
His guess was within the deadline which would end in about 23 minutes to submit a Bitcoin price guess.
Please check this = https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=328357.msg1737917#msg1737917
I have also PMed @alltalk (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?action=profile;u=33725) regarding my post (so that he can reply), just in case he wants to share his experience and knowledge for guessing Bitcoin prices to become the winner in every Mixero contest.
Predicting the price of a highly volatile asset like Bitcoin is a very complicated task. If you are lucky and get a week when Bitcoin will not have many variations, it will be easier to guess, but more people will make very close guesses, making it difficult for the manager to determine the winners. That is why the prize is so high.Exactly!! It’s definitely luck. Prediction is something I don’t like being involved in because I know I’m not good at it. To make an accurate prediction is very difficult and tricky especially now that BTC price movements is very unstable.
Guessing the probability of a rise, fall or reversal is one thing, trying to guess the exact price of Bitcoin is another, so I prefer to think that it is really a matter of luck.
I got the keyword here.Btw, last March the winner was @alltalk (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?action=profile;u=33725) as the 1st winner and received a reward of 300 dollars with a Bitcoin price guess of 83,500 dollars on March 24, 2025, 11:37:12 PM.....
His guess was within the deadline which would end in about 23 minutes to submit a Bitcoin price guess.
Please check this = https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=328357.msg1737917#msg1737917
I have also PMed @alltalk (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?action=profile;u=33725) regarding my post (so that he can reply), just in case he wants to share his experience and knowledge for guessing Bitcoin prices to become the winner in every Mixero contest.
I sometimes submit the price prediction nearing the deadline because I need a time to monitor the price movement.
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I got the keyword here.Be very careful when getting so close to the prediction date (April 30th) to the point of missing the final deadline for posting the second-phase prediction, which I believe ends on April 24th if I'm not mistaken...
It seems like the trick to guess the Bitcoin price should be at the deadline because I noticed it takes about 5 days more for the announcement of the winner of this Bitcoin guess.
5 days is certain that the Bitcoin price change is very random between up and down, the possibility is high if you submit and choose the Bitcoin price at the Deadline because maybe the price change will not be too much from our guess.